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Wednesday, July 10, 2019

Daily Weather Briefing for Wednesday. July 10, 2019





Outlook

High pressure moving north past our region today will bring us slightly cooler temperatures, but with higher chances of afternoon showers and thunderstorms. A weak front dropping down from the northwest late in the week might bring another round of numerous showers and storms for Thursday into Friday.


THREE DAY GFS FORECAST
This animated image shows a forecast of precipitation, air pressure and thickness level (cold-air damming) for three days in six-hour increments.
Green, Yellow, and Red indicate rain. Orange and Purple Indicate Freezing Rain or other freezing precipitation. Blue indicates snow.





WEATHER SPONSOR



Adams Products, a Division of Oldcastle is underwriting the daily weather briefing & public safety updates for the month.

Open 7:30 AM to 4:00 PM, M-F, located at 895 Hickory Knoll Road, Franklin, NC. Visit our Facebook page at:
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Weather Hazards

Scattered thunderstorms are expected this afternoon and evening. Any thunderstorm that develops will be capable of producing strong gusty winds, brief heavy rainfall, and cloud to ground lightning. A few of these thunderstorms may become severe and produce damaging wind gusts. In addition, localized flooding and flash flooding will be possible if thunderstorms persist over the same areas.


**Note** A Tropical Weather Outlook section has been added to the daily weather briefing for the Atlantic Hurricane Season, and since those tend to run long when there is activity, that section has been added between the daily forecasts for the four regions of the county and the almanac section so people can get to their daily forecasts with minimal interference.




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WEATHER FORECAST MAPS

Forecast maps for 7 am, 1 pm, and 7 pm.
[click on any image in this article to enlarge]




FRANKLIN AREA FORECAST


Today

A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 9am. Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, partly sunny, with a high in the low-to-mid 80s. Calm winds increasing to come out of the southeast around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Tonight

A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 4am. Patchy fog after midnight. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low in the mid-to-upper 60s. Calm winds. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Thursday

Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 3pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high in the mid-80s. Calm winds increasing to come out of the south around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Thursday Night

Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low in the mid-to-upper 60s. Calm winds. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Friday

Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 3pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high in the mid-80s. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Friday Night

A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 65. Chance of precipitation is 40%.



OTTO AREA FORECAST

Today

A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 9am. Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, partly sunny, with a high in the lower 80s. Calm winds increasing to come out of the southeast around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Tonight

A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 4am. Patchy fog after midnight. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low in the mid-to-upper 60s. Light winds out of the southeast. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Thursday

Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 3pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high in the low-to-mid 80s. Calm winds increasing to come out of the southwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

Thursday Night

Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low in the mid-to-upper 60s. Calm winds. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Friday

Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 3pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high in the low-to-mid 80s. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Friday Night

A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low in the mid-60s. Chance of precipitation is 40%.




HIGHLANDS PLATEAU FORECAST

Today

A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 8am. Patchy fog before 10am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a high in the lower 70s. Winds out of the southeast 3 to 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Tonight

A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 4am. Patchy fog after midnight. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low in the mid-60s. Winds out of the southeast around 5 mph becoming calm before midnight. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Thursday

Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 3pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 75. Calm winds increasing to come out of the southwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

Thursday Night

Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low in the low-to-mid 60s. Winds out of the southwest 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Friday

Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 3pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high in the mid-70s. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Friday Night

Showers and thunderstorms likely before 2am, then a chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low in the low-to-mid 60s. Chance of precipitation is 60%.



NANTAHALA AREA FORECAST

Today

Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly between 2pm and 3pm. Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, partly sunny, with a high in the mid-to-upper 70s. Light winds out of the southeast. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

Tonight

A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 4am. Patchy fog after 11pm. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. Light winds out of the southeast. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Thursday

Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 3pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high in the mid-to-upper 70s. Calm winds increasing to come out of the southwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

Thursday Night

Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. Light winds out of the southwest. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Friday

Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 3pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high in the mid-to-upper 70s. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Friday Night

A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low in the low-to-mid 60s. Chance of precipitation is 40%.





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK



Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Wed Jul 10 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A broad low-pressure area located over the far northeastern Gulf of Mexico is producing widespread but disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are conducive for development of this system, and a tropical depression is expected to form late today or Thursday while the low moves slowly westward across the northern Gulf of Mexico. An Air Force Reserve Unit reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the disturbance this afternoon. This system could produce storm surge and tropical storm or hurricane force winds across portions of the Louisiana, Mississippi and Upper Texas coasts, and interests there should closely monitor its progress. In addition, this disturbance has the potential to produce very heavy rainfall from the Upper Texas Coast to the Florida Panhandle. For more information, please see products issued by your local weather forecast office and the NOAA Weather Prediction Center.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Levi Cowan is back!

Here is a discussion of the tropical situation from one of the best amateur meteorologists on the internet.


Website tropicaltidbits.com
Patreon patreon.com/Tropicaltidbits
Youtube Page (Latest Uploads) https://www.youtube.com/user/Meridionaljet/videos?view=0&flow=grid
Facebook facebook.com/tropicaltidbits/
Twitter twitter.com/TropicalTidbits

An outlook from Mark Suddoth of HurricaneTrack.com that was posted yesterday afternoon


You can follow Mark's work at the following locations:

Website http://hurricanetrack.com/
Youtube Channel https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCxxWE4Xpsv_UU5QGT7S-jyA
Twitter https://twitter.com/hurricanetrack
Facebook https://www.facebook.com/HurricaneTrack/

Video of the 2018 Hurricane Season as experienced by Mark and his cameras is available at Amazon https://www.amazon.com/dp/B07SPFJKL3/ref=sr_1_1?keywords=tracking+the+hurricanes+2018&qid=1559674211&s=gateway&sr=8-1




Macon Media Almanac for July 10, 2019

Highest Temperature 93°F at the Coweeta Experimental Station in 1980
Lowest Temperature 43°F in Highlands in 1918
Greatest Rainfall 3.44 inches in Highlands in 1916
Greatest Snowfall no measurable snow has been recorded on this date since records started being kept in 1872


Weather Extremes for Macon County for the month of July
Data available from 1872 to 2018

Highest Temperature 101°F in Franklin on 07-29-1952
Lowest Temperature 34°F in Highlands on 07-27-1911
Greatest Rainfall 21.15 inches in Highlands on 07-29-1879
Greatest Snowfall no measurable snowfall has been recorded since records started being kept in 1873

Weather Extremes for North Carolina for the month of July
Data available from 1870 to 2018

Highest Temperature 109°F Albemarle, Stanly County 07-28-1940
Lowest Temperature 32°F Celo, Yancey County 07-10-1961
Greatest One-Day Rainfall 21.15 in Highlands, Macon County 07-29-1879

Monthly Averages

Warmest Weather Station 81.3°F Fayetteville, Cumberland County
Coldest Weather Station 60.4°F Mount Mitchell, Yancey County
Wettest Weather Station 7.97 in Wilmington, New Hanover County
Driest Weather Station 2.97 in Asheville, Buncombe County




Published at 4:00am on July 10, 2019


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