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Sunday, June 3, 2018

Weather Update

NAM Simulated RADAR 3 km resolution


Photo: Simulated RADAR at 5 pm this afternoon from the 0000 UTC NAM Model Run

The chance of strong thunderstorms this afternoon and early evening has increased from slight to moderate with about a 40% chance of happening between noon and 8 pm. This means that between noon and 8 pm, there will be a 40% chance that a strong thunderstorm is occurring within 25 miles of any point on the map. Most computer models agree the storms should be forming and/or arriving between 4 pm and 8 pm with the greatest chance being around 5 to 6 pm. You should be weather aware and be near shelter from the rain this afternoon. The images below this paragraph show the Thunderstorm Outlook from the Storm Prediction Center in Norman, Oklahoma. Click any of them to enlarge.

Thunderstorm Outlook 8am to 12pmThunderstorm Outlook 12pm to 4pmThunderstorm Outlook from 4 pm to 8pm

Temperatures will rise to the lower 80s in the lower elevations of Franklin, Otto, and the Nantahala areas and the upper 70s on the Highlands Plateau and the higher elevations elsewhere in the county. It will be partly sunny for most of the day, with a period of increased cloudiness from around 11am to 8 pm, then mostly cloudy for a few hours after midnight.

Hazardous Weather Outlook (9:30 am Update)

Scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop across the area this afternoon and evening. Some of these storms will become severe with damaging wind gusts and large hail. Gusty winds, cloud to ground lightning, and briefly heavy rainfall will be possible with any storm.

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Published at 10:00 am on Sunday, June 3, 2018
Author: Bobby Coggins
Data sources: Storm Prediction Center, GSP Office of the National Weather Service, NOAA HRRR Model, ECMWF Model, PSU eWall, and the NCEP NAM Forecast System.


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