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Friday, September 14, 2018

Daily Weather Briefing for Friday, September 14, 2018





Sign up for Reverse-911 Calls and Alerts

Macon County contracts with OnSolve LLC to provide Reverse 911 Calls and Alert Calls to those registered to receive such alerts. Visit their website at https://public.coderedweb.com/CNE/en-US/692F85D5FF07 to sign up.

The New Town Bridge Has Opened

Readers reported that the new bridge replacing the old town bridge opened to traffic on one lane yesterday afternoon with no ribbon-cutting, no fanfare. Plans are to pave the bridge today, so expect the usual traffic delays in that area.

GIF of Florence during the overnight hours

Below is a GIF animation showing the movement of Florence overnight from 10:05 pm to 3:20 am this morning. Each frame in the sequence is five minutes apart.




LOCAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

Hurricane Florence will make landfall along the North Carolina coast early this morning and then weaken as it tracks into the western Carolinas this weekend. There will be an increasing threat for widespread flooding later this weekend and early next week as the remnants of Florence drift inland.

From the National Weather Service:

Tropical cyclone Florence is expected to move slowly westward after making landfall along the Carolina coast on Friday. Despite weakening quickly to a tropical storm and tropical depression as it moves west through the western Carolinas and northeast Georgia, it will bring very significant impacts to the region through the weekend and possibly into Monday. Very heavy rainfall due to Florence is becoming increasingly likely this weekend. Prepare now for flooding rainfall, landslides along steep terrain in the mountains, and gusty winds that could damage trees and power lines. In addition, the threat of isolated tornadoes will increase across the area on Sunday. The track of Florence, and the latest forecast of the elements, will need to be monitored very closely over the next several days.




WEATHER SPONSOR



Adams Products, a Division of Oldcastle is underwriting the daily weather briefing & public safety updates for the month.

Open 7:30 AM to 4:00 PM, M-F, located at 895 Hickory Knoll Road, Franklin, NC. Visit our Facebook page at:
https://www.facebook.com/Adams.Oldcastle.Franklin.NC/

All your masonry needs are available. Our phone number is 828.524.8545, the public is welcome, we’ll help you with your with your next project.

Weather Almanac for September 14th (1872-2016)
Record weather events for this date in Macon County

Highest Temperature 91°F in Franklin in 1998
Lowest Temperature 30°F at the Coweeta Experimental Station in 1953
Greatest Rainfall 3.21 inches at the Coweeta Experimental Station in 1945

Record Weather Events for September (1872-2017)

Highest Temperature 98°F in Franklin on Sept 4, 1975
Lowest Temperature 27°F in Franklin on Sept 30, 1967
Greatest Rainfall 11.87 inches in Highlands on Sept 29, 1964

Record weather events for this date and month in Macon County

Record Weather Events for Sept 14th in North Carolina

Highest Temperature 103°F in Goldsboro, Wayne County in 1925
Lowest Temperature 28°F in Celo, Yancey County in 1953
Greatest Rainfall 9.50 inches in Blowing Rock, Watauga County in 1893


Record Weather Events for September in North Carolina

Highest Temperature 109°F in Weldon, Halifax County on 09-07-1954
Lowest Temperature 23°F in Marion, McDowell County on 09-28-2000
Greatest Rainfall 18.30 inches in Southport, Brunswick County on 09-16-1999


WEATHER FORECAST MAPS

Forecast maps for 8 am, 2 pm, and 8 pm. 

[click on any image in this article to enlarge]
(These images replace the three-day forecast maps)





THREE DAY OUTLOOK



--------------------------------------

FRANKLIN AREA

TODAY

Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly sunny, with highs near the upper 80s. Calm wind becoming north northwest 5 to 8 mph in the afternoon.

TONIGHT

Patchy fog before 2am, then patchy fog after 4am. Otherwise, partly cloudy, with a low around 65. Northwest wind 3 to 5 mph.

SATURDAY

A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Patchy fog before 8am. Otherwise, mostly sunny, with highs in the lower 80s. North wind 6 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

SATURDAY NIGHT

A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. North northeast wind around 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

SUNDAY

Showers likely, mainly after 11am. The rain could be heavy at times. Mostly cloudy, with highs in the upper 70s. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

SUNDAY NIGHT

Showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. Chance of precipitation is 60%.



--------------------------------------

OTTO AREA

TODAY

Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly sunny, with a high near 85. North northwest wind 5 to 8 mph.

TONIGHT

Patchy fog after midnight. Otherwise, partly cloudy, with a low around 65. North northwest wind around 6 mph.

SATURDAY

A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 1pm. Mostly sunny, with highs in the lower 80s. North northeast wind around 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

SATURDAY NIGHT

A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. North northeast wind around 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

SUNDAY

Showers likely, mainly after 9am. The rain could be heavy at times. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 75. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

SUNDAY NIGHT

Showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. Chance of precipitation is 70%.



--------------------------------------

HIGHLANDS AREA

TODAY

A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 3pm. Mostly sunny, with highs near the upper 70s. North wind around 9 mph.

TONIGHT

Partly cloudy, with a low around 65. North wind around 11 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.

SATURDAY

A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 75. North northeast wind 11 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

SATURDAY NIGHT

A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Mostly cloudy, with lows in the lower 60s. North northeast wind 11 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

SUNDAY

Showers likely, mainly after 7am. The rain could be heavy at times. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 70. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

SUNDAY NIGHT

Showers likely. Cloudy, with lows in the lower 60s. Chance of precipitation is 70%.


--------------------------------------

NANTAHALA AREA

TODAY

Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, mostly sunny, with a high near 80. North wind 5 to 9 mph.

TONIGHT

A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9pm. Patchy fog after 11pm. Otherwise, partly cloudy, with lows in the lower 60s. North wind 5 to 7 mph.

SATURDAY

A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 1pm. Mostly sunny, with highs in the upper 70s. North northeast wind around 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

SATURDAY NIGHT

A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Mostly cloudy, with lows in the lower 60s. North northeast wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

SUNDAY

Showers likely, mainly after 11am. The rain could be heavy at times. Mostly cloudy, with highs in the lower 70s. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

SUNDAY NIGHT

Showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with lows in the lower 60s. Chance of precipitation is 60%.


--------------------------------------



GOES-16 GeoColor - True Color daytime, multispectral IR
12:27 am to 3:27 am this morning


HAZARDS

Hazardous weather is not expected today. Areas to the east of Macon County are under a Flood Watch, so be careful if you travel east of the county today and through the weekend. If you encounter a flooded road, please do not attempt to drive across it or through the water.



From the National Weather Service:

Tropical cyclone Florence is expected to move slowly westward after making landfall along the Carolina coast on Friday. Despite weakening quickly to a tropical storm and tropical depression as it moves west through the western Carolinas and northeast Georgia, it will bring very significant impacts to the region through the weekend and possibly into Monday. Very heavy rainfall due to Florence is becoming increasingly likely this weekend. Prepare now for flooding rainfall, landslides along steep terrain in the mountains, and gusty winds that could damage trees and power lines. In addition, the threat of isolated tornadoes will increase across the area on Sunday. The track of Florence, and the latest forecast of the elements, will need to be monitored very closely over the next several days.


Macon Media maintains a Severe Weather Preparedness Page at http://thunderpigblog.blogspot.com/p/breaking-news-hub.html for those who are interested.

As always, you can check to see what advisories, watches, and warnings are in effect for Macon County by visiting http://is.gd/MACONWARN



GOES 16 - Band 15 - 12.3 µm - Dirty Longwave Window - IR (Precipitation)
11:42 pm last night to 2:37 am this morning

TROPICAL OUTLOOK


Right now, it looks like FLORENCE will continue to weaken and move soputhwest onto shore and then west as a Tropical Depression. Rainfall amounts for Macon County are still uncertain. It is my (Bobby) impression that we will not see that much rain from the remnants of Florence despite all the hype from TV Weathermen or internet weather forecasters. The NHC consensus 5 Day Cone for 2 am this morning is posted below. (Remember that the forecasts for this storm are changing every few hours as more data from weather instruments in the region, Hurricane Hunters, and weather balloons are added into the computer models.




Tropical Tidbit from Levi Cowan of TropicalTidbits.com https://www.tropicaltidbits.com
(this video was posted last night)






Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Fri Sep 14 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Florence, near the North Carolina coast, on Tropical Storm Helene, located over the eastern Atlantic Ocean, on Tropical Storm Isaac, located in the eastern Caribbean Sea, and on Tropical Storm Joyce, located about 1000 miles west-southwest of the Azores.

1. Shower activity has changed little in organization in association with a broad area of low pressure located over the western Gulf of Mexico. Although upper-level winds appear conducive for development, this low only has a short period of time to develop into a tropical depression before it moves inland over northeastern Mexico and southern Texas later today. An Air Force reconnaissance plane is scheduled to investigate the system later today, if necessary. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall and gusty winds are expected across portions of northeastern Mexico and Texas later today and Saturday. Interests there should monitor the progress of this system, and refer to products from their local weather office.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

2. A broad area of low pressure could form near Bermuda late this weekend or early next week. Additional development, if any, is expected to be slow while the system moves little.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.



MACON CALENDAR

If you have an event you wish to be added to this calendar, please send the information, along with a flyer in pdf format or a high-quality photo, to editor@maconmedia.com. If you want text published, please include a paragraph with your photo, flyer or graphics. Please include date(s) and time(s).
There is no charge for civic, educational or nonprofit groups, except for groups or events that receive funding from the TDA, TDC, and EDC, where full rates apply.

Organizers of political events must make themselves available for a video interview at least 7 days before a political event they wish Macon Media to promote. Two weeks is the preferred time frame to maximize awareness.


Uptown Gallery classes
(These are on-going classes – repeat weekly)

Free classes and open studio times are being offered at The Uptown Gallery in Franklin. Join others at a painting open studio session every Tuesday from 6:30 pm – 9:00 pm or on Thursday from 11:00 am – 3:00 pm.
Bring your own materials and join an on-going drawing course led by gallery artists on Fridays, from 11am – 2 pm. For information on days open, hours and additional art classes and workshops, contact the gallery on 30 East Main Street at (828) 349 – 4607.

National Alliance on Mental Illness
Appalachian South


Meets each Thursday at 7pm
The First Methodist Church Outreach Center
at the intersection of Harrison Ave. and West Main Street
(directly across from Lazy Hiker Brewery)

Come join our weekly support group for anyone suffering from mental illness and their family or friends. This includes Depression, Bipolar,8chizophrenia, PTSD, Substance Abuse, Etc.

Here you will find:
— others living with mental health challenges YOU ARE NOT ALONE
- learn coping skills and ?find hope in shared experience
- help learning how to break down stigma and guilt surrounding mental health
- how to live life with the expectation of a better a better future

Kay (706)970-9987 Denise (828)347-5000)

SYRINGE EXCHANGE PROGRAM

On January 1, 2017, the Syringe Exchange Program of Franklin began operating a comprehensive harm reduction program to address the opioid epidemic that is impacting western NC. Opioid overdose reversal kits including naloxone are available free of charge. If you have any questions about our services or if you know someone interested in volunteering, please contact Stephanie Almeida at 828-475-1920.



Sun and Moon

Sun

Begin civil twilight 6:50 a.m.
Sunrise 7:16 a.m.
Sun transit 1:29 p.m.
Sunset 7:42 p.m.
End civil twilight 8:07 p.m.


Moon

Moonrise 12:19 p.m.
Moon transit 5:47 p.m.
Moonset 11:11 p.m.


Phase of the Moon on September 14, 2018: Waxing Crescent with 28% of the Moon's visible disk illuminated.
Closest Primary Moon Phase: First Quarter on September 16, 2018 at 7:15 p.m. (local daylight time)


Sky Guides for this week


Sky and Telescope Magazine 
Astronomy Magazine


There will be three solar and two lunar eclipses in 2018. [LINK]

Heavens Above has an Android App that will assist you in observing the sky and even has a satellite tracker that will let you know when the International Space Station and dozens of other satellites are overhead. [LINK]

Stellarium is also an app that will assist you in observing the sky. It is available in both Android [LINK] and iOS versions. [LINK]

CROWDFUNDING OR DAY SPONSORSHIP OPPORTUNITIES


If you receive value from what Macon Media provides to the community, please consider becoming a supporter and contribute at least a dollar a month.


Become a Patron!

If you have a business or event you are interested in sponsorship opportunities or underwriting coverage, send an email to editor@MaconMedia.com for more information. Serious inquiries only. Macon Media rewards early sponsors/underwriters with lifetime guaranteed low rates while newer sponsors/underwriters pay higher rates based on the date they first support Macon Media.

Thank You to the people who have been sending in donations and those businesses who are underwriting coverage of news and events. You have kept Macon Media online.

3:55 am on September 14, 2018

#WNCscan #MaconWx #MaconSafety


Data and information sources: Sources (except where otherwise credited): heavens-above.com, Ian Webster's Github, National Centers for Environmental Prediction, The National Weather Service, National Oceanic Atmospheric Administration, National Hurricane Center, Penn State University Electronic Wall Map, The State Climate Office of North Carolina, Storm Prediction Center, U.S. Naval Observatory, University of Utah Department of Atmospheric Sciences, and the Weather Prediction Center.

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