OUTLOOK
Shower and thunderstorm chances will prevail for the rest of the week. The best chance for any activity to occur will be today and Saturday as an approaching cold front makes its way into the region from the northwest. The front may stall near the southern part of the area Sunday into early next week, keeping isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms in the forecast.
GoFundMe Established to Benefit Children of David and Dawn Head
On Saturday, 5/23/2020, Macon County Sheriff's Deputy David Head and his wife, Dawn, a Physical Therapist with Highlands/Cashiers Hospital, were tragically killed in an automobile accident. They leave behind four children, Jeslyn Head (17), J.D. Head (13), Erin Sanborn (17), and Sidney Sanborn (19). This fund has been set up by the employees of the Macon County Sheriff's Office in an effort to help all 4 children of David and Dawn Head. [LINK]
Most recent Local Government Meetings
The Macon County Board of Commissioners met on June 2nd. [LINK]
The Franklin Town Council met on June 1st. Members of the public and local media outlets were allowed in the town hall. [LINK]
General Forecast Through Saturday Night
Mostly sunny. Patchy fog this morning. Isolated showers and thunderstorms this afternoon. Highs in the 80s. Winds out of the west around 5 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.
Tonight
Partly cloudy. Patchy fog after midnight. Lows in the 60s. Winds out of the southwest around 5 mph, shifting to come out of the northwest after midnight.
Sunday
Mostly sunny. Patchy fog in the morning. Highs in the 80s. Winds out of the northwest around 5 mph.
Sunday Night
Partly cloudy in the evening, then becoming mostly cloudy. Lows in the 60s. Winds out of the southeast around 5 mph.
Monday
Partly sunny. Highs ranging from the upper 70s to the mid-80s. Winds out of the southeast around 5 mph.
Monday Night
Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the 60s. Chance of rain 30 percent.
Hazards
Isolated thunderstorms with frequent cloud-to-ground lightning and brief heavy rain is possible this afternoon to early evening.
Air Quality Alert
...AIR QUALITY ALERT IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 AM EDT SUNDAY...
The North Carolina Department of Environmental Quality in Raleigh NC has issued a Code Orange Air Quality Action Day for Ground Level Ozone for locations above 4000 feet in Avery, Mitchell, Yancey, Madison, Haywood, Jackson, Swain, Graham, Macon, and Transylvania Counties, from 10 AM this morning to 4 AM EDT Sunday.
An Air Quality Action Day means that Ground Level Ozone concentrations within the region may approach or exceed unhealthy standards. For additional information, please visit the North Carolina Division of Air Quality Web site at https://xapps.ncdenr.org/aq/ForecastCenterEnvista.
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Weather Sponsor
Adams Products, a Division of Oldcastle is underwriting the daily weather briefing & public safety updates for the month.
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Tropical Weather
(The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th)
Tropical Tidbit from Levi Cowan
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sat Jun 6 2020
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Cristobal, centered over the south-central Gulf of Mexico.
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.
Tropical Storm Cristobal Discussion Number 19
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032020
400 AM CDT Sat Jun 06 2020
Satellite imagery this morning shows that Cristobal does not have a classic tropical cyclone structure, probably due to interaction with a mid- to upper-level trough and the associated entrainment of dry air. The circulation is elongated north-south near the center, and multiple low-cloud swirls are preset. In addition, the strongest convection is well removed from the center of Cristobal to the north and east. The initial intensity is held at 40 kt based on earlier scatterometer data and continuity from the previous advisory.
The initial motion is now 350/12. There is no change in the track forecast philosophy from the previous advisory. A south to north steering flow between a deep-layer ridge over the western Atlantic and the aforementioned trough over the western Gulf of Mexico should cause Cristobal to continue moving generally northward for the next 36 h or so. This motion should take the center of the storm across the Louisiana coast by Sunday night. Around the landfall time, a slight turn to the northwest is expected as a mid-level ridge moves across the central and eastern U.S. to the north of the cyclone. Overall, the models remain in good agreement, although the GFS and ECMWF have shifted a little to the left of their previous forecasts. The new official forecast is similar to the previous forecast and lies near the various consensus models.
Cristobal is expected to slowly strengthen until it makes landfall along the northern Gulf coast in a couple of days. However, the broad structure of the cyclone, the dry air entrainment, and moderate wind shear should prevent a significant amount of intensification. One change from the previous forecast is that the global models suggest that Cristobal will undergo extratropical transition over the upper Mississippi River valley in about 4 days, and it should persist a little longer than previously forecast.
Cristobal is likely to remain a broad and asymmetric storm when it makes landfall. Therefore, users are urged to not focus on the exact forecast path as the associated winds, storm surge, and rainfall will extend well to the east of the center.
Key Messages:
1. Damaging and deadly flooding was already occurring in portions of Mexico and Central America. Additional rainfall from Cristobal will continue to slowly subside, however life threatening flash floods and mudslides will still be possible into Saturday. Refer to products from your local weather office for more information.
2. There is a danger of life-threatening storm surge outside of the Hurricane and Storm Damage Risk Reduction System from the Mouth of the Mississippi River to Ocean Springs, Mississippi, and a Storm Surge Warning is in effect for those areas. Life-threatening storm surge remains possible along the Florida Big Bend and in other portions of southern and southeastern Louisiana where a Storm Surge Watch is in effect. Residents in these locations should follow advice given by local emergency officials.
3. Tropical storm force winds are expected by late Saturday night along the northern Gulf Coast from southeastern Louisiana to the western Florida Panhandle, including metropolitan New Orleans, and a Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for this area. These winds will arrive well in advance of and extend well east of Cristobals center.
4. Heavy rainfall will spread into portions of the Gulf Coast, from east Texas to Florida, this weekend into early next week, with areas of flash flooding. Significant flooding will be possible on the smaller tributaries, especially where heavier rainfall occurs over portions of the Mid-South and Gulf Coast.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 06/0900Z 23.8N 90.2W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 06/1800Z 25.0N 90.4W 45 KT 50 MPH
24H 07/0600Z 26.8N 90.4W 50 KT 60 MPH
36H 07/1800Z 28.8N 90.5W 50 KT 60 MPH
48H 08/0600Z 30.6N 91.3W 40 KT 45 MPH...INLAND
60H 08/1800Z 33.2N 92.1W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
72H 09/0600Z 36.4N 92.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
96H 10/0600Z 45.0N 89.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
120H 11/0600Z 52.5N 83.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
End Daily Weather Segment
Begin COVID-19 Update
Here are some numbers from the CDC, the NCDHHS, and the Johns Hopkins Dashboard. Macon Media prefers the Johns Hopkins Dashboard because the counts include those non-residents that are left out of the CDC and NCDHHS numbers.
The CDC website [LINK] reports 31,966 people in North Carolina are infected, 960 have died, and infections are widespread, the NCDHHS website [LINK] reports 33,255 confirmed cases from 482,147 targeted tests, and 717 hospitalized and 966 deaths in the state. The Johns Hopkins Dashboard [LINK] reports 33,295 people infected and 1,015 deaths (these include non-residents located in NC).
COVID-19 Data for Macon County from Coronaction. [LINK]
Detected 119
Recovered 30
Deceased 1
Actives 88
Data from Macon County Public Health [LINK] http://www.maconnc.org/health-department.html
Detected 122
Recovered 17
Deceased 1
Actives 104
Testing Data
MCPH Tests 1,496
Other Tests 343
Total Tests 1,839
Resources for Reliable Information about the Corona Virus (COVID-19) [LINK]
CROWDFUNDING OR DAY SPONSORSHIP OPPORTUNITIES
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Published at 6:55am on Saturday, June 6, 2020
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