Daily Weather Briefing for Friday, September 1, 2017

LOCAL OUTLOOK

Numerous rounds of showers and thunderstorms are expected through late tonight as the remnants of Harvey move into the Ohio Valley and a frontal boundary persists across Western North Carolina. Warmer and drier high pressure behind Harvey will result in a return to near normal temperatures by early next week. A cold front will approach from the west by the middle of next week.


WEATHER SPONSOR



Adams Products, a Division of Oldcastle is underwriting the daily weather briefing and public safety updates for the month. They have all your masonry products (block, mortars, tools), plus feature Belgrade Pavers and Sakrete Products. Open 7:30 AM to 4:00 PM, M-F, located at 895 Hickory Knoll Road, Franklin, NC.

Visit their Facebook page at: https://www.facebook.com/Adams.Oldcastle.Franklin.NC/

Their phone number is 828.524.8545, all are welcome, let them help you with your next project.


Weather Almanac for September 1st (1872-2016)

Record weather events for this date in Macon County

Highest Temperature 95°F in Franklin in 1951
Lowest Temperature 40°F at the Coweeta Experimental Station in 1946
Greatest Rainfall 5.80 inches in Highlands in 1917


Record weather events for September in Macon County

Highest Temperature 98°F in Franklin on Sept 4, 1975
Lowest Temperature 27°F in Franklin on Sept 30, 1967
Greatest Rainfall 11.87 inches in Highlands on Sept 29, 1967


THREE DAY OUTLOOK



TODAY ran in the morning and possible thunder in the afternoon

Patchy fog today. Mostly cloudy with highs in Franklin and the main valley in the lower 70s and 5 to 8 degrees cooler in Highlands and the higher elevations. Winds out of the southeast 5 to 15 mph. 70% chance of rain with rainfall amounts between a tenth and a quarter of an inch, with locations that see thunderstorm activity receiving more. Rainfall rates should be in the neighborhood of between 0.05 and 0.15 inches per hour.


TONIGHT rain tapering off, thunder possible before midnight

Mostly cloudy with overnight fog developing and lows near 60 in Franklin and the main valley and 5 to 8 degrees cooler in Highlands and the higher elevations. 60% chance of rain with rainfall rates not expected to exceed 0.1 inches an hour. Rain should start to taper off by midnight and be intermittent after.



SATURDAY

Partly sunny with highs in the low to mid-70s and winds 5 to 10 mph out of the southwest.

SATURDAY NIGHT

Partly cloudy with lows in the 50s and winds out of the west calming before midnight.



SUNDAY

Sunny with highs near 80.

SUNDAY NIGHT

Mostly clear with lows in the 50s.

HAZARDS

Rain is expected today, with perhaps an inch or so falling from 6 am to 6 pm. There is a chance of thunderstorm activity this afternoon.

The National Weather Service has issued a Hazardous Weather Outlook for today and tomorrow for the rainfall and storms we will be seeing as the remnants of Harvey pass north of the area. It is posted below:

..TODAY...Severe weather possible. The moisture from the remnants of Harvey, coupled with strong wind fields aloft, and an unstable atmosphere, will support the potential for severe thunderstorms. The primary threats will be damaging winds and isolated tornadoes. It appears isolated activity could begin Friday morning roughly along and south of Interstate 85, with a somewhat greater potential Friday afternoon and evening around the entire region. There will also be a lingering heavy rain threat Friday, therefore we will be monitoring any flooding potential

As always, you can check to see what advisories, watches, and warnings are in effect for Macon County by visiting http://is.gd/MACONWARN



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

What remains of HARVEY will be passing to our north today and tonight, with us being in the dry slot so we will not be receiving as much rain as forecast earlier in the week. HUrricane IRMA has formed in the Atlantic and may pose a threat to the east coast in a week or so. It is far too soon to be making dire predictions about this storm.


Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Fri Sep 1 2017

For the North Atlantic...The Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Irma, located over the eastern Atlantic Ocean. The Weather Prediction Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Harvey, located over northern Mississippi.

1. A tropical wave located over the far eastern Atlantic Ocean just off the west coast of Africa is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development, and this system could become a tropical depression early next week while it moves westward at 15 mph over the tropical Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.



TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY ADVISORY NUMBER 47
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL092017
1000 PM CDT THU AUG 31 2017

...HARVEY BEGINNING TO LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS AS HEAVY RAIN
SPREADS TOWARD THE OHIO VALLEY...SEVERE FLOODING CONTINUES ACROSS
FAR EASTERN TEXAS AND WESTERN LOUISIANA...

SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...34.3N 89.0W
ABOUT 10 MILES...15 KM...WSW OF TUPELO/C.D. LEMONS MISSISSIPPI
ABOUT 80 MILES...130 KM...SE OF MEMPHIS TENNESSEE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...50 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...23 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLASH FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FROM NORTHEAST
ARKANSAS INTO NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI...WESTERN TENNESSEE AND MUCH OF
KENTUCKY...

...FLOOD WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF EASTERN TEXAS INTO
WESTERN LOUISIANA...

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.3 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 89.0 WEST. RADAR AND SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY HAS BEGUN TO SHOW SIGNS OF LOSING TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS IN THE PAST FEW HOURS. HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS AS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE OHIO VALLEY OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS BEFORE DISSIPATING IN OHIO SATURDAY EVENING.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
-------
RAINFALL...TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY Is expected to produce 2 to 5 inches of rain from western to central Tennessee and western to central Kentucky into extreme southeastern Indiana, southern Ohio, and west central West Virginia. Locally higher totals of 6 to 8 inches are possible from western Tennessee to west central Kentucky. These rains will enhance the flash flooding risk across these areas. However, widespread flooding will continue in and around Houston, Beaumont/Port Arthur/Orange, and eastward around the Louisiana border through the weekend. The expected heavy rains spreading northeastward across the Tennessee valley may also lead to flash flooding...Increasing the chance of river and small stream flooding. Do not attempt to travel in the affected area if you are in a safe place. Do not drive into flooded roadways.

...SELECTED (Top 2 each state) PRELIMINARY STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 10
PM CDT

...ALABAMA...
GASQUE 8.00
BONSECOUR 7.91


...ARKANSAS...
MAMMOTH SPRINGS 2 SSE 6.42
HARRISBURG 4.33


...FLORIDA...
PENSACOLA REGIONAL AIRPORT 7.95
MILTON 7.33


...GEORGIA...
COLUMBUS METRO ARPT 2.04
ATLANTA RGNL ARPT - FALCON FIELD 1.70

...LOUISIANA...
BAYOU CONWAY 22.25
BAYOU TORO NEAR TORO 20.62


...MISSISSIPPI...
GAUTIER 8.27
SANDHILL CRANE - FTS 7.90


...TENNESSEE...
MEMPHIS INTL ARPT 1.25
JACKSON MCKELLAR-SIPES RGNL ARPT 1.12

...TEXAS...
CEDAR BAYOU AT FM 1942 51.88
CLEAR CREEK AT I-45 49.40


...SELECTED PEAK WIND GUSTS IN MILES PER HOUR EARLIER IN THE
EVENT...

...TEXAS...
PORT ARANSAS 2 ENE 132
COPANO VILLAGE 1 ENE 125



NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 400 AM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.

FORECASTER KONG

FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 01/0300Z 34.3N 89.0W
12HR VT 01/1200Z 35.5N 87.8W
24HR VT 02/0000Z 36.7N 85.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
36HR VT 02/1200Z 37.9N 84.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
48HR VT 03/0000Z 40.2N 83.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

MACON CALENDAR

If you have an event you wish to be added to this calendar, please send the information, along with a flyer in pdf format or a high-quality photo, to editor@maconmedia.com. If you want text published, please include a paragraph with your photo, flyer or graphic. Please include date(s) and time(s).
There is no charge for civic, educational or nonprofit groups, except for groups or events that receive funding from the TDA, TDC, and EDC, where full rates apply.


Friday, September 8th at 1:00 pm

BUTTERFLY WALK AT HIGHLANDS BIOLOGICAL STATION

James T. Costa, Ph.D. will lead a free nature walk with an emphasis on butterflies at 1 pm Friday Sept. 8 at the Highlands Biological Station, 265 N. 6th St. Highlands. He is Director of the research station and a biology professor at Western Carolina University. For those who want to carpool from Franklin, we will meet at Bi-Lo's parking lot at 12:15 pm. Please email Renee at Rubinlive@gmail.com if you are interested so you may be informed of any changes due to weather.
In addition, Dr. Costa will speak at 6:30 pm Sept. 8 at City Lights in Sylva about his new book, Darwin's Backyard: How Small Experiments Led to a Big Theory.

The Future Farmers of America are selling Raffle Tickets
More information is posted below:

Support Franklin FFA (Future Farmers of America)
!!! RAFFLE TICKETS !!!!

$5.00 a ticket or 5 for $20.00

Winner announced & does not be present at The Macon County Fair 2017
September 13-16, 2017 at The Wayne Proffitt Agriculture Center - Macon County Fairgrounds, 1436 Georgia Rd, Franklin NC 28734
Raffle is for Adventure Package, valued at $300.00...

Items are:
1. Cargo Carrier ( donated by Ultimate Truck Accessories) - can be used atop an SUV/Van or rear hitch
2. Foldable Camp Chairs in Camo with Table
3. Burn Fire Log (Swedish Flame Torch)
4. Lighter
5. Heavy Duty Flashlight
6. "Over the flame" cooking basket
7. Roasting Sticks
8. Bug Spray

We thank Appalachian Ace Hardware for their support.

*All proceeds go to Franklin FFA & FHS Ag Dept*
Contact Gregory Charles Spala via FB or 813-838-7693 text or call
Or Lori Spala via FB or 813-503-2160


September 27th, WEDNESDAY

HOSPICE HOUSE FOUNDATION OF WNC

PEACEFUL JOURNEY
3rd annual charity dining event
hosted by RISTORANTE PAOLETTI at 440 Main Street in Highlands

For information, visit http://hhfwnc.org/peaceful-journey/


National Alliance on Mental Illness
Appalachian South

Meets each Thursday at 7pm
The First Methodist Church Outreach Center
at the intersection of Harrison Ave. and West Main Street
(directly across from Lazy Hiker Brewery)

Come join our weekly support group for anyone suffering from mental illness and their family or friends. This includes Depression, Bipolar,8chizophrenia, PTSD, Substance Abuse, Etc.

Here you will find:
— others living with mental health challenges YOU ARE NOT ALONE
- learn coping skills and ?find hope in shared experience
- help learning how to break down stigma and guilt surrounding mental health
- how to live life with the expectation of a better a better future

Kay (706)970-9987 Denise (828)347-5000)

SYRINGE EXCHANGE PROGRAM

On January 1, 2017, the Syringe Exchange Program of Franklin began operating a comprehensive harm reduction program to address the opioid epidemic that is impacting western NC. Opioid overdose reversal kits including naloxone are available free of charge. If you have any questions about our services or if you know someone interested in volunteering, please contact Stephanie Almeida at 828-475-1920.



Sun and Moon

Sun

Begin civil twilight 6:40 a.m.
Sunrise 7:06 a.m.
Sun transit 1:33 p.m.
Sunset 8:00 p.m.
End civil twilight 8:26 p.m.


Moon

Moonset 2:40 a.m.
Moonrise 5:03 p.m.
Moon transit 10:17 p.m.
Moonset 3:31 a.m. tomorrow

Phase of the Moon on September 1, 2017: Waxing Gibbous with 80% of the Moon's visible disk illuminated.
Closest Primary Moon Phase: First Quarter on August 29, 2017 at 4:13 a.m. (local daylight time)





Sky Guides for this week

Sky and Telescope Magazine 
Astronomy Magazine


Earth Sky has an article on the eclipses of 2017. [LINK]

Heavens Above has an Android App that will assist you in observing the sky and even has a satellite tracker that will let you know when the International Space Station and dozens of other satellites are overhead. [LINK]

Stellarium is also an app that will assist you in observing the sky. It is available in both Android [LINK] and iOS versions. [LINK]

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You can find out more information on how to do that and some of what I plan to accomplish if I reach certain levels of funding at https://www.patreon.com/MaconMedia

Published at 4:40 am on September 1, 2017

#WNCscan #MaconWx #MaconSafety

Data and information sources: Sources (except where otherwise credited): heavens-above.com, Ian Webster's Github, National Centers for Environmental Prediction, The National Weather Service, National Oceanic Atmospheric Administration, Penn State University Electronic Wall Map, The State Climate Office of North Carolina, Storm Prediction Center, U.S. Naval Observatory, and the Weather Prediction Center.