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Tuesday, July 9, 2019

Daily Weather Briefing for Tuesday, July 9, 2019





Outlook

High pressure moving past our region to the north may bring slightly cooler temperatures Today and Wednesday. A weak front dropping down from the northwest late in the week might bring another round of numerous showers and storms for Thursday into Friday.


THREE DAY GFS FORECAST
This animated image shows a forecast of precipitation, air pressure and thickness level (cold-air damming) for three days in six-hour increments.
Green, Yellow, and Red indicate rain. Orange and Purple Indicate Freezing Rain or other freezing precipitation. Blue indicates snow.





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Weather Hazards

Scattered thunderstorms are expected this afternoon and evening. Any thunderstorm that develops will be capable of producing strong gusty winds, brief heavy rainfall, and cloud to ground lightning. A few of these thunderstorms may become severe and produce damaging wind gusts. In addition, localized flooding and flash flooding will be possible if thunderstorms persist over the same areas.


**Note** A Tropical Weather Outlook section has been added to the daily weather briefing for the Atlantic Hurricane Season, and since those tend to run long when there is activity, that section has been added between the daily forecasts for the four regions of the county and the almanac section so people can get to their daily forecasts with minimal interference.




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WEATHER FORECAST MAPS

Forecast maps for 7 am, 1 pm, and 7 pm.
[click on any image in this article to enlarge]




FRANKLIN AREA FORECAST


Today

A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 1pm. Areas of fog before 9am. Otherwise, cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly sunny, with a high in the mid-80s. Light winds out of the north. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Tonight

A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 11am. Partly sunny, with a high in the mid-80s. Calm winds increasing to come out of the southeast around 5 mph in the afternoon. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Tuesday Night

A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1am, then a slight chance of showers after midnight. Patchy fog after 2am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low in the mid-to-upper 60s. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

Wednesday

A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 8am. Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, partly sunny, with a high in the mid-80s. Light winds out of the southeast wind. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Wednesday Night

A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low in the mid-to-upper 60s. Calm winds.

Thursday

Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 10am. Partly sunny, with a high near 85. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Thursday Night

A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65.



OTTO AREA FORECAST

Today

A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 11am. Partly sunny, with a high in the low-to-mid 80s. Calm winds increasing to come out of the southeast around 5 mph in the afternoon. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Tuesday Night

A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am, then a slight chance of showers. Patchy fog after 2am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low in the mid-to-upper 60s. Light winds out of the east. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Wednesday

Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 4pm. Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, partly sunny, with a high in the low-to-mid 80s. Light winds out of the east. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Wednesday Night

Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 7pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low in the mid-to-upper 60s. Calm winds. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Thursday

Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 10am. Partly sunny, with a high in the mid-80s. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Thursday Night

A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low in the mid-60s.



HIGHLANDS PLATEAU FORECAST

Today

A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 11am. Partly sunny, with a high in the low-to-mid 70s. Winds out of the east 5 to 10 mph. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Tuesday Night

A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 2am. Patchy fog after 10pm. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low in the mid-60s. Winds out of the southeast 5 to 10 mph. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Wednesday

Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 3pm. Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a high in the mid-70s. Winds out of the east around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Wednesday Night

Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 7pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low in the mid-60s. Winds out of the southeast around 6 mph becoming calm after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Thursday

Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 9am. Partly sunny, with a high in the mid-70s. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

Thursday Night

Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 9pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low in the mid-60s. Chance of precipitation is 60%.



NANTAHALA AREA FORECAST

Today

A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 80. Calm winds. New rainfall amounts between a half and three-quarters of an inch possible.

Tuesday Night

A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1am. Patchy fog after 2am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low in the mid-60s. Winds out of the southeast 3 to 5 mph.

Wednesday

Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 4pm. Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, partly sunny, with a high near 80. Light winds out of the southeast. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Wednesday Night

A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. Light winds out of the southeast.

Thursday

Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 10am. Partly sunny, with a high near 80. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Thursday Night

A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low in the mid-60s.




TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK



Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Tue Jul 9 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A trough of low pressure located over southwestern Georgia is producing disorganized showers. This disturbance is expected to move southward or southwestward during the next day or so, and a broad area of low pressure is forecast to form over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico on Wednesday. Once the disturbance is over water, environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development and a tropical depression is likely to form by the end of the week while the system moves westward across the northern Gulf of Mexico. Regardless of whether or not a tropical cyclone develops, this system has the potential to produce heavy rainfall along portions of the northern and eastern U.S. Gulf Coast later this week. For more information about the rainfall threat, please see products issued by your local weather forecast office and the NOAA Weather Prediction Center. Interests along the Gulf Coast from the Upper Texas coast to the western Florida peninsula should monitor the progress of this system.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

An outlook from Mark Suddoth of HurricaneTrack.com that was posted yesterday afternoon


You can follow Mark's work at the following locations:

Website http://hurricanetrack.com/
Youtube Channel https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCxxWE4Xpsv_UU5QGT7S-jyA
Twitter https://twitter.com/hurricanetrack
Facebook https://www.facebook.com/HurricaneTrack/

Video of the 2018 Hurricane Season as experienced by Mark and his cameras is available at Amazon https://www.amazon.com/dp/B07SPFJKL3/ref=sr_1_1?keywords=tracking+the+hurricanes+2018&qid=1559674211&s=gateway&sr=8-1




Macon Media Almanac for July 09, 2019

Highest Temperature 95°F in Franklin in 1977
Lowest Temperature 44°F in Highlands in 1896
Greatest Rainfall 7.43 inches in Highlands in 1916
Greatest Snowfall no measurable snow has been recorded on this date since records started being kept in 1872


Weather Extremes for Macon County for the month of July
Data available from 1872 to 2018

Highest Temperature 101°F in Franklin on 07-29-1952
Lowest Temperature 34°F in Highlands on 07-27-1911
Greatest Rainfall 21.15 inches in Highlands on 07-29-1879
Greatest Snowfall no measurable snowfall has been recorded since records started being kept in 1873

Weather Extremes for North Carolina for the month of July
Data available from 1870 to 2018

Highest Temperature 109°F Albemarle, Stanly County 07-28-1940
Lowest Temperature 32°F Celo, Yancey County 07-10-1961
Greatest One-Day Rainfall 21.15 in Highlands, Macon County 07-29-1879

Monthly Averages

Warmest Weather Station 81.3°F Fayetteville, Cumberland County
Coldest Weather Station 60.4°F Mount Mitchell, Yancey County
Wettest Weather Station 7.97 in Wilmington, New Hanover County
Driest Weather Station 2.97 in Asheville, Buncombe County




Published at 4:10am on July 09, 2019


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