The central secret to Hezbollah's success is that it trained its (global) guerrillas to make decisions autonomously (classic 4GW), at the small group level. In every area -- from firing rockets to defending prepared positions to media routing around jamming/disruption -- we have examples of Hezbollah teams deciding, adapting, innovating, and collaborating without reference to any central authority. The result of this decentralization is that Hezbollah's aggregate decision cycles are faster and qualitatively better than those of their Israeli counterparts.
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This autonomy may also be political. That's a bad thing for the Lebanese. In order to permanently stop the fighting, you need Hezbollah to surrender. Say Nasrallah finally does. How many of these independent units will comply? They don't need him to continue fighting the way the Wehrmacht needed the Nazi regime to provide supplies.
I would suggest (without any research to back this up) that this is why all of the Israeli-Palestinian peace treaties have failed. You sign it with Arafat, say, but the others don't need Arafat and can choose to sign on or not as they wish.
All you need is a small percentage to not sign on and then the fight is on again. Rockets are launched at Israel, Israel retaliates, innocents are killed in collateral damage and then everyone throws their treaties away and the fight begins again.
The bad thing for the Lebanese (and Palestinians) is that in order to stop this, you're going to have to cause enough damage for even the most hardened of the maniacs to stop.
That's a lot of damage. Picture Sherman's march through Georgia.
We are fighting an ideology. When I say we, I mean the adherents of Western Civilization, who may be of any geographic location.
The only way I see this ideology being defeated is to destroy it so completely where ever we see it without regard to borders or political niceties.
As a Jacksonian, I believe we should teach oue enemies, or potential enemies, that there is nothing that can be gained from arousing our ire, and that they should be so unsure about where our ire is, so that they err on the side of prudence.
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