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Sunday, April 11, 2010

Mitt Romney Wins GOP Presidential Straw Poll

The Southern Republican Leadership Conference had a straw poll that the Paulbearers weren't able to steal with their mobbing action. I hope that this marks the beginning of the end of such childish antics by those anarchists.

Initial Choice
(If the primary election for president were held today, for whom would you vote?)

Mitt Romney 24% (439)
Ron Paul 24% (438)Sarah Palin 18% (330)
Newt Gingrich 18% (321)
Mike Huckabee 4% (80)
Mike Pence 3% (58)
Tim Pawlenty 3% (54)

Rick Santorum 2% (41)
Gary Johnson 1% (3)

Given the distortion presented by the Paulbearers at such events, I think that we can completely ignore the presence of Ron Paul as a contender in 2012. I doubt that he would even match his results in 2008 this time around. Especially since Ron Paul finishes very poorly as a second place choice. I think it also makes it clear that Mike Huckabee should probably stay out of the race in 2012. I'm also gratified to see Gary Johnson finish poorly. He is a guy that could carry the insane Ron Paul agenda to the White House if we aren't too careful...

The straw poll had a question asking for the second choice. This is a good question, because it serves to indicate depth of support a candidate has for those who have someone else as a favorite. Gingrich, Palin and Romney are those candidates. Santorum, Pawlenty, Johnson and Paul are not. 

This is the field fared on the second question...

Second Choice
(Who would be your second choice in the Republican Primary Election for president?)
Newt Gingrich 20% (339)

Sarah Palin 20% (332)
Mitt Romney 14% (242)
Mike Huckabee 11% (178)

Mike Pence 8% (141)
Rick Santorum 7% (125)
Tim Pawlenty 7% (114)
Gary Johnson 6% (104)
 Ron Paul 6% (98)

The Republican Party has a long history of nominating the guy who came in second in the last nomination contest, and it is my belief that 2012 will be no different. The GOP Nomination for 2012 is his to lose, especially since Palin and Paul will be splitting the vote of those who might look to support anyone but Romney. 

It will be interesting to see how this plays out over the next couple of years.