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Saturday, September 21, 2019

Daily Weather Briefing for Saturday, September 21, 2019





Outlook

Dry high pressure will persist over the region through the weekend, with temperatures gradually warming. A weak cold front will cross the area from the northwest early next week, but with limited moisture. Dry and warm high pressure will return for the rest of next week.


THREE DAY GFS FORECAST
This animated image shows a forecast of precipitation, air pressure and thickness level (cold-air damming) for three days in six-hour increments.
Green, Yellow, and Red indicate rain. Orange and Purple Indicate Freezing Rain or other freezing precipitation. Blue indicates snow.





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Adams Products, a Division of Oldcastle is underwriting the daily weather briefing & public safety updates for the month.

Open 7:30 AM to 4:00 PM, M-F, located at 895 Hickory Knoll Road, Franklin, NC. Visit our Facebook page at:
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Weather Hazards

Hazardous weather is not expected today.


**Note** A Tropical Weather Outlook section has been added to the daily weather briefing for the Atlantic Hurricane Season, and since those tend to run long when there is activity, that section has been added between the daily forecasts for the four regions of the county and the almanac section so people can get to their daily forecasts with minimal interference.




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WEATHER FORECAST MAPS

Forecast maps for 7 am, 1 pm, and 7 pm.
[click on any image in this article to enlarge]





FRANKLIN AREA FORECAST

Today

Areas of fog before 10am. Otherwise, cloudy through midmorning, then gradual clearing, with a high near 80. Light and variable winds.

Tonight

Patchy fog after 4am. Otherwise, mostly clear, with a low in the mid-50s. Calm winds.

Sunday

Areas of fog before 8am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming sunny, with a high in the mid-80s. Calm winds in the morning increasing to come out of the south around 5 mph in the afternoon.

Sunday Night

Mostly clear, with a low in the mid-50s. Calm winds.

Monday

Sunny, with a high in the mid-80s. Calm winds in the morning increasing to come out of the northwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.

Monday Night

Partly cloudy, with a low in the upper 50s.




OTTO AREA FORECAST

Today

Areas of fog before 9am. Otherwise, cloudy through midmorning, then gradual clearing, with a high near 80. Calm winds in the morning increasing to come out of the southeast around 5 mph in the afternoon.

Tonight

Patchy fog after 4am. Otherwise, mostly clear, with a low in the mid-50s. Light and variable winds.

Sunday

Areas of fog before 8am. Otherwise, sunny, with a high in the lower 80s. Calm winds in the morning increasing to come out of the south around 5 mph in the afternoon.

Sunday Night

Mostly clear, with a low in the mid-50s. Light and variable winds.

Monday

Sunny, with a high in the mid-80s. Calm winds increasing to come out of the west 5 to 10 mph by midmorning.

Monday Night

Partly cloudy, with a low around 60.



HIGHLANDS PLATEAU FORECAST

Today

Sunny, with a high near 70. Calm winds in the morning increasing to come out of the southeast around 6 mph in the afternoon.

Tonight

Mostly clear, with a low in the mid-50s. Winds out of the southeast around 5 mph becoming calm before midnight.

Sunday

Sunny, with a high in the low-to-mid 70s. Calm winds in the morning increasing to come out of the south 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.

Sunday Night

Mostly clear, with a low in the mid-50s. Winds out of the southwest around 6 mph becoming light and variable after midnight.

Monday

Sunny, with a high in the mid-70s. Winds out of the west 5 to 10 mph.

Monday Night

Partly cloudy, with a low in the mid to upper 50s.



NANTAHALA AREA FORECAST

Today

Mostly sunny, with a high in the mid-to-upper 70s. Calm winds.

Tonight

Mostly clear, with a low in the mid-50s. Light winds out of the southeast.

Sunday

Sunny, with a high near 80. Calm winds in the morning increasing to come out of the southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.

Sunday Night

Mostly clear, with a low in the mid-50s. Winds out of the south around 5 mph becoming calm before midnight.

Monday

Mostly sunny, with a high near 80. Calm winds increasing to come out of the west 5 to 10 mph by midmorning.

Monday Night

A 20 percent chance of showers before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low in the mid-to-upper 50s.




TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK Things are starting to heat up
(video from Levi Cowan of Tropical Tidbits and Mark Sudduth of HurricaneTrack.com have been added to this segment below the tropical outlook and will remain as long as they cover this storm)



Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sat Sep 21 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently downgraded Tropical Storm Jerry, located more than a hundred miles north of the northern Leeward Islands.

1. A tropical wave located several hundred miles east of the Windward Islands continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are currently conducive for some development, and a tropical depression could form on Sunday or early next week while the system moves quickly westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph, crossing the Windward Islands on Sunday. Upper-level winds are forecast to become less conducive for development by the middle of next week once the wave moves out of the northeastern Caribbean Sea. A NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system this afternoon, if necessary. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is possible over much of the Lesser Antilles over the weekend, and interests on those islands and Puerto Rico should monitor the progress of this disturbance.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

2. A broad area of low pressure located just south of Haiti continues to produce only disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Due to strong upper-level winds, significant development of this system is not expected while it moves slowly west-northwestward during the next couple of days. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is likely over portions of Hispaniola, Jamaica, and Cuba through the weekend, potentially causing flash flooding and mudslides in areas of high terrain.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

3. A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa by Sunday. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is likely to form early next week while the wave moves westward across the eastern tropical Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.




Weather Extremes for Macon County for the month of September
Data available from 1872 to 2018

Highest Temperature 98°F in Franklin on 09-04-1975
Lowest Temperature 27°F in Franklin on 09-30-1967
Greatest Rainfall 11.87 inches in Highlands on 09-27-1964
Greatest Snowfall no measurable snowfall has been recorded since records started being kept in 1873

Weather Extremes for North Carolina for the month of September
Data available from 1870 to 2018

Highest Temperature 109°F Weldon, Halifax County 09-07-1954
Lowest Temperature 23°F Marion, McDowell County 09-28-2000
Greatest One-Day Rainfall 19.30 in Southport, Brunswick County 09-16-1999

Monthly Averages

Warmest Weather Station 75.4°F Morehead City, Carteret County
Coldest Weather Station 55.0°F Mount Mitchell, Yancey County
Wettest Weather Station 8.93 in Southport, Brunswick County
Driest Weather Station 2.94 in Marshall, Madison County



Published at 4:45am on September 21, 2019


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