OUTLOOK
A weak trough pushing into the region will bring a short-lived break from the heat and possibly afternoon showers and thunderstorms this weekend. A building ridge to our west will likely support a return to above normal temperatures early next week.
Most Recent Local Government Meetings
The Franklin Town Council met on July 6th. [LINK]
The Macon County Board of Commissioners met on June 2nd. [LINK]
The Franklin Town Council met on June 1st. Members of the public and local media outlets were allowed in the town hall. [LINK]
General Forecast Through Wednesday Night
Today
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly in the afternoon. Areas of fog before 10am. Otherwise, cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly sunny, with highs ranging from the upper 70s in the higher elevations to the upper 80s in the lower elevations. Light and variable winds. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight, then a slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with lows in the 60s. Calm winds. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday
A slight chance of showers, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 11am. Partly sunny, with highs ranging from the mid-70s in the higher elevations to the mid-80s in the lower elevations. Calm winds. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday Night
Showers and thunderstorms likely before 10pm, then a chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with lows in the 60s. Calm winds. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Friday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 1pm and 5pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 5pm. Mostly cloudy, with highs ranging from the mid-to-upper 70s in the higher elevations to the mid-to-upper 80s in the lower elevations. Calm winds. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Friday Night
Showers and thunderstorms likely before midnight, then a slight chance of showers between midnight and 3am. Mostly cloudy, with lows in the 60s. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Hazards
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop this afternoon. Damaging wind gusts will be possible in stronger thunderstorms. Frequent lightning and localized flooding are also possible.
Air Quality
Air quality should be in the upper range of green today for the county and middle yellow range for the ridgetops.
A ridge of high pressure will begin to build over the upper Midwest, while an area of high pressure remains offshore today and south to southwesterly flow continues to bring moisture to the region. This will help to aid in the development of afternoon showers and thunderstorms and allow warm, humid weather to persist. There may be sufficient afternoon sunshine to allow for ozone to reach the low to mid Code Yellow range in the Charlotte area and--if incoming background levels are high enough--the ridgetops, with readings in the mid to upper Code Green range anticipated elsewhere. As onshore flow persists, relatively cleaner air will continue to infiltrate the region and fine particle pollution levels are expected to begin to taper off. Although calm overnight winds could inhibit vertical mixing and could allow particulates to collect at the surface, the daily AQI is expected to net out in the mid to upper Code Green range with the highest values for the day anticipated in the early morning hours.
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Tropical Weather
(The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th)
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Wed Jul 22 2020
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Seven, located over the central tropical Atlantic.
1. A tropical wave is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the eastern Gulf of Mexico, southern Florida, and western Cuba. Gradual development of this system is possible while it moves west-northwestward during the next few days. This disturbance is expected to move over the central Gulf today, and reach the northwestern Gulf on Thursday and Friday. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system later today, if necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN
Tropical Depression Seven Discussion Number 3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072020
500 AM AST Wed Jul 22 2020
The cyclone has become a little better organized this morning with indications of it developing convective banding features. Intensity estimates based on Dvorak classifications from TAFB and SAB are 30 kt and 35 kt respectively. I prefer to wait for consensus 35-kt estimates before naming the system, but it seems very likely that we will have Gonzalo over the tropical Atlantic very soon. The intensity forecast for this system is subject to more than the usual degree of uncertainty. Although the cyclone is likely to remain in an environment of fairly low shear, the influences of dry air and large-scale subsidence could inhibit strengthening in a few days.
The NHC intensity forecast is similar to the previous one, and calls for some strengthening during the next couple of days followed by a leveling off thereafter. This is below the model consensus, but above the global model predictions which eventually dissipate the cyclone. It should also be noted that the small size of this system makes it susceptible to significant fluctuations in intensity, both upward and downward.
The motion continues a little north of due west or 285/10 kt. A well-defined subtropical ridge is forecast to remain in place to the north of the tropical cyclone during the forecast period. The official forecast, like the previous one, is for a generally westward motion at a fast forward speed over the forecast periods. This is in close agreement with the latest dynamical model consensus.
Interests in the southern Windward Islands should monitor the progress of this system.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 22/0900Z 10.0N 42.4W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 22/1800Z 10.2N 44.1W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 23/0600Z 10.2N 46.6W 45 KT 50 MPH
36H 23/1800Z 10.2N 49.0W 50 KT 60 MPH
48H 24/0600Z 10.4N 51.5W 55 KT 65 MPH
60H 24/1800Z 10.8N 54.2W 55 KT 65 MPH
72H 25/0600Z 11.3N 57.2W 55 KT 65 MPH
96H 26/0600Z 12.7N 64.4W 50 KT 60 MPH
120H 27/0600Z 15.0N 70.0W 45 KT 50 MPH
End Daily Weather Segment
Begin COVID-19 Update
Here are some numbers from the CDC, the NCDHHS, and the Johns Hopkins Dashboard. Macon Media prefers the Johns Hopkins Dashboard because the counts include those non-residents that are left out of the CDC and NCDHHS numbers.
The CDC website [LINK] reports 101,046 people in North Carolina are infected, 1,642 have died, and infections are widespread, the NCDHHS website [LINK] reports 102,861 confirmed cases from 1,458,997 targeted tests, and 1,179 hospitalized and 1,668 deaths in the state. The Johns Hopkins Dashboard [LINK] reports 103,216 people infected and 1,705 deaths.
North Carolina Coronavirus Map and Case Count [LINK] https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/north-carolina-coronavirus-cases.html
Data from Macon County Public Health as of July 21st (they have stopped releasing data to the media and public on the weekends since they are not testing on the weekends) and graph by Macon Media of data from May 30th to July 21st [LINK]
Yesterday's COVID-19 Update from Macon Media. [LINK] http://thunderpigblog.blogspot.com/2020/07/covid-19-update-for-tuesday-july-21.html
407 Detected Cases (+6 in one day)
121 Active Positive (-1 in one day)
284 Recovered (+6 in one day)
21 Deaths (+1 in one day)
Testing Data for Macon County
3814 MCPH Tests (+4 in one day)
1,006 Tests by Others (+4 in one day)
4820 Total Tests (+8 in one day)
340 Tests Pending Results (-20 in one day)
Infographic from Johns Hopkins University [LINK] https://bao.arcgis.com/covid-19/jhu/county/37113.html
Resources for Reliable Information about the Corona Virus (COVID-19) [LINK]
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Published at 5:35am Wednesday, July 22, 2020
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