GENERAL OUTLOOK
Low relative humidity and occasional gusty winds will enhance the fire danger across the area for much of the next week, with dangerous fire conditions possible Saturday. A cold front crosses the region this morning producing a quick shot of showers, with accumulating high elevation snow showers expected this afternoon into tonight before conditions dry out again Friday morning. The next significant chance for rain will be early next week when another front is expected to impact the region.
WEATHER SPONSOR
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DAY SPONSOR
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GENERAL FORECAST
(since this is a quick forecast intended to cover the whole county, bear in mind that higher elevations may experience cooler temperatures than this and the lower elevations may experience higher temperatures than those in the forecast)
.TODAY...Partly sunny with rain showers likely this morning, then mostly sunny with a slight chance of rain showers this afternoon. Much cooler with highs in the upper 40s. Temperature falling into the lower 40s this afternoon. West winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 30 mph, increasing to 40 mph this afternoon. Chance of rain 70 percent.
..TONIGHT...Mostly cloudy in the evening, then becoming partly cloudy. Breezy and much colder with lows in the mid 20s. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 55 mph.
..FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 40 mph, diminishing to around 5 mph in the afternoon.
..FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. West winds around 5 mph, increasing to 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph after midnight.
..SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.
..SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s.
HAZARDOUS WEATHER
A wind Advisory is in effect today for high winds, especially above 3,000 feet that will help make outdoor burning a dangerous activity. Please do not burn today. There is also a northwest flow snow event developing this afternoon. For further information on those hazards, read below.
...NORTHWEST FLOW SNOW DEVELOPING THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT...
Northwest flow moisture will develop behind a departing cold front this afternoon into tonight across the western North Carolina mountains. With colder air filtering in behind the front, temperatures will gradually fall near or below freezing this afternoon into this evening. This will allow rain showers to gradually transition to snow showers. Snowfall totals from 1-3 inches will be mainly confined to elevations above 3500 ft, although half an inch to an inch of snow should fall in the valleys along/near the NC/TN border. The highest snowfall amounts are expected to fall across the Smokies, with 4-6 inches expected. Locally higher amounts will be possible, especially above 4,000 ft. Some light snow or flurries may spill into northern Jackson County, southern Haywood County, and southern Buncombe County this evening. However, no accumulations are expected. Snow should taper off prior to daybreak Friday. Additionally, gusty northwest winds will develop behind the front ranging from 35-45 mph today, increasing to 45-50 mph this evening into late tonight. A Wind Advisory is in effect for the North Carolina mountains from 8pm this evening through 8am Friday.
Plan on slippery road conditions. Slow down and use caution while driving as snow will impact the evening commute.
...INCREASED FIRE DANGER LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
A cold front will allow gusty winds to develop today, ranging from 25 to 35 mph. Although scattered rain showers are expected to track across western North Carolina later this morning, this will not be enough of a wetting rain to bring relief to dry fuels. Relative humidity will fall below 30% for a few hours later today as drier air filters into the region behind the cold front. Dry fuels, gusty winds, and low relative humidity will all lead to increased Fire Danger today. Thus, a Fire Danger Statement has been issued for the North Carolina Foothills and Piedmont from 4 PM to 8 PM this evening. Please refer to your local burn permitting authorities whether you may burn outdoors. If you do burn outside, use extreme caution.
Please refer to your local burn permitting authorities whether you may burn outdoors. If you do burn outside, use extreme caution.
SATURDAY HAZARDS
Northwest flow moisture will develop behind a departing cold front this afternoon into tonight across the western North Carolina mountains. With colder air filtering in behind the front, temperatures will gradually fall near or below freezing this afternoon into this evening. This will allow rain showers to gradually transition to snow showers. Snowfall totals from 1-3 inches will be mainly confined to elevations above 3500 ft, although half an inch to an inch of snow should fall in the valleys along/near the NC/TN border. The highest snowfall amounts are expected to fall across the Smokies, with 4-6 inches expected. Locally higher amounts will be possible, especially above 4,000 ft. Some light snow or flurries may spill into northern Jackson County, southern Haywood County, and southern Buncombe County this evening. However, no accumulations are expected. Snow should taper off prior to daybreak Friday. Additionally, gusty northwest winds will develop behind the front ranging from 35-45 mph today, increasing to 45-50 mph this evening into late tonight. A Wind Advisory is in effect for the North Carolina mountains from 8pm this evening through 8am Friday.
Plan on slippery road conditions. Slow down and use caution while driving as snow will impact the evening commute.
...INCREASED FIRE DANGER LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
A cold front will allow gusty winds to develop today, ranging from 25 to 35 mph. Although scattered rain showers are expected to track across western North Carolina later this morning, this will not be enough of a wetting rain to bring relief to dry fuels. Relative humidity will fall below 30% for a few hours later today as drier air filters into the region behind the cold front. Dry fuels, gusty winds, and low relative humidity will all lead to increased Fire Danger today. Thus, a Fire Danger Statement has been issued for the North Carolina Foothills and Piedmont from 4 PM to 8 PM this evening. Please refer to your local burn permitting authorities whether you may burn outdoors. If you do burn outside, use extreme caution.
Please refer to your local burn permitting authorities whether you may burn outdoors. If you do burn outside, use extreme caution.
SATURDAY HAZARDS
A combination of low relative humidity, gusty winds, and dry fuels will increase fire danger significantly on Saturday afternoon. If current trends continue, a Red Flag Warning may be needed.
NTSB (National Transportation Safety Board) Investigation Pages
• Learjet 55 Medevac Crash [1/31/2025 - Philadelphia, PA]
• Midair Collision PSA Airlines Bombardier CRJ700 Airplane and Sikorsky H-60 Military Helicopter [1/29/2025 - Arlington, VA]
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Published at 5.00am on Wednesday, March 20, 2025
Author: Bobby Coggins
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