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Showing posts with label 2019 HUrricane Season. Show all posts
Showing posts with label 2019 HUrricane Season. Show all posts

Saturday, November 30, 2019

Daily Weather Briefing for Saturday, November 30, 2019






Outlook

Moisture will begin to gradually move back into the region from the west today, with a cold front bringing widespread showers to our area early Sunday. In the front`s wake, colder air and gusty winds will return late Sunday through Monday setting up favorable conditions for northwest flow snow across the higher terrain. Otherwise, conditions should be generally cool and dry under the influence of high pressure.

Franklin Town Council Meets Monday Night

A copy of the agenda for the December 2019 meeting of the Franklin Town Council has been posted online. [LINK]

The 2019 Hurricane Season Ends Today



The timelapse above shows the 2019 Hurricane Season in the North Atlantic Basin.

The season produced 18 named storms, including six hurricanes of which three were “major” (Category 3, 4 or 5). NOAA’s outlook called for 10-17 named storms, 5-9 hurricanes and 2-4 major hurricanes, and accurately predicted the overall activity of the season.

“During each and every hurricane season, thousands of workers across the federal government coordinate with NOAA to safeguard Americans against the threat posed by hurricanes,” said U.S. Secretary of Commerce Wilbur Ross. “From advanced warnings to business aid, the Department of Commerce stands ready to help Americans from a storm’s formation to long after its dissipation.”

This year marks the fourth consecutive above-normal Atlantic hurricane season. The only other period on record that produced four consecutive above-normal seasons was 1998-2001. Also this year, five tropical cyclones formed in the Gulf of Mexico, which ties a record with 2003 and 1957 for the most storms to form in that region. Of those, three — Barry, Imelda, and Nestor — made landfall in the U.S.

**note** Today marks the last day Macon Media publishes daily updates on tropical activity. Should conditions change, the tropical section will be added back to the daily weather briefing.




THREE DAY GFS FORECAST
This animated image shows a forecast of precipitation, air pressure and thickness level (cold-air damming) for three days in six-hour increments.
Green, Yellow, and Red indicate rain. Orange and Purple Indicate Freezing Rain or other freezing precipitation. Blue indicates snow.





WEATHER SPONSOR



Adams Products, a Division of Oldcastle is underwriting the daily weather briefing & public safety updates for the month.

Open 7:30 AM to 4:00 PM, M-F, located at 895 Hickory Knoll Road, Franklin, NC. Visit our Facebook page at:
https://www.facebook.com/Adams.Oldcastle.Franklin.NC/

All your masonry needs are available. Our phone number is 828.524.8545, the public is welcome, we’ll help you with your next project.



Weather Hazards

Hazardous weather is not expected today. Rain is expected on Saturday and Sunday and snow showers are possible on Monday.
Wind chill values on the Highlands Plateau will drop into the teens overnight Sunday into early Monday morning.

NWS Hazardous Weather Outlook

A strong low-pressure system will pass to our north and move a robust cold front through the area on Sunday. In the front`s wake, colder air will return late Sunday into Monday setting up favorable conditions for accumulating northwest flow snow and slippery road conditions across the higher terrain. In addition, gusty winds are also likely from Sunday morning through early Tuesday.


**Note** A Tropical Weather Outlook section has been added to the daily weather briefing for the Atlantic Hurricane Season, and since those tend to run long when there is activity, that section has been added between the daily forecasts for the four regions of the county and the almanac section so people can get to their daily forecasts with minimal interference.




CROWDFUNDING OR DAY SPONSORSHIP OPPORTUNITIES


If you receive value from what Macon Media provides to the community, please consider becoming a supporter and contribute at least a dollar a month. Those who support Macon Media with at least a dollar a month receive early access to video of some events and meetings before they are made public on the website. Videos and news involving public safety are not subject to early access.


Become a Patron!

Or, if you prefer Pay Pal, try PayPal.me/MaconMedia


WEATHER FORECAST MAPS

Forecast maps for 7 am, 1 pm, and 7 pm.
[click on any image in this article to enlarge]





FRANKLIN AREA FORECAST


Today

A slight chance of rain before 2pm, then a chance of showers, mainly after 3pm. Mostly cloudy, with highs in the low-to-mid 60s. Calm winds in the morning increasing to come out of the southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

Tonight

A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 8pm. Lows in the upper 40s. Winds out of the south 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

Sunday

Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 2pm, then a slight chance of showers. Patchy fog before 8am. Highs near 60. Winds out of the west 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Sunday Night

A chance of rain showers before 2am, then a chance of rain and snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with low around freezing. Winds out of the northwest 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.

Monday

A chance of snow showers before 11am, then a chance of rain and snow showers until noon an then a chance of rain showers after noon. Mostly cloudy, with highs in the low-to-mid 40s. Winds out of the northwest 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Monday Night

Mostly cloudy, with a low around 25.




OTTO AREA FORECAST


Today

A slight chance of rain before 1pm, then a chance of showers, mainly after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with highs in the lower 60s. Calm winds in the morning increasing to come out of the southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

Tonight

Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Patchy fog after 4am. Lows around 50. Winds out of the south 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three-quarters of an inch possible.

Sunday

Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 1pm, then a slight chance of showers. Patchy fog before 7am. Highs near 60. Winds out of the west 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Sunday Night

A chance of rain showers before 2am, then a chance of rain and snow showers between 2am and 5am, then a chance of snow showers after 5am. Mostly cloudy, with lows around freezing. Winds out of the northwest 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.

Monday

A slight chance of rain and snow showers before 11am, then a slight chance of rain showers between 11am and 3pm. Mostly cloudy, with highs in the low-to-mid 40s. Winds out of the northwest 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

Monday Night

Partly cloudy, with lows in the mid-to-upper 20s.




HIGHLANDS PLATEAU FORECAST

Today

A slight chance of rain between 7am and 1pm, then a chance of showers after 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with highs in the mid-50s. Winds out of the west 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

Tonight

Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Patchy fog after 2am. Lows in the mid-40s. Winds out of the south 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between three-quarters and one inch possible.

Sunday

Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 3pm, then a slight chance of showers after 5pm. Temperatures falling from the mid-to-upper 40s at 6am to the lower 40s by 5pm. Wind chill values will be in the lower 30s at times. Winds out of the southwest 20 to 25 mph, with gusts as high as 40 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Sunday Night

A slight chance of rain showers before 9pm, then a slight chance of rain and snow showers between 9pm and 11pm, then a slight chance of snow showers after 11pm. Partly cloudy, with lows around 30. Wind chill values will dip into the teens overnight. Winds out of the northwest 20 to 25 mph, with gusts as high as 40 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

Monday

A slight chance of snow showers, mixing with rain after noon, then gradually ending. Partly sunny, with highs in the mid-30s. Winds out of the northwest 20 to 25 mph, with gusts as high as 40 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

Monday Night

Partly cloudy, with lows around 25.




NANTAHALA AREA FORECAST


Today

A chance of rain, mainly between 7am and 1pm, then a chance of showers after 1pm. Cloudy, with highs in the upper 50s. Winds out of the southwest 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

Tonight

Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Patchy fog after midnight. Lows in the mid-to-upper 40s. Winds out of the south 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between three-quarters and one inch possible.

Sunday

Showers likely, mainly before noon. Cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly sunny, with highs in the mid-50s. Winds out of the west 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 35 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

Sunday Night

A chance of rain showers before midnight, then a chance of rain and snow showers between midnight and 2am, then a chance of snow showers after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with lows around 30. Winds out of the northwest 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 35 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

Monday

A chance of rain and snow showers before noon, then a chance of rain showers between noon and 5pm, then a slight chance of rain and snow showers after 5pm. Cloudy, with highs in the mid-to-upper 30s. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

Monday Night

Mostly cloudy, with lows around 25.



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
(The North Atlantic Hurricane Season runs from June 1st to November 30th. This segment will be discontinued after today until either the tropics show activity or the 2020 Hurricane Season begins)





Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 AM EST Sat Nov 30 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.






Weather Extremes for Macon County for the month of November
Data available from 1872 to 2018

Highest Temperature 83°F at the Coweeta Experimental Station on 11-04-2003
Lowest Temperature -3°F in Highlands on 11-25-1950
Greatest Rainfall 4.69 inches in Highlands on 11-29-1914
Greatest Snowfall 6.0 inches in Highlands on 11-28-1922

Weather Extremes for North Carolina for the month of October
Data available from 1870 to 2018

Highest Temperature 90°F in Goldsboro, Wayne County 11-09-1900
Lowest Temperature -19°F in Montreat, Yancey County 11-25-1950
Greatest One-Day Rainfall 9.70 in Lake Toxaway, Transylvania County 11-19-2003
Greatest One-Day Snowfall 18.0 inches in Montreat, Yancey County on 11-04-1930

Monthly Averages

Warmest Weather Station 58.0°F Hatteras, Dare County
Coldest Weather Station 37.7°F Grandfather Mountain, Avery County
Wettest Weather Station 8.63 in Lake Toxaway, Transylvania County
Driest Weather Station 2.55 in Tarboro, Edgecombe County



Published at 5:00am on November 30, 2019


Monday, September 2, 2019

Daily Weather Briefing for Labor Day 2019






Outlook

Dry high pressure will remain across the western Carolinas and northeast Georgia into the early next week. The track of Hurricane Dorian will largely determine the weather and possible impacts across the region during the latter part of the week, but the path remains uncertain for that period.

DAY SPONSOR

Carrion Tree Service is underwriting Macon Media for today. they are a fully licensed and insured tree service, specializing in dangerous tree removal, view clearing, pruning, and crane services with a 24 Hour emergency response.

Their phone number is 371-4718.

They can handle all your tree removal needs in good or bad weather.


Franklin Town Council to Meet

The public agenda and agenda packet for the September 2019 regular meeting of the Franklin Town Council has been released. [LINK]

Please note that they are not meeting on the first Monday due to Labor Day falling on a Monday. They will be meeting on Tuesday, the day after the holiday.

THREE DAY GFS FORECAST
This animated image shows a forecast of precipitation, air pressure and thickness level (cold-air damming) for three days in six-hour increments.
Green, Yellow, and Red indicate rain. Orange and Purple Indicate Freezing Rain or other freezing precipitation. Blue indicates snow.





WEATHER SPONSOR



Adams Products, a Division of Oldcastle is underwriting the daily weather briefing & public safety updates for the month.

Open 7:30 AM to 4:00 PM, M-F, located at 895 Hickory Knoll Road, Franklin, NC. Visit our Facebook page at:
https://www.facebook.com/Adams.Oldcastle.Franklin.NC/

All your masonry needs are available. Our phone number is 828.524.8545, the public is welcome, we’ll help you with your next project.



Weather Hazards

Hazardous weather is not expected today. It is unlikely that we will experience any severe weather from Hurricane Dorian.



**Note** A Tropical Weather Outlook section has been added to the daily weather briefing for the Atlantic Hurricane Season, and since those tend to run long when there is activity, that section has been added between the daily forecasts for the four regions of the county and the almanac section so people can get to their daily forecasts with minimal interference.




CROWDFUNDING OR DAY SPONSORSHIP OPPORTUNITIES


If you receive value from what Macon Media provides to the community, please consider becoming a supporter and contribute at least a dollar a month. Those who support Macon Media with at least a dollar a month receive early access to video of some events and meetings before they are made public on the website. Videos and news involving public safety are not subject to early access.


Become a Patron!



WEATHER FORECAST MAPS

Forecast maps for 7 am, 1 pm, and 7 pm.
[click on any image in this article to enlarge]





FRANKLIN AREA FORECAST

Labor Day

Areas of fog before 9am. Otherwise, cloudy through midmorning, then gradual clearing, with a high in the mid-80s. Light winds out of the north.

Monday Night

Patchy fog near dawn. Otherwise, mostly clear, with a low in the low-to-mid 60s. Calm winds.

Tuesday

Patchy fog in the morning. Otherwise, sunny, with a high in the upper 80s. Calm winds.


Tuesday Night

Mostly clear, with a low in the mid-60s. Calm winds.

Wednesday

Sunny, with a high near 90.

Wednesday Night

Partly cloudy, with a low in the mid-60s.




OTTO AREA FORECAST

Labor Day

Areas of fog before 9am. Otherwise, cloudy through midmorning, then gradual clearing, with a high in the mid-80s. Light winds out of the north.

Monday Night

Mostly clear, with a low in the low-to-mid 60s. Calm winds.

Tuesday

Patchy fog before 7am. Otherwise, sunny, with a high in the mid-80s. Light and variable winds.

Tuesday Night

Mostly clear, with a low in the mid-60s. Calm winds.

Wednesday

Sunny, with a high in the upper 80s.

Wednesday Night

Partly cloudy, with a low in the mid-60s.



HIGHLANDS PLATEAU FORECAST

Labor Day

A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high in the mid-70s. Winds out of the north around 6 mph.

Monday Night

A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9pm, then a slight chance of showers before midnight. Mostly clear, with a low around 60. Winds out of the east around 6 mph. Chance of rain is 20%.

Tuesday

Sunny, with a high in the mid-70s. Winds out of the northeast around 5 mph becoming light and variable in the afternoon.

Tuesday Night

Mostly clear, with a low in the lower 60s. WInds out of the southeast in the evening around 6 mph becoming calm after midnight.

Wednesday

Sunny, with a high in the mid-to-upper 70s.
Wednesday NightPartly cloudy, with a low around 62.



NANTAHALA AREA FORECAST

Labor Day

Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, mostly sunny, with a high in the lower 80s. Calm winds in the morning increasing to come out of the north around 5 mph in the afternoon.

Monday Night

Patchy fog overnight. Otherwise, mostly clear, with a low around 60. Calm winds.

Tuesday

Sunny, with a high in the mid-80s. Calm winds.

Tuesday Night

Mostly clear, with a low in the low-to-mid 60s. Calm winds.

Wednesday

Sunny, with a high in the mid-80s.

Wednesday Night

Partly cloudy, with a low in the low-to-mid 60s.




TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK Things are starting to heat up
(video from Levi Cowan of Tropical Tidbits and Mark Sudduth of HurricaneTrack.com have been added to this segment below the tropical outlook and will remain as long as they cover this storm)




Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Mon Sep 2 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Dorian, located over eastern Grand Bahama Island.

1. Recent satellite-derived surface wind data indicate that the low-pressure system located about 150 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands has become better defined. Shower and thunderstorm activity is beginning to show signs of organization, and environmental conditions appear conducive for a tropical depression to form during the next day or so while the system moves generally northwestward across the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. Locally heavy rainfall will be possible over the Cabo Verde Islands through Tuesday.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

2. A broad area of low pressure located over the south-central Gulf of Mexico continues to produce widespread cloudiness and disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some gradual development of this system is possible during the next few days while the low moves slowly westward across the south-central and southwestern Gulf of Mexico toward the coast of Mexico.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

3. A trough of low pressure is located several hundred miles south-southeast of Bermuda. Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased since yesterday and has also become better organized this morning. Gradual development of this system is possible during the next few days while the disturbance moves slowly northward or north-northwestward. Interests in and around Bermuda should monitor the progress of this disturbance.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

4. A tropical wave is forecast to emerge over the far eastern tropical Atlantic between Africa and the Cabo Verde Islands by the end of the week. Some gradual development of this disturbance will be possible over the weekend while it moves westward to west-northwestward.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.


Hurricane Dorian
(Official Information about Hurricane Dorian is posted below, followed by material from a couple of amateur meteorologists that have a proven track record of being reliable and sober reporters)



Hurricane Dorian Discussion Number 35
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052019
1100 PM EDT Sun Sep 01 2019

Dorian remains an incredibly powerful hurricane and it is currently making landfall on the eastern end of Grand Bahama Island. Satellite images show a symmetrical cyclone with a circular 10 n mi diameter eye and intense eyewall convection with lots of lightning being detected. Doppler radar data from Miami and the Bahamas show that Dorian has developed concentric eyewalls, and this feature is also noted by a double wind maximum that is evident in data from the Air Force Hurricane Hunters. The initial intensity of Dorian is set at 155 kt based mostly on the SFMR winds from the aircraft. The aircraft data also indicated that the radii of tropical-storm-force winds are a little larger than they were earlier today.

Dorian is still moving slowly westward at about 5 kt. The ridge to the north of Dorian is gradually weakening and shifting eastward in response to a mid- to upper-level trough that is moving across the eastern U.S. This change in the steering pattern should cause Dorian to slow down even more and perhaps stall, before it turns to the northwest late Monday or early Tuesday. This expected slow motion will likely be devastating to the Great Abaco and Grand Bahama Islands since it would prolong the catastrophic winds, storm surge, and rainfall over those areas. The timing of the northwest or north turn is very critical in determining how close Dorian will get to the Florida peninsula on Tuesday and Wednesday. In general, the track models have changed little from the previous cycle, and the NHC forecast continues to show the core of Dorian very near, but offshore, of the Florida peninsula on Tuesday and Wednesday. The hurricane is then expected to track near the Georgia and Carolina coasts late this week. This forecast is in best agreement with the various consensus models, which typically have the lowest errors. It is once again emphasized that although the official track forecast does not show landfall, users should not focus on the exact track. A small deviation to the left of the track could bring the intense core of the hurricane and its dangerous winds closer to or onto the Florida coast.

Category 5 hurricanes like Dorian usually don't hold that intensity for very long, and it is expected that Dorian will weaken slowly during the next few days. However, the observed eyewall replacement cycle will likely cause fluctuations in strength, both up and down, while the system is near Florida. The models show an increase in shear when Dorian tracks near Georgia and the Carolinas, which should cause more notable weakening. This forecast is near the high end of the latest model guidance.

Based on this forecast, the hurricane watch has been extended northward to the Florida-Georgia line.


Key Messages:

1. A prolonged period of catastrophic winds and storm surge will affect the Abaco Islands and Grand Bahama Island for several more hours. Everyone there should take immediate shelter and not venture into the eye.

2. Life-threatening storm surges and dangerous hurricane-force winds are expected along portions of the Florida east coast through mid-week, and storm surge and hurricane warnings are in effect. Only a slight deviation to the left of the official forecast would bring the core of Dorian near or over the Florida east coast. Residents should listen to the advice given by local emergency officials.

3. There is an increasing likelihood of strong winds and dangerous storm surge along the coasts of Georgia, South Carolina, and North Carolina later this week. Residents in these areas should continue to monitor the progress of Dorian and listen to the advice given by local emergency officials.

4. Heavy rains, capable of producing life-threatening flash floods, are expected over northern portions of the Bahamas and coastal sections of the southeast and lower mid-Atlantic regions of the United States through late this week.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 02/0300Z 26.6N 77.9W 155 KT 180 MPH
12H 02/1200Z 26.8N 78.5W 145 KT 165 MPH
24H 03/0000Z 26.9N 79.0W 135 KT 155 MPH
36H 03/1200Z 27.3N 79.3W 125 KT 145 MPH
48H 04/0000Z 28.2N 79.8W 120 KT 140 MPH
72H 05/0000Z 30.6N 80.2W 105 KT 120 MPH
96H 06/0000Z 33.5N 77.7W 85 KT 100 MPH
120H 07/0000Z 37.5N 71.8W 75 KT 85 MPH






Thie above is a spaghetti plot showing an ensemble of the various computer forecasts from the GFS computer model on the potential paths DORIAN could take based on potential weather forecasts. The heavy black line shows the OFficial forecast path by the National Hurricane Center. As time progresses, that path will change as the NHC obtains better information.


The reliability of the plots decreases as time progresses on the map. I would mostly ignore anything beyond 48 hours beyond just noting if the models started to show clumping that might be an indicator that the computer models are approaching a consensus.



TROPICAL TIDBITS

Tropical Tidbits is a website run by Macon Media's favorite no-nonsense tropical forecaster, Levi Cowan. He does not post material just to get clicks or to sensationalize the storms he covers to "make them more exciting." He is reliable and sober, unlike The Weather Channel crowd of Drama Queen Meteorologists.

Levi typically posts videos late in the afternoon or early in the evening on Youtube. [LINK]




Like Macon Media, Levi relies on patreons to keep him doing what he does [LINK]

HurricaneTrack.com

Mark Sudduth is another amateur meteorologist who is sober and not given to unnecessarily dramatize the weather. He just gives us the facts and tells us what he thinks will happen and then he goes and captures video and images of the storms and the damage they leave in their wake. You can follow his work at HurricaneTrack.com or on Youtube. [LINK]



IF the above livestream has ended, try visiting https://www.youtube.com/user/hurricanetrack/live to see the current video. Mark tends to end streams at or near the 12-hour mark.

Like Macon Media, Mark relies on patreons to keep him doing what he does [LINK]






Weather Extremes for Macon County for the month of September
Data available from 1872 to 2018

Highest Temperature 98°F in Franklin on 09-04-1975
Lowest Temperature 27°F in Franklin on 09-30-1967
Greatest Rainfall 11.87 inches in Highlands on 09-27-1964
Greatest Snowfall no measurable snowfall has been recorded since records started being kept in 1873

Weather Extremes for North Carolina for the month of September
Data available from 1870 to 2018

Highest Temperature 109°F Weldon, Halifax County 09-07-1954
Lowest Temperature 23°F Marion, McDowell County 09-28-2000
Greatest One-Day Rainfall 19.30 in Southport, Brunswick County 09-16-1999

Monthly Averages

Warmest Weather Station 75.4°F Morehead City, Carteret County
Coldest Weather Station 55.0°F Mount Mitchell, Yancey County
Wettest Weather Station 8.93 in Southport, Brunswick County
Driest Weather Station 2.94 in Marshall, Madison County



Published at 3:30am on September 2, 2019


Friday, August 30, 2019

Daily Weather Briefing for Friday, August 30, 2019





Outlook

Dry high pressure will persist over the region into the early part of the weekend. Atlantic moisture may slowly increase through the latter half of the weekend. The track of Hurricane Dorian will determine the weather across the region next Monday through Thursday, but the path remains highly uncertain for that period. Impacts from the system remain possible for our area, especially mid to late next week. Check out the Tropical Weather Section near the end of this article for more detailed information, including maps, graphics, and videos.

DAY SPONSOR

Macon Media is being underwritten today by the Governor's Highway Safety Program, one of the funders of North Carolina’s Vision Zero initiative, which is working to meet the goal of zero deaths on the state's roadways through community involvement and data-driven safety interventions.

Motorists are encouraged to take the Vision Zero Initiative. The pledge is posted below and you can learn more about the initiative at NC Vision Zero

I pledge to myself, my loved ones, and my community to:

•Always wear a seat belt.
•Follow the speed limit.
•Only drive sober and alert.
•Keep my eyes on the road, my hands on the wheel, and my mind on driving.



THREE DAY GFS FORECAST
This animated image shows a forecast of precipitation, air pressure and thickness level (cold-air damming) for three days in six-hour increments.
Green, Yellow, and Red indicate rain. Orange and Purple Indicate Freezing Rain or other freezing precipitation. Blue indicates snow.





WEATHER SPONSOR



Adams Products, a Division of Oldcastle is underwriting the daily weather briefing & public safety updates for the month.

Open 7:30 AM to 4:00 PM, M-F, located at 895 Hickory Knoll Road, Franklin, NC. Visit our Facebook page at:
https://www.facebook.com/Adams.Oldcastle.Franklin.NC/

All your masonry needs are available. Our phone number is 828.524.8545, the public is welcome, we’ll help you with your next project.



Weather Hazards

Hazardous weather is not expected today. There may be a potential for heavy rain in the middle of next week as some computer models are beginning to show the remnants of the storm passing over or near our area.



**Note** A Tropical Weather Outlook section has been added to the daily weather briefing for the Atlantic Hurricane Season, and since those tend to run long when there is activity, that section has been added between the daily forecasts for the four regions of the county and the almanac section so people can get to their daily forecasts with minimal interference.




CROWDFUNDING OR DAY SPONSORSHIP OPPORTUNITIES


If you receive value from what Macon Media provides to the community, please consider becoming a supporter and contribute at least a dollar a month. Those who support Macon Media with at least a dollar a month receive early access to video of some events and meetings before they are made public on the website. Videos and news involving public safety are not subject to early access.


Become a Patron!



WEATHER FORECAST MAPS

Forecast maps for 7 am, 1 pm, and 7 pm.
[click on any image in this article to enlarge]





FRANKLIN AREA FORECAST

Today

Widespread dense fog before 9am. Otherwise, cloudy through midmorning, then gradual clearing, with a high in the mid-80s. Calm winds.

Tonight

Areas of fog after 2am. Otherwise, mostly clear, with a low in the upper 50s. Light and variable winds.

Saturday

Sunny, with a high in the upper 80s. Calm winds in the morning increasing to come out of the southeast around 6 mph in the afternoon.

Saturday Night

Mostly clear, with a low around 60. Calm winds.

Sunday

A slight chance of showers between 1pm and 3pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 3pm. Mostly sunny, with a high in the mid-80s. Chance of rain is 20%.

Sunday Night

Partly cloudy, with a low in the lower 60s.




OTTO AREA FORECAST

Today

Widespread dense fog before 9am. Otherwise, cloudy through midmorning, then gradual clearing, with a high in the mid-80s. Calm winds.

Tonight

Areas of fog after 2am. Otherwise, clear, with a low around 60. WInds out of the south around 5 mph becoming calm before midnight.

Saturday

Sunny, with a high in the mid-80s. Calm winds in the morning increasing to come out of the southeast around 6 mph in the afternoon.

Saturday Night

Mostly clear, with a low around 60. Calm winds.

Sunday

A slight chance of showers between noon and 3pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 3pm. Mostly sunny, with a high in the low-to-mid 80s. Chance of rain is 20%.

Sunday Night

A 30 percent chance of showers before 9pm. Partly cloudy, with a low in the lower 60s.



HIGHLANDS PLATEAU FORECAST

Today

Sunny, with a high near 75. Calm winds in the morning increasing to come out of the southeast around 5 mph in the afternoon.

Tonight

Clear, with a low around 55. Winds out of the east wind around 6 mph.

Saturday

Sunny, with a high in the mid-70s. Winds out of the northeast 5 to 10 mph shifting to come out of the southeast in the afternoon.

Saturday Night

Mostly clear, with a low in the mid-50s. Winds out of the east around 6 mph.

Sunday

A slight chance of showers between 11am and 3pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 3pm. Mostly sunny, with a high in the mid-70s. Chance of rain is 20%.

Sunday Night

A 30 percent chance of showers before 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low in the mid-to-upper 50s.



NANTAHALA AREA FORECAST

Today

Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, sunny, with a high in the lower 80s. Calm winds.

Tonight

Patchy fog after 3am. Otherwise, clear, with a low in the mid-to-upper 50s. Light and variable winds.

Saturday

Sunny, with a high in the mid-80s. Calm winds increasing to come out of the east around 5 mph in the afternoon.

Saturday Night

Mostly clear, with a low in the upper 50s. Winds out of the southeast around 5 mph becoming calm before midnight.

Sunday

A slight chance of showers between 1pm and 3pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 3pm. Mostly sunny, with a high in the low-to-mid 80s. Chance of rain is 20%.

Sunday Night

Partly cloudy, with a low around 60.




TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK Things are starting to heat up
(video from Levi Cowan of Tropical Tidbits and Mark Sudduth of HurricaneTrack.com have been added to this segment below the tropical outlook and will remain as long as they cover this storm)




Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Fri Aug 30 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Dorian, located a few hundred miles east-northeast of the southeastern Bahamas.

1. A tropical wave is moving westward from the coast of Africa. Some development of this system is possible early next week over the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Hurricane Dorian
(Official Information about Hurricane Dorian is posted below, followed by material from a couple of amateur meteorologists that have a proven track record of being reliable and sober reporters)



Hurricane Dorian Discussion Number 23
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052019
1100 PM AST Thu Aug 29 2019

The NOAA and Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft have been tag-teaming the reconaissance of Dorian tonight, providing useful information about what has changed during the past several hours. They found the pressure has dropped to about 977 mb, with recent SFMR data of about 90 kt (also supported by flight-level winds). These data are also consistent with satellite imagery that show Dorian with a larger, deeper central dense overcast than this afternoon. Thus the wind speed is raised to 90 kt on this advisory.

The initial motion is about the same as before, 325/10 kt. Dorian is expected to gradually turn to the west-northwest on Saturday, and westward on Sunday due to a building ridge over the southwestern Atlantic. While the model guidance generally shows this scenario in a broad sense, there are substantial timing differences among the guidance. The source of the uncertainty can be attributed to challenges in forecasting the strength and orientation of the mid-level ridge over the southeastern United States in a few days, along with exactly where and how large Dorian is by then. As you can imagine, with so many complex variables in play, it is no wonder the models have been having a difficult time nailing down the path of the hurricane. There's been a notable trend on this model cycle toward a slower, more westward track beyond 36 hours, which can be seen most strongly in the GFS-based guidance. The track forecast is shifted southward beyond 36 hours, and is about 30 n mi south of the previous one at 96 h. We will see if this southward trend in the models continues after the dropsonde data collected by the G-IV gets incorporated into the 00Z models. Users are reminded to not focus on the exact forecast track, as typical forecast errors at days 4 and 5 are around 155 and 205 miles, respectively.

There is still substantial middle- and upper-level dry air on the south side of the hurricane, as shown by tonight's G-IV mission, which has been allowing only slow strengthening during the day. As Dorian turns west-northwestward, however, shear should drop somewhat due to it moving on the northeast side of an upper-level low near the Florida Straits, and the winds aloft will no longer be pointed toward the core, which will help decrease dry air entrainment. All these changes should promote intensification while Dorian moves over the 29C waters east of Florida, so the intensity forecast is raised from the previous one, consistent with the corrected-consensus guidance. Unfortunately, I don't see any large-scale factors that would prevent Dorian from becoming an extremely dangerous category 4 hurricane during the next few days.

Key Messages:

1. The risk of life-threatening storm surge and hurricane-force winds this weekend continues to increase in the northwestern Bahamas, and hurricane watches could be issued on Friday. Residents should have their hurricane plan in place and listen to advice given by local emergency officials.

2. There is an increasing likelihood of life-threatening storm surge along portions of the Florida east coast late this weekend or early next week, although it is too soon to determine where the highest storm surge will occur. Residents should have their hurricane plan in place, know if they are in a hurricane evacuation zone, and listen to advice given by local emergency officials.

3. The risk of devastating hurricane-force winds along the Florida east coast and peninsula late this weekend and early next week continues to increase, although it is too soon to determine where the strongest winds will occur.

4. Regardless of the exact track of Dorian, heavy rains are expected to occur over portions of the Bahamas, Florida, and elsewhere in the southeastern United States this weekend and into the middle of next week.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 30/0300Z 23.3N 68.4W 90 KT 105 MPH
12H 30/1200Z 24.3N 69.4W 100 KT 115 MPH
24H 31/0000Z 25.4N 71.1W 105 KT 120 MPH
36H 31/1200Z 26.0N 73.0W 110 KT 125 MPH
48H 01/0000Z 26.3N 74.7W 115 KT 130 MPH
72H 02/0000Z 26.8N 77.9W 120 KT 140 MPH
96H 03/0000Z 27.0N 79.8W 120 KT 140 MPH
120H 04/0000Z 27.5N 81.0W 65 KT 75 MPH...INLAND





Thie above is a spaghetti plot showing an ensemble of the various computer forecasts from the GFS computer model on the potential paths DORIAN could take based on potential weather forecasts. The heavy black line shows the OFficial forecast path by the National Hurricane Center. As time progresses, that path will change as the NHC obtains better information.


The reliability of the plots decreases as time progresses on the map. I would mostly ignore anything beyond 48 hours beyond just noting if the models started to show clumping that might be an indicator that the computer models are approaching a consensus.



TROPICAL TIDBITS

Tropical TidbitS is a website run by Macon Media's favorite no-nonsense tropical forecaster, Levi Cowan. He does not post material just to get clicks or to sensationalize the storms he covers to "make them more exciting." He is reliable and sober, unlike The Weather Channel crowd of Drama Queen Meteorologists.

Levi typically posts videos late in the afternoon or early in the evening on Youtube. [LINK] https://www.youtube.com/user/Meridionaljet/videos




Like Macon Media, Levi relies on patreons to keep him doing what he does [LINK] https://www.patreon.com/Tropicaltidbits

HurricaneTrack.com

Mark Sudduth is another amateur meteorologist who is sober and not given to unnecessarily dramatize the weather. He just gives us the facts and tells us what he thinks will happen and then he goes and captures video and images of the storms and the damage they leave in their wake. You can follow his work at HurricaneTrack.com or on Youtube. [LINK] https://www.youtube.com/user/hurricanetrack/videos



Like Macon Media, Mark relies on patreons to keep him doing what he does [LINK] https://www.patreon.com/hurricanetrack






Weather Extremes for Macon County for the month of August
Data available from 1872 to 2018

Highest Temperature 99°F in Franklin on 08-09-1980
Lowest Temperature 40°F at the Coweeta Experimental Station on 08-29-1968
Greatest Rainfall 9.68 inches in Highlands on 08-13-1940
Greatest Snowfall no measurable snowfall has been recorded since records started being kept in 1873

Weather Extremes for North Carolina for the month of July
Data available from 1870 to 2018

Highest Temperature 110°F Fayetteville, Cumberland County 08-21-1983
Lowest Temperature 31°F Banner Elk, Avery County 08-23-1930
Greatest One-Day Rainfall 13.08 in Idlewild, Ashe County 08-14-1930

Monthly Averages

Warmest Weather Station 79.7°F Wilmington, New Hanover County
Coldest Weather Station 59.6°F Mount Mitchell, Yancey County
Wettest Weather Station 7.74 in Lake Toxaway, Transylvania County
Driest Weather Station 3.12 in Lexington, Davidson County



Published at 4:00am on August 30, 2019


Tuesday, July 23, 2019

Daily Weather Briefing for Tuesday, July 23, 2019





Outlook

A cold front will move slowly across the region today and tonight. In the front`s wake, high pressure will bring cooler and drier air over the region. Below normal temperatures and low precipitation chances are expected from Wednesday through the end of the week.


THREE DAY GFS FORECAST
This animated image shows a forecast of precipitation, air pressure and thickness level (cold-air damming) for three days in six-hour increments.
Green, Yellow, and Red indicate rain. Orange and Purple Indicate Freezing Rain or other freezing precipitation. Blue indicates snow.





WEATHER SPONSOR



Adams Products, a Division of Oldcastle is underwriting the daily weather briefing & public safety updates for the month.

Open 7:30 AM to 4:00 PM, M-F, located at 895 Hickory Knoll Road, Franklin, NC. Visit our Facebook page at:
https://www.facebook.com/Adams.Oldcastle.Franklin.NC/

All your masonry needs are available. Our phone number is 828.524.8545, the public is welcome, we’ll help you with your next project.



Weather Hazards

Showers and thunderstorms will continue through this afternoon as a cold front moves over the area. Isolated flooding will remain a threat throughout the day. Active weather advisories may be viewed anytime at is.gd/MACONWARN


**Note** A Tropical Weather Outlook section has been added to the daily weather briefing for the Atlantic Hurricane Season, and since those tend to run long when there is activity, that section has been added between the daily forecasts for the four regions of the county and the almanac section so people can get to their daily forecasts with minimal interference.




CROWDFUNDING OR DAY SPONSORSHIP OPPORTUNITIES


If you receive value from what Macon Media provides to the community, please consider becoming a supporter and contribute at least a dollar a month. Those who support Macon Media with at least a dollar a month receive early access to video of some events and meetings before they are made public on the website. Videos and news involving public safety are not subject to early access.

Patreon Subscriber History May 2014 to Present




Become a Patron!

If you have a business or event you are interested in sponsorship opportunities or underwriting coverage, send an email to editor@MaconMedia.com for more information. Serious inquiries only.

Thank You to the people who have been sending in donations and those businesses who are underwriting coverage of news and events. You have kept Macon Media online.



WEATHER FORECAST MAPS

Forecast maps for 7 am, 1 pm, and 7 pm.
[click on any image in this article to enlarge]




FRANKLIN AREA FORECAST

TODAY

Showers and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly before 1pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Patchy fog before 11am. Highs near 80. Calm winds increasing to come out of the northwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

Tonight

A 30 percent chance of showers, mainly before 7pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 55. Winds out of the northwest around 5 mph becoming calm by midnight. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

Wednesday

Sunny, with a high near 80. Calm winds increasing to come out of the north around 5 mph in the afternoon.

Wednesday Night

Mostly clear, with a low in the mid-50s. Light winds out of the northeast.

Thursday

Sunny, with a high near 80.

Thursday Night

Partly cloudy, with a low around 60.




OTTO AREA FORECAST

Today

Showers and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly before 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Patchy fog between 10am and 11am. Highs in the upper 70s. Calm winds increasing to come out of the north around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Tonight

A 30 percent chance of showers, mainly before 7pm. Partly cloudy, with a low in the mid-50s. Winds out of the north around 5 mph. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

Wednesday

Sunny, with a high near 80. Winds out of the north 3 to 5 mph.

Wednesday Night

Mostly clear, with a low in the upper 50s. Light winds out of the northeast.

Thursday

Sunny, with a high near 80.

Thursday Night

Partly cloudy, with a low around 60.




HIGHLANDS PLATEAU FORECAST

Today

Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a high near 69. North northwest wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

Tonight

A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 7pm, then a slight chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low in the mid-50s. Winds out of the northeast 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Wednesday

Sunny, with a high near 70. Winds out of the northeast 5 to 10 mph.

Wednesday Night

Mostly clear, with a low in the mid-50s. Winds out of the northeast around 6 mph.

Thursday

Sunny, with a high near 70.

Thursday Night

Partly cloudy, with a low in the upper 50s.




NANTAHALA AREA FORECAST

Today

Showers and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly before noon, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Patchy fog before 10am. High near 75. Winds out of the west 5 to 10 mph shifting to come out of the north in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three-quarters of an inch possible.

Tonight

Mostly clear, with a low in the lower 50s. Winds out of the northeast 3 to 7 mph.

Wednesday

Sunny, with a high in the mid-70s. Winds out of the northeast around 6 mph.

Wednesday Night

Mostly clear, with a low in the mid-50s. Winds out of the northeast 3 to 5 mph.

Thursday

Sunny, with a high in the mid-70s.

Thursday Night

Partly cloudy, with a low in the upper 50s.





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK



Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Tue Jul 23 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Three, located between the southeastern Florida coast and Grand Bahama.

1. A non-tropical low pressure area could form over the northern Gulf of Mexico by late Wednesday or Thursday. Thereafter, this system has the potential to acquire subtropical or tropical characteristics while it moves slowly eastward to northeastward over warm waters through the end of the week.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Three are issued under WMO header WTNT33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT3.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Three are issued under WMO header WTNT23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT3.





Tropical Depression Three Discussion Number 2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032019
1100 PM EDT Mon Jul 22 2019

The depression has become less organized this evening. Much of the deep convection seen earlier in the day has dissipated, and the cyclone currently consists of a swirl of low-level clouds with some shower activity. The initial intensity is held at 25 kt based on the earlier ASCAT data.

The system is moving northwestward at 9 kt, steered by the southwestern periphery of the Atlantic subtropical ridge. A turn to the north and north-northeast with a notable increase in forward speed is expected on Tuesday as the depression moves in the flow between the subtropical ridge and an approaching deep-layer trough moving across the eastern United States. The NHC track forecast is similar to the previous one and keeps the center of the cyclone offshore of the east coast of Florida. This prediction is near the multi-model consensus TVCN.

Significant strengthening of the depression is not expected given its poor initial state and because it is forecast to move into a region of strong southwesterly flow aloft by late Tuesday. In fact, the global and regional models all show the depression opening into a trough within the next 24 hours, with the remnants of the system becoming absorbed within a frontal zone off the southeast U.S. on Wednesday. The NHC intensity forecast is a little lower than the previous one and now shows dissipation occurring sooner, by 36 hours.

Direct impacts from the depression are expected to be limited to 1 to 3 inches of rainfall in the Bahamas and along the east coast of Florida.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 23/0300Z 26.1N 79.3W 25 KT 30 MPH
12H 23/1200Z 28.4N 79.8W 25 KT 30 MPH
24H 24/0000Z 31.7N 78.5W 30 KT 35 MPH
36H 24/1200Z...DISSIPATED




Macon Media Almanac for July 23, 2019

Highest Temperature 96°F in Franklin in 1952
Lowest Temperature 44°F in Highlands in 1915
Greatest Rainfall 2.89 inches at the Coweeta Experimental Station in 1970
Greatest Snowfall no measurable snow has been recorded on this date since records started being kept in 1872


Weather Extremes for Macon County for the month of July
Data available from 1872 to 2018

Highest Temperature 101°F in Franklin on 07-29-1952
Lowest Temperature 34°F in Highlands on 07-27-1911
Greatest Rainfall 21.15 inches in Highlands on 07-29-1879
Greatest Snowfall no measurable snowfall has been recorded since records started being kept in 1873

Weather Extremes for North Carolina for the month of July
Data available from 1870 to 2018

Highest Temperature 109°F Albemarle, Stanly County 07-28-1940
Lowest Temperature 32°F Celo, Yancey County 07-10-1961
Greatest One-Day Rainfall 21.15 in Highlands, Macon County 07-29-1879

Monthly Averages

Warmest Weather Station 81.3°F Fayetteville, Cumberland County
Coldest Weather Station 60.4°F Mount Mitchell, Yancey County
Wettest Weather Station 7.97 in Wilmington, New Hanover County
Driest Weather Station 2.97 in Asheville, Buncombe County




Published at 4:55am on July 23, 2019


Tuesday, July 16, 2019

Daily Weather Briefing for Tuesday, July 16, 2019





Outlook

High pressure will be in control of the weather across the area for much of the week, while the remnants of Barry remain to the west of the region. With hot and humid conditions each day, a few mainly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms can be expected.


THREE DAY GFS FORECAST
This animated image shows a forecast of precipitation, air pressure and thickness level (cold-air damming) for three days in six-hour increments.
Green, Yellow, and Red indicate rain. Orange and Purple Indicate Freezing Rain or other freezing precipitation. Blue indicates snow.





WEATHER SPONSOR



Adams Products, a Division of Oldcastle is underwriting the daily weather briefing & public safety updates for the month.

Open 7:30 AM to 4:00 PM, M-F, located at 895 Hickory Knoll Road, Franklin, NC. Visit our Facebook page at:
https://www.facebook.com/Adams.Oldcastle.Franklin.NC/

All your masonry needs are available. Our phone number is 828.524.8545, the public is welcome, we’ll help you with your next project.



Weather Hazards

Hazardous weather is not expected.


**Note** A Tropical Weather Outlook section has been added to the daily weather briefing for the Atlantic Hurricane Season, and since those tend to run long when there is activity, that section has been added between the daily forecasts for the four regions of the county and the almanac section so people can get to their daily forecasts with minimal interference.




CROWDFUNDING OR DAY SPONSORSHIP OPPORTUNITIES


If you receive value from what Macon Media provides to the community, please consider becoming a supporter and contribute at least a dollar a month. Those who support Macon Media with at least a dollar a month receive early access to video of some events and meetings before they are made public on the website. Videos and news involving public safety are not subject to early access.

Patreon Subscriber History May 2014 to Present




Become a Patron!

If you have a business or event you are interested in sponsorship opportunities or underwriting coverage, send an email to editor@MaconMedia.com for more information. Serious inquiries only.

Thank You to the people who have been sending in donations and those businesses who are underwriting coverage of news and events. You have kept Macon Media online.



WEATHER FORECAST MAPS

Forecast maps for 7 am, 1 pm, and 7 pm.
[click on any image in this article to enlarge]




FRANKLIN AREA FORECAST

TODAY

A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 3pm. Patchy fog before 10am. Otherwise, partly sunny, with a high in the mid-to-upper 80s. Calm winds increasing to come out of the southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.

Tonight

A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 10pm, then a slight chance of showers after 5am. Partly cloudy, with a low in the mid-to-upper 60s. Light winds out of the southwest. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

Wednesday

A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 10am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 85. Calm winds increasing to come out of the southwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Wednesday Night

A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low in the mid-to-upper 60s. Winds out of the southwest around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.

Thursday

A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high in the mid-80s.

Thursday Night

A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low in the mid-to-upper 60s.




OTTO AREA FORECAST

Today

A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Patchy fog before 8am. Otherwise, mostly sunny, with a high in the mid-to-upper 80s. Calm wind becoming southwest around 6 mph in the afternoon.

Tonight

Partly cloudy, with a low in the mid-to-upper 60s. Light winds out of the southwest.

Wednesday

A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 9am. Mostly sunny, with a high in the mid-80s. Calm winds increasing to coke out of the southwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Wednesday Night

A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low in the mid-to-upper 60s. Light winds out of the west.

Thursday

A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high in the mid-80s.

Thursday Night

A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low in the mid-to-upper 60s.




HIGHLANDS PLATEAU FORECAST

Today

A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high in the mid-to-upper 70s. Light and variable winds increasing to come out of the southwest 5 to 10 mph by midmorning.

Tonight

A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9pm, then a slight chance of showers after 4am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 65. Winds out of the southwest 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

Wednesday

A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 9am. Mostly sunny, with a high in the mid-70s. Winds out of the southwest 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Wednesday Night

A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. Winds out of the west 5 to 10 mph.

Thursday

Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high in the mid-to-upper 70s. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Thursday Night

A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low in the mid-60s.



NANTAHALA AREA FORECAST

Today

A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high in the low-to-mid 80s. Calm winds increasing to come out of the southwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.

Tonight

A slight chance of showers before 7pm, then a slight chance of showers after 3am. Partly cloudy, with a low in the mid-60s. Winds out of the southwest 3 to 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

Wednesday

A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 9am. Partly sunny, with a high near 80. Light winds out of the southwest increasing to 5 to 10 mph by midmorning. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Wednesday Night

A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low in the mid-60s. Winds out of the southwest 3 to 5 mph.

Thursday

A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 80.

Thursday Night

A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low in the mid-60s.




TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK



Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Tue Jul 16 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The Weather Prediction Center is issuing advisories on Post-Tropical Cyclone Barry, located over southern Missouri.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

BARRY

Public advisories on Barry from the Weather Prediction Center can be found under AWIPS header TCPAT2, WMO header WTNT32 KWNH, and on the web at http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov





Macon Media Almanac for July 16, 2019

Highest Temperature 96°F in Franklin in 1980
Lowest Temperature 41°F in Highlands in 1903
Greatest Rainfall 5.77 inches in Highlands in 1916
Greatest Snowfall no measurable snow has been recorded on this date since records started being kept in 1872


Weather Extremes for Macon County for the month of July
Data available from 1872 to 2018

Highest Temperature 101°F in Franklin on 07-29-1952
Lowest Temperature 34°F in Highlands on 07-27-1911
Greatest Rainfall 21.15 inches in Highlands on 07-29-1879
Greatest Snowfall no measurable snowfall has been recorded since records started being kept in 1873

Weather Extremes for North Carolina for the month of July
Data available from 1870 to 2018

Highest Temperature 109°F Albemarle, Stanly County 07-28-1940
Lowest Temperature 32°F Celo, Yancey County 07-10-1961
Greatest One-Day Rainfall 21.15 in Highlands, Macon County 07-29-1879

Monthly Averages

Warmest Weather Station 81.3°F Fayetteville, Cumberland County
Coldest Weather Station 60.4°F Mount Mitchell, Yancey County
Wettest Weather Station 7.97 in Wilmington, New Hanover County
Driest Weather Station 2.97 in Asheville, Buncombe County




Published at 3:35am on July 16, 2019