...Severe thunderstorms possible through the weekend across portions of the Gulf Coast and Southeast...
...Heavy snow possible from the higher elevations of California to the central and southern Rockies...
Periods of scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected through much of the weekend from portions of the Gulf Coast and lower Mississippi valley to the Southeast, as a series of upper-level disturbances move overhead. One round of showers and thunderstorms is expected by this evening along much of the Gulf Coast, spreading across portions of the Southeast overnight into Saturday morning. On Saturday, a warm front will develop across the region, which will once again focus numerous showers and thunderstorms through the day and into the overnight hours. A low pressure system forecast to take shape across the southern plains on Saturday will move east into the lower Mississippi valley by Sunday morning. This system will bring yet another day of widespread showers and thunderstorms from the lower Mississippi valley and Gulf Coast to the Southeast. Severe thunderstorms are possible through the weekend in association with each of these rounds of showers and storms. Please refer to products issued by the Storm Prediction Center for further details on the severe weather threat. Rain will also spread north into the Mid-Atlantic region by Sunday. A Public Severe Weather Outlook has been issued by the Storm Prediction Center and a map and text of the outlook can be seen on the SPC website. [LINK]
The weather pattern will also be an active one across the western U.S. through the weekend, as a series of Pacific storms move onshore. The first of these storm systems is moving into the West Coast states today, and will bring rain and thunderstorms to areas along the coast as well as in the Desert Southwest tonight and Saturday. Heavy snow is possible across portions of the Sierras as well as the Mogollon Rim and the central/southern Rockies tonight into Saturday. The West Coast should see a very brief lull in precipitation during the day on Saturday before another more powerful Pacific storm system begins to approach late in the day. This second system will spread rain and mountain snow along nearly the entire West Coast Saturday night into Sunday. Snow will also spread across much of the interior West on Sunday. Heavy snow will be possible in association with this system once again across the mountains of California, as well as across portions of the Great Basin through Sunday. Heavy rain is also expected at lower elevations of California.
Lastly, the northern plains and Upper Midwest will also see the potential for some relatively light precipitation tonight through the weekend as a slow-moving upper-level disturbance remains in the vicinity. A mix of rain, snow, sleet, and freezing rain is possible tonight through Saturday from the northern plains to the Upper Great Lakes. Scattered lighter precipitation will linger across the Upper Midwest into Sunday, with a wintry mix still possible.
Numerous waves of energy will bring rounds of rain and thunderstorms to the area today and tonight. A vigorous low pressure system will sweep towards the Carolinas Sunday and Monday, bringing abundant moisture and the potential for storms. Mild high pressure will be in control Tuesday and Wednesday until a cold front crosses the region Wednesday night.
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
The National Weather Service has issued a Special Weather Statement for our region regarding dense fog. The text is posted below:
...PATCHY DENSE FOG THIS MORNING
ACROSS NORTHEAST GEORGIA -
THE WESTERN UPSTATE OF SOUTH CAROLINA
AND THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS...
Abundant low level moisture and light winds across the region will lead to the development of low clouds and areas of fog this morning. A few locations could see visibility drop to one-quarter mile or less in dense fog. In addition, the visibility across the region may change very quickly over short distances. Visibility may be worse near bodies of water, in low lying areas, and in mountain valleys.
Allow extra time to reach your destination if traveling in this area this morning.
Carrion Tree Service is underwriting the daily weather briefing and public safety updates for today. they are a fully licensed and insured tree service, specializing in dangerous tree removal, view clearing, pruning, and crane services with a 24 Hour emergency response.
Their phone number is 371-4718. They are located at 120 Depot Street.
They can handle all your tree removal needs in good or bad weather.
THREE DAY OUTLOOK
Saturday (Heavy Rain Likely, Severe Weather Possible)
Areas of fog, dense in places before noon. Cloudy with highs near the low to mid 60s and variable light winds. 20% chance of rain in the morning increasing to 60% by noon, rain likely after with rainfall amounts between a tenth and a quarter of an inch possible, more in locations that see thunderstorms.
Saturday Night (Heavy rain likely, Severe weather possible near daybreak)
Patchy fog after midnight. Cloudy with lows near the lower 50s and calm winds before midnight and winds out of the northeast after midnight. Rain chances 60% around 6 pm increasing to near 100% by daybreak with rainfall amounts between a quarter and half an inch expected. Thunderstorms are possible and a round of severe weather may reach Macon County during this time period.
Sunday (Multiple rounds of heavy rain likely, severe weather possible in the morning)
Cloudy with highs near the low to mid 60s and winds 5 to 10 mph from the southeast in the morning shifting to come from the southwest in the afternoon. Near 100% chance of rain with rainfall amounts between a quarter and half an inch expected, more possible in locations that are hit by thunderstorms.
Sunday Night (Heavy rain likely)
Cloudy with lows near the mid 40s and winds from the southwest calming before midnight. Near 100% chance of rain, heavy at times, with rainfall amounts between a quarter and half an inch possible with more in locations that are hit by thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy with highs near the low to mid 50s. 60% chance of rain, mainly before noon.
Mostly cloudy with lows near the mid to upper 30s. 30% chance of rain.
Dense fog is expected to form in the region. More details may be seen after the National Weather Outlook Segment above. Heavy rains are possible later today and tonight, with severe weather possible sometime between 3 am and noon on Sunday. I suspect the most severe weather will be in eastern Tennessee to our west and in Georgia to our south. It is possible the storms could survive to reach Macon County.
..SATURDAY...Severe weather possible. An upper level impulse ahead of a larger system will move atop the region as a warm front pushes in from the southwest.
Along and behind the warm front... Conditions will be favorable for strong to severe thunderstorms. The primary threats with any severe storms will be damaging winds... And an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out. Locally heavy rain is also possible.
..SUNDAY...Severe weather possible. A strong upper level storm supporting a moist surface frontal system will cross the southern states through Monday. Ahead of this system conditions are likely to become favorable for severe thunderstorms across at least some of the area. Damaging winds and hail could result... And a tornado or two cannot be ruled out. Heavy rain is also possible at times.
SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF LARGE HAIL... DAMAGING WINDS... TORNADOES OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.
If you have an event you wish to be added to this calendar, please send the information, along with a flyer of photo, to firstname.lastname@example.org
There is no charge for civic, educational or non profit groups.
THE LT PLUNGE: A BENEFIT FOR FIRE CHIEF ROHRER
The LT Plunge on January 21st at Tassee Shelter (10am )
Entry fee is $15 (includes a bowl of hot chilli, hot chocolate/coffee and completion certificate)
100% of the proceeds raised from the plunge will be donated to Franklin's Fire Department Chief Rohrer to assist him and his family with medical bills as he battles cancer. For more information, please visit the event page at https://www.facebook.com/events/1711019812544383/
MARDI GRAS DINNER TO BENEFIT REACH OF MACON COUNTY
A Mardi Gras Dinner to benefit REACH of Macon COunty will be held at Root + Barrel Kitchen on Main Street on Tuesday, February 28th at 6:30 pm.
Reserved tickets are $75 and open seating is $60.
More information is on the flyer posted here.
Weather Extremes Almanac for January 21, 2017
High Temperature 82ºF in Kinston, Lenoir County in 1927
Low Temperature -34ºF on Mount Mitchell, Yancey County in 1985
Greatest One-Day Rainfall 3.47 inches in Brevard, Transylvania County in 1979
Greatest One-Day Snowfall 16.0 inches on Mount Mitchell, Yancey County in 1983
High Temperature 74ºF in Franklin in 1890
Low Temperature -19ºF in Highlands 1985
Greatest One-Day Rainfall 3.41 inches in Nantahala in 1954
Greatest One-Day Snowfall 4.5 inches in Highlands in 1983
Twilight Begins: 7:12 am
Sunrise: 7:39 am
Sunset 5:51 pm
Twilight Ends: 6:18 pm
Day Length: 11 hours 06 minutes
Moon Phase: Waning Crescent with 34% of the Moon's visible disk illuminated
Moonrise: 2:06 am
Moonset 1:13 pm
Observing the Skies
Evening Events and Planets
Skies will be partly to mostly cloudy and it may be raining.
Venus -4.4 Magnitude Distance 0.616 AU Constellation: Aquarius
Mars 1.00 Magnitude Distance: 1.780 AU Constellation: Pisces
Morning Events and Planets
Skies will be mostly cloudy and it is likely to be raining.
Mercury 0.0 Magnitude Distance 1.050 AU Constellation: Sagittarius (Lost in the morning glare to all but the most skilled observers with telescopes)
Saturn 1.4 Magnitude Distance: 10.804 AU Constellation: Ophiuchus
Jupiter -1.9 Magnitude Distance: 5.214 AU Constellation: Virgo
Earth Sky has an article on the eclipses of 2017. [LINK]
Heavens Above has an Android App that will assist you in observing the sky and even has a satellite tracker that will let you know when the International Space Station and dozens of other satellites are overhead. [LINK]
Stellarium is also an app that will assist you in observing the sky. It is available in both Android [LINK] and iOS versions. [LINK]
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Published at 3:51 am on Jan 21, 2017
#WNCscan #MaconWx #MaconSafety
Be kind to one another.
Data and information sources: Sources (except where otherwise credited): Google Play, heavens-above.com, iTunes, National Centers for Environmental Prediction, The National Weather Service, National Oceanic Atmospheric Administration, Penn State University Electronic Wall Map, The State Climate Office of North Carolina, Storm Prediction Center, U.S. Naval Observatory, and the Weather Prediction Center.