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Thursday, January 15, 2009

The Joint Operating Environment (JOE 2008) report on Mexico: 15 Minutes on Latin America

Surprising news from Fausta....

“U.S. military report warns ’sudden collapse’ of Mexico is possible”

As regular readers of this blog know, I have been blogging about the Mexican drug wars for a while now. For some reason (perhaps because Barack Obama’s meeting with Felipe Calderón, which was a routine visit following a long tradition), now Memeorandumfeatures a story on the ongoing drug wars in Mexico.

As you can read in the 2007 CRS Report for Congress on Mexico’s Drug Cartels, the Mexican drug wars represent a clear danger to the US.

U.S. military report warns ’sudden collapse’ of Mexico is possible

Mexico is one of two countries that “bear consideration for a rapid and sudden collapse,” according to a report by the U.S. Joint Forces Command on worldwide security threats.

The command’s “Joint Operating Environment (JOE 2008)” report, which contains projections of global threats and potential next wars, puts Pakistan on the same level as Mexico. “In terms of worse-case scenarios for the Joint Force and indeed the world, two large and important states bear consideration for a rapid and sudden collapse: Pakistan and Mexico.

While this may sound far-fetched, I have had conversations with Mexicans who don’t rule out the need for an invasion from the US military within the next five to ten years. Considering how territorial Mexicans can be, that is an astonishing statement on their parts.

Not surprisingly, then, that the U.S. Joint Forces Command may be contemplating the scenario...

Source: Fausta's Blog

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