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Monday, June 8, 2020

News and Weather Briefing for Monday, June 8, 2020






OUTLOOK

A strong ridge atop the region that has been keeping us warm and humid will gradually break down early this week. This along with moist southerly flow will support a return to more widespread shower and thunderstorm activity. A weak cold front is expected to push through the area by Thursday, providing at least a brief break from the active weather for the end of the week.

GoFundMe Established to Benefit Children of David and Dawn Head

On Saturday, 5/23/2020, Macon County Sheriff's Deputy David Head and his wife, Dawn, a Physical Therapist with Highlands/Cashiers Hospital, were tragically killed in an automobile accident. They leave behind four children, Jeslyn Head (17), J.D. Head (13), Erin Sanborn (17), and Sidney Sanborn (19). This fund has been set up by the employees of the Macon County Sheriff's Office in an effort to help all 4 children of David and Dawn Head. [LINK]


DAY SPONSOR

Carrion Tree Service is underwriting Macon Media for today. they are a fully licensed and insured tree service, specializing in dangerous tree removal, view clearing, pruning, and crane services with a 24 Hour emergency response.

Their phone number is 371-4718.

They can handle all your tree removal needs in good or bad weather.


Most recent Local Government Meetings

The Macon County Board of Commissioners met on June 2nd. [LINK]

The Franklin Town Council met on June 1st. Members of the public and local media outlets were allowed in the town hall. [LINK]



General Forecast Through Saturday Night

Today

Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms this afternoon. Highs ranging from the upper 70s to the mid-80s. Winds out of the south around 5 mph. Chance of rain 30 percent.

Tonight

A chance of thunderstorms in the evening. Cloudy with a chance of showers. Patchy fog after midnight. Lows in the 60s. Winds out of the southeast around 5 mph. Chance of rain 50 percent.

Tuesday

Partly sunny. Patchy fog in the morning. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers and thunderstorms likely in the afternoon. Highs ranging from the 70s to the lower 80s. Winds out of the south 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 60 percent.

Tuesday Night

Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely in the evening, then a chance of showers after midnight. Lows in the 60s. Winds out of the southwest around 5 mph. Chance of rain 60 percent.

Wednesday

Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers and thunderstorms likely in the afternoon. Highs in the 70s. Winds out of the southwest 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 70 percent.

Wednesday Night

Mostly cloudy in the evening, then clearing. A chance of thunderstorms in the evening. A chance of showers. Lows in the mid-60 and dipping into the upper 50s in places. Chance of rain 50 percent.

Hazards

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Scattered thunderstorms will develop across the area today and continue into the night. Although gusty winds and cloud-to-ground lightning will occur with any storm, the greatest threat will be the potential for periods of heavy rainfall. Isolated flooding will be possible where thunderstorms are very slow moving or repeatedly move across the same locations.

A cold front will move into the area Wednesday bringing numerous showers and thunderstorms. A few of the thunderstorms could become severe with damaging winds the main threat.



---BEGIN SPONSOR SEGMENT ---


Weather Sponsor



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Tropical Weather
(The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th)






Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Mon Jun 8 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Cristobal, centered inland over southeast Louisiana.

1. A non-tropical area of low pressure is expected to form a few hundred miles east or northeast of Bermuda within a couple of days. Environmental conditions are expected to be only marginally conducive for the low to acquire subtropical characteristics before the end of the week.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.




Tropical Depression Cristobal Discussion Number 27
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032020
400 AM CDT Mon Jun 08 2020

Radar and surface observations indicate that Cristobal has continued to weaken as it moves farther inland. The initial intensity is reduced to 30 kt, with these winds occuring over portions of the coastline and coastal waters from southeastern Louisiana to the western Florida Panhandle. The surface observations also indicate that the central pressure is near 994 mb. While the cyclone is weakening, satellite and radar data show a large area of convective bands continuing in the northeastern quadrant.

The initial motion is now 330/9. There is no change to the track forecast philosophy from the previous advisory. Cristobal should continue north-northwestward today as a high pressure ridge over the Great Lakes slides eastward. The cyclone is expected to turn northward by tonight around the east side of the ridge, and then it should turn northeastward on Tuesday ahead of a mid-latitude trough moving into the central United States. A faster northeastward motion should bring the center of the cyclone across the Upper Midwest on Tuesday and into Canada on Wednesday. After that time, the system is expected to slow down after it completes its extratropical transition. There is little change to the previous forecast track except at 96 h, where the new forecast is a bit south of the previous forecast.

The cyclone should continue to gradually weaken for the next 36-48 h as it moves farther inland. After that time, some re-intensification is expected as Cristobal becomes involved with mid-latitude cyclogenesis over the Upper Mississippi Valley, and the intensity forecast will call for the system to be a 35-kt extratropical low by 60 h. The cyclone is forecast to dissipate inside the envelope of another extratropical low by 120 h. It should be noted that Cristobal and the mid-latitude cyclone will combine to possibly cause gusty winds over portions of the Midwest and Great Lakes regions.

Although Cristobal has weakened, life-threatening storm surge is expected to continue over a portion of the northern Gulf coast today. Heavy rains associated with the system will also spread over portions of the central United States over the next couple of days.


Key Messages:

1. Although the center of Cristobal has moved inland, there remains a danger of life-threatening storm surge outside of the Hurricane and Storm Damage Risk Reduction System from the Mouth of the Mississippi River to Ocean Springs, Mississippi, and a Storm Surge Warning is in effect for those areas. Residents in these locations should follow advice given by local emergency officials.

2. Heavy rain associated with Cristobal will continue to push inland across the central Gulf coast and into the Lower Mississippi Valley today, then up the Mid and Upper Mississippi Valley Monday night through Tuesday night. The Central Gulf Coast region will be most prone to heavy rain issues after the passage of the center of Cristobal through Monday. Flash flooding, and new and renewed significant river flooding is possible, especially where heavier rainfall occurs over portions of the Gulf Coast through the Mississippi Valley.

3. Wind gusts to tropical-storm force are expected this morning in the coastal areas from southeastern Louisiana to the western Florida Panhandle. In addition, the combination of Cristobal and a mid-latitude cyclone may cause gust winds by midweek over portions of the Midwest and Great lakes regions.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 08/0900Z 31.0N 91.2W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
12H 08/1800Z 32.7N 91.7W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
24H 09/0600Z 35.8N 91.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
36H 09/1800Z 39.9N 90.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
48H 10/0600Z 44.7N 88.2W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 10/1800Z 49.0N 85.8W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
72H 11/0600Z 51.0N 83.5W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
96H 12/0600Z 51.5N 78.5W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
120H 13/0600Z...DISSIPATED

End Daily Weather Segment






Begin COVID-19 Update




Here are some numbers from the CDC, the NCDHHS, and the Johns Hopkins Dashboard. Macon Media prefers the Johns Hopkins Dashboard because the counts include those non-residents that are left out of the CDC and NCDHHS numbers.

The CDC website [LINK] reports 34,625 people in North Carolina are infected, 992 have died, and infections are widespread, the NCDHHS website [LINK] reports 35,546 confirmed cases from 511,226 targeted tests, and 696 hospitalized and 996 deaths in the state. The Johns Hopkins Dashboard [LINK] reports 35,625 people infected and 1,032 deaths (these include non-residents located in NC).

COVID-19 Data for Macon County from Coronaction. [LINK]

Detected 120
Recovered 31
Deceased 1
Actives 88

Data from Macon County Public Health [LINK]

Detected 140
Recovered 17
Deceased 1
Actives 122

Testing Data

MCPH Tests 1,496
Other Tests 397
Total Tests 1,893




Resources for Reliable Information about the Corona Virus (COVID-19) [LINK]

Dr John Campbell

Weekend Update


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Care for the vulnerable, Court House retirement Home, Cheddar


Coronavirus Pandemic Update 80: COVID-19 Retractions & Data (Hydroxychloroquine, ACE Inhibitors)



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Published at 5:45pam on Monday, June 8, 2020




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