OUTLOOK
Warm and dry high pressure will remain over the region today, then shift north and east slightly Sunday through early next week. Meanwhile, a cold front will slowly approach from the west, while Tropical Cyclone Eta tracks near southern Florida and into the Gulf of Mexico. A persistent, moist easterly to southeasterly flow between these features will increase the rain chances for most of the upcoming week.
Macon Calendar
Saturday, November 7th at FROG Quarters on East Main Street just before the new town bridge
The Friends of the Greenway is inviting you to come to our only fundraiser event for 2020, --an Arts and Crafts Fair.
Vendor fees, food purchases, and purchased raffle tickets will benefit FROG. Event runs from 9-3. The drawing will be at 2 PM, but you do not have to be present to win. Take a chance on a "Scratch-off Lottery' drawing and you may go home a big winner. Music will also be ongoing during the event. Safety precautions will be in place with greater vendor spacing, hand sanitizer will be available, masks are required for vendors and FROG volunteers, and encouraged for all others.
---BEGIN SPONSOR SEGMENT---
Weather Sponsor
Adams Products, a Division of Oldcastle is underwriting the daily weather briefing & public safety updates for the month.
Open 7:30 AM to 4:00 PM, M-F, located at 895 Hickory Knoll Road, Franklin, NC. Visit our Facebook page at: https://www.facebook.com/Adams.Oldcastle.Franklin.NC/
All your masonry needs are available. Our phone number is 828.524.8545, the public is welcome, we’ll help you with your next project.
--- END SPONSOR SEGMENT---
General forecast through Monday night
Today
Patchy fog in the morning. Otherwise, mostly sunny, with highs ranging from the mid-60s in the higher elevations and the lower 70s in the lower elevations. Calm winds in the morning increasing to come out of the southeast around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Tonight
Partly cloudy, with lows ranging from the mid-to-upper 40s in the higher elevations to the lower 50s in the lower elevations. Light winds out of the east.
Sunday
Patchy fog in the morning. Otherwise, mostly sunny, with highs ranging from the upper 60s in the higher elevations to the lower 70s in the lower elevations. WInds out of the southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Sunday Night
Mostly cloudy, with lows ranging from near 50 in the higher elevations to the mid-50s in the lower elevations. Winds out of the east 5 to 10 mph.
Monday
Mostly sunny, with highs ranging from the mid-60s in the higher elevations to the lower 70s in the lower elevations.
Monday Night
Mostly cloudy, with lows ranging from near 50 in the higher elevationt to the mid-to-upper 50s in the lower elevations.
News Brief
2020 Presidential Election
The votes are still being counted for the office of president and results may not be known for days.
Since there was no speech by the President Friday night, here is a video from Candian News about his relationship with the news media.
Challenger Joe Biden gave a brief speech about the election and the pandemic.
An Election Night tradition: The concession speech
COVID-19 Briefing
Dr John Campbell: Bacterial Infections in the 1918 Pandemic
Top 7 COVID Updates You Should Know Come Election Day
(published November 3rd)
Here are the latest COVID-19 Numbers and Demographics Report from Macon Public Health, along with a couple of charts by Macon Media to show you the long-term trends since May 30, 2020, when the health department started releasing numbers to Macon Media.
Cases
796 Detected
(+8 from Thursday and +34 from last Friday and +116 in four weeks)
42 Active
(+3 from Thursday and +16 from last Friday and +8 in four weeks)
747 Recovered
(+5 from Thursday and +18 from last Friday and +108 in four weeks)
7 Deaths
(unchanged from Thursday and unchanged from last Friday and unchanged in four weeks)
Testing
6588 by MCPH
(+46 from Thursday and +142 from last Friday and +668 in four weeks)
3180 by Others
(unchanged from Thursday and +94 from last Friday and +847 in four weeks)
9768 total
(+46 from Thursday and +236 from last Friday and +1515 in four weeks)
139 tests pending results
(+66 from Thursday and -45 from last Friday and +9 in four weeks)
HAZARDS
Hazardous weather is not anticipated for today.
Air Quality
Air quality is in the lower range of yellow today for all elevations.
Pollen
Pollen levels are expected to be low (2.1 out of 12) with ragweed being the main culprit. Tomorrow is expected to be a little higher (1.1 out of 12).
Weather Extremes for Macon County for November 7th
Highest Temperature 80°F at the Coweeta Experimental Station in 2015
Lowest Temperature 13°F in Franklin in 1967
Greatest One-Day Rainfall 2.68 inches in Highlands in 1975 Greatest One-Day Snowfall (there has been snowfall recorded on this date since record-keeping began in 1872)
TROPICAL WEATHER
(The North Atlantic Hurricane Season runs from June 1st to Nov 30th)
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 AM EST Sat Nov 7 2020
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Eta, located over the northwestern Caribbean Sea.
1. A broad non-tropical low pressure system could form several hundred miles southwest of the Azores early next week. The system could gradually obtain some subtropical characteristics thereafter as it moves slowly northeastward over the northeastern Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
Tropical Depression Eta Discussion Number 26
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL292020
900 PM CST Fri Nov 06 2020
A NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft that flew a tail-Doppler radar mission earlier this evening reported that Eta's circulation remained elongated, and that there had not been any significant increase in winds since this afternoon. There has been some increase in deep convection near and to the east of the estimated center, but there has been little overall change in organization. Therefore, the initial intensity remains 30 kt for this advisory.
Eta is expected to strengthen over the next 24 to 48 hours while it moves over warm waters and within an area of strong upper-level divergence to the southeast of a mid- to upper-level trough over the Gulf of Mexico. Eta's structure is likely to take on characteristics of a subtropical cyclone as it merges with the cutoff low late Sunday and Monday. As this occurs, Eta's wind field is expected to increase in size. By 72 hours and beyond, dry air entrainment is likely to cause some weakening. The new NHC intensity forecast is close to the previous one.
Eta is moving toward northeastward at a faster forward speed of around 10 kt. An additional increase in forward speed should occur overnight as Eta moves northeastward around the southeastern portion of a developing mid- to upper-level trough over the Gulf of Mexico. This feature should continue to steer Eta northeastward during the next 24 hours, but after that time the trough is forecast to cut-off, with Eta turning northward, and then northwestward around and into the mid- to upper-level closed low. The merged system is likely to move northwestward or northward later in the period. The latest runs of the dynamical models have trended toward a more northward track on Sunday and Monday with some of them showing a track near or over the southern portion of the Florida peninsula in 48 to 60 hours. The new NHC track forecast has been adjusted slightly northward during that time and lies between the TVCA multi-model consensus and the HFIP corrected consensus aid. Since Eta's wind field is forecast to expand when it moves north of Cuba, tropical-storm-force winds are expected to cover a large area to the north and northeast of the center regardless of the exact track of the center.
The new forecast track requires a Tropical Storm Watch for the northwestern Bahamas, the southern Florida peninsula, and the Florida Keys. Additional watches for the Florida peninsula may be required overnight or on Saturday morning.
Key Messages:
1. Heavy rainfall is diminishing across portions of Central America, although the threat of life-threatening flooding may continue, along with landslides in areas of higher terrain. Heavy rainfall from Eta will move into the Cayman islands and portions of Cuba, resulting in significant, life-threatening flash flooding and river flooding in Cuba. Flash and urban flooding will also be possible for the Cayman Islands, Jamaica, southeast Mexico, the Bahamas and Southern Florida.
2. Tropical storm conditions are expected this weekend in portions of the Cayman Islands and Cuba, where a Tropical Storm Warning is in effect.
3. There is an increasing risk of impacts from wind and flash and urban flooding due to heavy rainfall in portions of southern Florida, the Florida Keys, and portions of the Bahamas this weekend and early next week. Tropical Storm Watches have been issued for portions of these areas and additional watches may be required overnight or on Saturday morning.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 07/0300Z 18.0N 85.2W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 07/1200Z 19.0N 83.2W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 08/0000Z 20.3N 81.1W 45 KT 50 MPH
36H 08/1200Z 21.9N 79.9W 50 KT 60 MPH...INLAND
48H 09/0000Z 24.0N 79.9W 55 KT 65 MPH...OVER WATER
60H 09/1200Z 25.0N 81.3W 55 KT 65 MPH
72H 10/0000Z 25.2N 82.6W 50 KT 60 MPH
96H 11/0000Z 26.0N 84.3W 45 KT 50 MPH
120H 12/0000Z 27.0N 84.7W 45 KT 50 MPH
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Published at 3:30am Saturday, November 07, 2020
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