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Sunday, October 4, 2020

Weather Briefing for Sunday, October 4, 2020



OUTLOOK

Weak high pressure today will give way to a dry cold front that is expected to cross the region tonight. Another high pressure air mass will build in behind the front on Tuesday and is expected to control our weather for the rest of the week.


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News Brief


Today is the National Fallen Firefighters Memorial observance. Flags are to be flown at half staff from sunrise to sunset. [LINK]  

General forecast through Tuesday night


Today

Patchy fog in the morning. Otherwise, cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly sunny, with highs in the 60s with some locations in the lower elevations perhaps reaching 70. Calm winds. 

Tonight 

 Patchy fog after 5am. Otherwise, partly cloudy, with lows ranging from the upper 30s in the higher elevations to the mid-40s in the lower elevations. Calm winds. 

 Monday 

 Patchy fog in the morning. Otherwise, sunny, with highs ranging from the 60s in the higher elevations to near 70 in the lower elevations. Calm winds. 

 Monday Night 

 Mostly clear, with lows ranging from the upper 30s in the higher elevations to the mid-to-upper 40sin the lower elevations. Calm winds. 

Tuesday 

 Sunny, with highs ranging from the 60s in the higher elevations to the lower 70s in the lower elevations. Light and variable winds. 

 Tuesday Night 

 Mostly clear, with lows mostly in the 40s with some locations in the lower elevations perhaps hanging on near 50.



HAZARDS

Areas of patchy frost are possible this morning, especially above elevations of 5000 ft.

Air Quality




Air quality is in the upper range of green for most of the county, including the ridges and other higher elevations today.

Pollen

Pollen levels are expected to be in the low-medium range (4.1 out of 12) with ragweed, chenopods, and grasses being the main culprits. Tomorrow is expected to be a little higher in the low-medium range (4.1 out of 12).


Weather Extremes for Macon County for October 4th

Highest Temperature 89°F in Franklin in 1954 
Lowest Temperature 23°F in Franklin in 1974 
Greatest One-Day Rain 9.91 inches in Highlands in 1964 Greatest One-Day Snowfall (no snowfall has been recorded on this date since records began in 1872 


TROPICAL WEATHER
(The North Atlantic Hurricane Season runs from June 1st to Nov 30th)



Tropical Tidbit from Levi Cowan 
(video recorded yesterday afternoon)






Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sun Oct 4 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Gamma, located just north of the Yucatan Peninsula over the extreme southern Gulf of Mexico.

1. A tropical wave accompanied by a small low pressure system is located over the central Caribbean Sea a couple of hundred miles southeast of Jamaica. Although the associated shower and thunderstorm activity is currently disorganized, environmental conditions are expected to gradually become conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next couple of days. The system should move west-northwestward at about 15 mph across the central and western Caribbean Sea today and Monday, and then move into the southern or southeastern Gulf of Mexico on Tuesday and Wednesday. Locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds will be possible across portions of Hispaniola, Jamaica, Cuba, and the Cayman Islands during the next few days, and interests on those islands should monitor the progress of this disturbance. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

2. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a tropical wave located over the central tropical Atlantic. Some slow development of this system is possible during the next couple of days while it moves west-northwestward or northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. Significant development is not expected beyond that time due to the system moving into a region of strong upper-level winds.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

3. An area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the central Atlantic more than 1000 miles east-southeast of Bermuda is associated with a surface trough of low pressure. This system is expected to move toward the west-southwest at around 10 mph, and some slow development is possible during the next couple of days before it too encounters strong upper-level winds.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.






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Published at 4:40am Sunday, October 04, 2020


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