The election is particularly noteworthy for a number of reasons. First, recent polls show Brown matching or even exceeding Coakley’s electoral support, in one of the most liberal states in the entire country (and one that hasn’t elected a Republican in four decades). See Pollster.com’s aggregation of polls here, and Intrade’s political market for the election here. Second, the consequences of a Brown victory could be the derailment of the Democratic health care reform proposal, if all Senate Republicans maintain party unity.
To my mind, the election is fascinating for another reason. Brown is attracting very positive national and state Republican and conservative attention. On the other hand, State Assemblywoman Dede Scozzafava attracted very negative attention from conservatives in her special election campaign for the 23rd Congressional District of New York.
Brown is actually a liberal Republican who is to be found to the left of Dede Scozzafava! So why, then, the enthusiasm gap in support for the two? This post documents this assertion, and then answers this puzzle.
Monday, January 18, 2010
Source: Boris Shor (be sure to read the whole thing to get the context. I've only posted a brief excerpt)
I wanted to post this so that you won't believe all the hype ccoming out of the Tea Party websites. Scott Brown is not a Tea Party candidate, nor is he a conservative...
He is, however, more conservative than the liberals in Massachusetts, who are almost as certifiably crazy as the ones in Asheville, NC.
Conservatives are going to have to realize that our philosophy doesn't sell in all areas of the country...especially areas like the Northeast.