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Tuesday, September 4, 2018

Daily Weather Briefing for Tuesday, September 4, 2018





Franklin Town Council Meets Tonight

The Franklin Town Council has released an agenda and agenda packet to the media for their regular September meeting. In the interest of promoting transparency in both local government and local media outlets, these documents have been posted on the blog for the public to read before the meeting. [LINK]

LOCAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

A strong upper-level ridge will remain over the region through the middle of the week, resulting in above normal temperatures and reduced rain chances. The ridge will weaken late in the week, and rain chances will increase as we approach the weekend. Temperatures will remain above normal into the weekend.

DAY SPONSOR

The Coffee Shop is underwriting Macon Media for today. They are located at 179 Highlands Road. Readers will get 10% percent off their orders today if they mention Macon Media. Like their Facebook Page at fb.com//The-Coffee-Shop-1728496640571318/

The Coffee Shop offers Pancake breakfast, Bakery items, and Specialty Coffees. Open 6a-2p. Tues-Sat.

WEATHER SPONSOR



Adams Products, a Division of Oldcastle is underwriting the daily weather briefing & public safety updates for the month.

Open 7:30 AM to 4:00 PM, M-F, located at 895 Hickory Knoll Road, Franklin, NC. Visit our Facebook page at:
https://www.facebook.com/Adams.Oldcastle.Franklin.NC/

All your masonry needs are available. Our phone number is 828.524.8545, the public is welcome, we’ll help you with your with your next project.

Weather Almanac for September 4th (1872-2016)
Record weather events for this date in Macon County

Highest Temperature 98°F in Franklin in 1975
Lowest Temperature 37°F at the Coweeta Experimental Station in 1952
Greatest Rainfall 2.51 inches in Highlands in 1983

Record Weather Events for September (1872-2017)

Highest Temperature 98°F in Franklin on Sept 4, 1975
Lowest Temperature 27°F in Franklin on Sept 30, 1967
Greatest Rainfall 11.87 inches in Highlands on Sept 29, 1964

Record weather events for this date and month in Macon County

Record Weather Events for Sept 4th in North Carolina

Highest Temperature 107°F in Monroe, Union County in 1925
Lowest Temperature 32°F in Banner Elk, Avery County in 1952
Greatest Rainfall 7.75 inches in Maysville, Onslow County in 1996

Today is the earliest freezing date in North Carolina

Record Weather Events for September in North Carolina

Highest Temperature 109°F in Weldon, Halifax County on 09-07-1954
Lowest Temperature 23°F in Marion, McDowell County on 09-28-2000
Greatest Rainfall 18.30 inches in Southport, Brunswick County on 09-16-1999


WEATHER FORECAST MAPS

Forecast maps for 8 am, 2 pm, and 8 pm. 

[click on any image in this article to enlarge]
(These images replace the three-day forecast maps)





THREE DAY OUTLOOK



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FRANKLIN AREA

TODAY

Isolated showers, mainly after noon. Areas of fog before 9am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with highs in the mid-80s. Light and variable wind. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

TONIGHT

Patchy fog after 2am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with lows in the mid-60s. Calm wind.

WEDNESDAY

A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 5pm. Patchy fog before 8am. Otherwise, partly sunny, with highs in the mid-80s. Light and variable wind. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT

A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 10pm, then a slight chance of showers between 10pm and midnight. Mostly cloudy, with lows in the mid-60s. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

THURSDAY

A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 3pm. Partly sunny, with highs in the mid-80s.

THURSDAY NIGHT

A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with lows in the mid-60s.


--------------------------------------

OTTO AREA

TODAY

Isolated showers and thunderstorms before 2pm, then isolated showers and thunderstorms after 3pm. Areas of fog before 9am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with highs in the mid-80s. Light and variable wind. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

TONIGHT

Patchy fog after 2am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with lows in the mid-60s. Calm wind.

WEDNESDAY

A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 5pm. Patchy fog before 8am. Otherwise, partly sunny, with highs in the mid-80s. Calm wind becoming south southeast around 5 mph in the afternoon. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT

A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with lows in the mid-60s. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

THURSDAY

A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 3pm. Partly sunny, with highs in the mid-80s.

THURSDAY NIGHT

A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with loows in the mid-80s.



--------------------------------------

HIGHLANDS AREA

TODAY

Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 4pm. Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly sunny, with highs in the mid-70s. East southeast wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

TONIGHT

Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Patchy fog after 2am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 60. East southeast wind 5 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

WEDNESDAY

A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am. Patchy fog before 8am. Otherwise, partly sunny, with highs in the mid-to-upper 70s. Calm wind becoming south southeast 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT

A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11pm, then a slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60. Calm wind becoming east around 5 mph after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

THURSDAY

A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 3pm. Partly sunny, with highs in the mid-to-upper 70s.

THURSDAY NIGHT

A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with lows in the lower 60s.



--------------------------------------

NANTAHALA AREA

TODAY

Isolated showers between noon and 1pm, then isolated showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, increasing clouds, with a high near 80. East southeast wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

TONIGHT

Patchy fog after midnight. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with lows in the low-to-mid 60s. East southeast wind 3 to 8 mph.

WEDNESDAY

A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 4pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 80. Light southeast wind. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT

A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9pm, then a slight chance of showers between 9pm and 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with lows in the low-to-mid 60s. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

THURSDAY

A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 80.

THURSDAY NIGHT

A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9pm. Partly cloudy, with lows in the low-to-mid 60s.


--------------------------------------



GOES-16 GeoColor - True Color daytime, multispectral IR
11:52 pm last night to 2:47 am this morning


HAZARDS

Hazardous weather is not expected.


Macon Media maintains a Severe Weather Preparedness Page at http://thunderpigblog.blogspot.com/p/breaking-news-hub.html for those who are interested.

As always, you can check to see what advisories, watches, and warnings are in effect for Macon County by visiting http://is.gd/MACONWARN



GOES 16 - Band 15 - 12.3 µm - Dirty Longwave Window - IR (Precipitation)
11:57 pm last night to 2:52 am this morning

TROPICAL OUTLOOK
(a discussion about Tropical Storm GORDON has been added after this segment)






Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Tue Sep 4 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Florence, located over the eastern Atlantic Ocean and on Tropical Storm Gordon, located over the eastern Gulf of Mexico.

1. A tropical wave located a few hundred miles south-southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development of this system is expected, and it could become a tropical depression late this week or this weekend while it moves westward to west-northwestward across the eastern tropical Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.



Tropical Storm GORDON

Tropical Storm Gordon Discussion Number 7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072018
1100 PM EDT Mon Sep 03 2018

WSR-88D radar data from Tampa shows that the small inner core of Gordon has lost some organization during the past few hours, and GOES-16 satellite imagery and recent aircraft fixes indicate that the low-level center is located near the southwestern edge of the main convective mass. This suggests that there may be some light to moderate westerly shear affecting the cyclone. The Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft recently measured peak 850-mb flight-level winds of 57 kt, and SFMR winds of 50-55 kt. A blend of these data yields an initial wind speed estimate of 50 kt.

A UW/CIMSS shear analysis and the SHIPS model indicates that there is about 10-15 kt of westerly shear over the system. The SHIPS guidance shows a slight relaxation of the shear during the next 12-18 hours while the system moves over the warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico, which should allow for some strengthening. However, Gordon is a small tropical cyclone and subtle changes in shear (both up and down) can result in fairly quick intensity changes for systems like this. The NHC intensity forecast assumes that shear will not be prohibitive and that Gordon will become a hurricane before reaching the northern Gulf coast. The NHC intensity forecast is close to the SHIPS guidance through 24 hours, then follows the HFIP corrected consensus after landfall which shows Gordon weakening rapidly over land.

Gordon is moving west-northwestward at about 15 kt. The tropical storm is expected to maintain a west-northwestward to northwestward heading during the next few days while it moves around the southwestern portion of a large deep-layer ridge centered over the Mid-Atlantic states. After that time, the cyclone should decelerate as it moves around the western periphery of the ridge. The track guidance continues to be tightly clustered through 72 h, and no significant changes were required to the previous NHC track forecast.

Key Messages:

1. Gordon is expected to bring life-threatening storm surge and hurricane conditions to portions of the central Gulf Coast where a Storm Surge Warning and Hurricane Warning are in effect. Residents in these areas should listen to advice from their local officials.
All preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion, as tropical storm conditions are expected to arrive in the warning areas Tuesday afternoon.

2. Heavy rainfall from Gordon will affect southern Alabama, southern Mississippi and Louisiana, where totals could reach as high as 8 inches. This rainfall could cause flash flooding.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 04/0300Z 26.9N 84.3W 50 KT 60 MPH
12H 04/1200Z 28.3N 86.3W 55 KT 65 MPH
24H 05/0000Z 30.0N 88.6W 65 KT 75 MPH
36H 05/1200Z 31.6N 90.3W 40 KT 45 MPH...INLAND
48H 06/0000Z 32.9N 91.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
72H 07/0000Z 34.6N 93.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...INLAND
96H 08/0000Z 36.5N 94.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 09/0000Z 39.5N 93.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW


MACON CALENDAR

If you have an event you wish to be added to this calendar, please send the information, along with a flyer in pdf format or a high-quality photo, to editor@maconmedia.com. If you want text published, please include a paragraph with your photo, flyer or graphics. Please include date(s) and time(s).
There is no charge for civic, educational or nonprofit groups, except for groups or events that receive funding from the TDA, TDC, and EDC, where full rates apply.

Organizers of political events must make themselves available for a video interview at least 7 days before a political event they wish Macon Media to promote. Two weeks is the preferred time frame to maximize awareness.


Walk on the Greenway Scheduled for Saturday, Sept 8th

The Friends of the Greenway invites the community to participate in a "Walk on the Greenway" on Saturday, September 8, 2018 at 2 PM beginning at the Butterfly Garden behind the Shops at RiverWalk on Highlands Road. Jason Love's walk will cover about a half mile, talking about the butterflies found on the Greenway. The highlight will be catching and releasing found butterflies. Jason is the site manager for the Coweeta Long Term Ecological Research Program located at the Coweeta Hydrologic Laboratory in Otto, NC. He has been studying butterflies for over 17 years and is a local authority. A $5 donation is suggested for this benefit walk. Send email of your interest in participating on the walk to: frog28734@gmail.com.

Uptown Gallery classes
(These are on-going classes – repeat weekly)

Free classes and open studio times are being offered at The Uptown Gallery in Franklin. Join others at a painting open studio session every Tuesday from 6:30 pm – 9:00 pm or on Thursday from 11:00 am – 3:00 pm.
Bring your own materials and join an on-going drawing course led by gallery artists on Fridays, from 11am – 2 pm. For information on days open, hours and additional art classes and workshops, contact the gallery on 30 East Main Street at (828) 349 – 4607.

National Alliance on Mental Illness
Appalachian South


Meets each Thursday at 7pm
The First Methodist Church Outreach Center
at the intersection of Harrison Ave. and West Main Street
(directly across from Lazy Hiker Brewery)

Come join our weekly support group for anyone suffering from mental illness and their family or friends. This includes Depression, Bipolar,8chizophrenia, PTSD, Substance Abuse, Etc.

Here you will find:
— others living with mental health challenges YOU ARE NOT ALONE
- learn coping skills and ?find hope in shared experience
- help learning how to break down stigma and guilt surrounding mental health
- how to live life with the expectation of a better a better future

Kay (706)970-9987 Denise (828)347-5000)

SYRINGE EXCHANGE PROGRAM

On January 1, 2017, the Syringe Exchange Program of Franklin began operating a comprehensive harm reduction program to address the opioid epidemic that is impacting western NC. Opioid overdose reversal kits including naloxone are available free of charge. If you have any questions about our services or if you know someone interested in volunteering, please contact Stephanie Almeida at 828-475-1920.



Sun and Moon

Sun

Begin civil twilight 6:42 a.m.
Sunrise 7:08 a.m.
Sun transit 1:32 p.m.
Sunset 7:56 p.m.
End civil twilight 8:22 p.m.


Moon

Moonrise 1:25 a.m.
Moon transit 8:41 a.m.
Moonset 3:59 p.m.


Phase of the Moon on September 4, 2018: Waning Crescent with 33% of the Moon's visible disk illuminated.
Closest Primary Moon Phase: Last Quarter on September 2, 2018 at 10:37 p.m. (local daylight time)


Sky Guides for this week


Sky and Telescope Magazine 
Astronomy Magazine


There will be three solar and two lunar eclipses in 2018. [LINK]

Heavens Above has an Android App that will assist you in observing the sky and even has a satellite tracker that will let you know when the International Space Station and dozens of other satellites are overhead. [LINK]

Stellarium is also an app that will assist you in observing the sky. It is available in both Android [LINK] and iOS versions. [LINK]

CROWDFUNDING OR DAY SPONSORSHIP OPPORTUNITIES


If you receive value from what Macon Media provides to the community, please consider becoming a supporter and contribute at least a dollar a month.


Become a Patron!

If you have a business or event you are interested in sponsorship opportunities or underwriting coverage, send an email to editor@MaconMedia.com for more information. Serious inquiries only. Macon Media rewards early sponsors/underwriters with lifetime guaranteed low rates while newer sponsors/underwriters pay higher rates based on the date they first support Macon Media.

Thank You to the people who have been sending in donations and those businesses who are underwriting coverage of news and events. You have kept Macon Media online.

3:15 am on September 4, 2018

#WNCscan #MaconWx #MaconSafety


Data and information sources: Sources (except where otherwise credited): heavens-above.com, Ian Webster's Github, National Centers for Environmental Prediction, The National Weather Service, National Oceanic Atmospheric Administration, National Hurricane Center, Penn State University Electronic Wall Map, The State Climate Office of North Carolina, Storm Prediction Center, U.S. Naval Observatory, University of Utah Department of Atmospheric Sciences, and the Weather Prediction Center.

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