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Showing posts with label Ron Paul. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Ron Paul. Show all posts

Wednesday, August 29, 2012

2012 RNC Convention
Tuesday Night Speeches


The 2012 RNC Convention had a full lineup tonight and I have videos of most of them, first a full ten hour video that includes everything, then a series of shorter videos focusing on the primetime lineup of speakers and the texts of the speeches given by Rick Santorum, Ann Romney and Chris Christie.


Here is the full ten hour day of video:


Or, if you prefer your speeches in short bites, here are the speeched that the RNC has uploaded to their Youtube Channel, in the order I think they were delivered:


Remarks by Speaker John Boehner


Remarks by RNC Chairman Reince
Priebus


Video and remarks by Mayor Mia Love (Saratoga Springs, UT), U.S. congressional candidate


Remarks by Janine Turner


Remarks by former U.S. Senator Rick Santorum



It’s an honor to be here tonight with the love of my life, Karen, my 93-year-old mother and some of our kids.

You think it’s crowded in here, good thing I didn’t bring all my kids.

I am a first-generation American.

At age seven, my dad came to Johnstown, Pennsylvania from the mountains of northern Italy, on a ship named Providence.

How providential that one day his son would announce for president just down the road from the deep mines where his father — my grandfather — mined coal ’til he was 72 years old.

When my grandfather died, I remember as a kid kneeling at his casket and not being able to take my eyes off his thick strong hands — hands that dug his path in life — and gave his family a chance — at living the American Dream.

Working the mines may not have been the dream he dreamed – I never dared to ask him – but I think his answer would have been that America gave him more than he had ever hoped.

America believed in him, that’s why he believed in America.

My grandfather, like millions of other immigrants, didn’t come here for some government guarantee of income equality or government benefits to take care of his family.

In 1923 there were no government benefits for immigrants except one: Freedom!

Under President Obama, the dream of freedom and opportunity has become a nightmare of dependency with almost half of America receiving some government benefit.

It is no surprise fewer and fewer Americans are achieving their dreams and more and more parents are concerned their children won’t realize theirs.

President Obama spent four years and borrowed five trillion dollars, trying to convince you that he could make things better for you —- to put your trust in him and the government to take care of every problem.

The result — massive debt, anemic growth and millions more unemployed. The President’s plan didn’t work for America, because that’s not how America works.

In America we believe in freedom and the responsibility that comes with it to work hard to make that dream of reaching our God-given potential come true.

We believe it because it still works.

Even today.

Graduate from high school, work hard, and get married before you have children and the chance you will ever be in poverty is just two percent.

Yet if you don’t do these three things you’re 38 times more likely to end up in poverty!

We understand many Americans don’t succeed because the family that should be there to guide them, and serve as the first rung on the ladder of success, isn’t there or is badly broken.

The fact is that marriage is disappearing in places where government dependency is highest. Most single mothers do heroic work and an amazing job raising their children, but if America is going to succeed, we must stop the assault on marriage and the family.

From lowering taxes to reforming social programs, Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan are dedicated to restoring the home where married moms and dads are pillars of strong communities raising good citizens in our neighborhood.

A solid education should be the second rung on the ladder to success, but the system is failing.

President Obama’s solution has been to deny parents choice, attack private schools and nationalize curriculum and student loans.

Mitt Romney believes that parents and the local community must be put in charge — not the Department of Education.

We all know there is one key to success that has helped people overcome even the greatest of obstacles – hard work. That’s why work was the centerpiece of the bipartisan welfare reform law.

Requiring work as a condition for receiving welfare succeeded — and not just because the welfare rolls were cut in half — but because employment went way up, poverty went down and dreams were realized.

It’s a sturdy ladder to success that is built with healthy families, education and hard work.

But President Obama’s policies undermine the traditional family, weaken the education system.

And this summer he showed us once again he believes in government handouts and dependency by waiving the work requirement for welfare.

I helped write welfare reform; we made the law crystal clear – no president can waive the work requirement. But as with his refusal to enforce our immigration laws, President Obama rules like he is above the law.

America take heed, when a president can simply give a speech or write a memo and change the law to do what the law says he can’t, we weaken our republic.

Yet as my family and I crisscrossed America, something became so obvious to us.

America is still the greatest country in the world – and with God’s help and good leadership we can restore the American Dream.

Why?

I held its hand. I shook the hand of the American Dream. And it has a strong grip.

I shook hands of farmers and ranchers who made America the bread basket of the world. Hands weathered and worn. And proud of it.

I grasped dirty hands with scars that come from years of labor in the oil and gas fields, mines and mills. Hands that power and build America and are stewards of the abundant resources that God has given us.

I gripped hands that work in restaurants and hotels, in hospitals, banks, and grocery stores. Hands that serve and care for all of us.

I clasped hands of men and women in uniform and their families. Hands that sacrifice and risk all to protect and keep us free. And hands that pray for their safe return home.

I held hands that are in want. Hands looking for the dignity of a good job, hands growing weary of not finding one but refusing to give up hope.

And finally, I cradled the little, broken hands of the disabled. Hands that struggle and bring pain, hands that ennoble us and bring great joy.

They came to see us – oh did they come — when they found out Karen and I are blessed with caring for someone very special too, our Bella.

Four and a half years ago I stood over a hospital isolette staring at the tiny hands of our newborn daughter who we hoped was perfectly healthy. But Bella’s hands were just a little different – and I knew different wasn’t good news.

The doctors later told us Bella was incompatible with life and to prepare to let go. They said, even if she did survive, her disabilities would be so severe that Bella would not have a life worth living.

We didn’t let go and today Bella is full of life and she has made our lives and countless others much more worth living.

I thank God that America still has one party that reaches out their hands in love to lift up all of God’s children – born and unborn – and says that each of us has dignity and all of us have the right to live the American Dream.

And without you America is not keeping faith with that dream.

We are stewards of a great inheritance. In November we have a chance to vote for life and liberty, not dependency. A vote for Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan will put our country back in the hands of leaders who understand what America can and, for the sake of our children, must be to keep the dream alive.





Remarks by Host, U.S. Rep. Cathy McMorris Rodgers




Remarks by U.S. Senator Kelly Ayotte (NH)


Remarks by Governor John Kasich (OH)


Remarks by Governor Mary Fallin (OK)


Remarks by Governor Bob McDonnell (VA)



Remarks by Governor Scott Walker (WI)



Remarks by Governor Brian Sandoval (NV)


Remarks by Sher Valenzuela (small business owner, candidate for DE Lt. Governor)


Remarks by Senate Republican Candidate Ted Cruz (TX)


Remarks by Artur Davis


Remarks by Governor Nikki Haley (SC)


Remarks by Mrs. Luce’ Vela Fortuño


Remarks by Mrs. Ann Romney


Remarks by Governor Chris Christie (NJ)




This stage and this moment are very improbable for me.

A New Jersey Republican delivering the keynote address to our national convention, from a state with 700,000 more Democrats than Republicans.

A New Jersey Republican stands before you tonight.

Proud of my party, proud of my state and proud of my country.

I am the son of an Irish father and a Sicilian mother.

My Dad, who I am blessed to have with me here tonight, is gregarious, outgoing and loveable.

My Mom, who I lost 8 years ago, was the enforcer. She made sure we all knew who set the rules.

In the automobile of life, Dad was just a passenger. Mom was the driver.

They both lived hard lives. Dad grew up in poverty. After returning from Army service, he worked at the Breyers Ice Cream plant in the 1950s. With that job and the G.I. bill he put himself through Rutgers University at night to become the first in his family to earn a college degree. Our first family picture was on his graduation day, with Mom beaming next to him, six months pregnant with me.

Mom also came from nothing. She was raised by a single mother who took three buses to get to work every day. And mom spent the time she was supposed to be a kid actually raising children - her two younger siblings. She was tough as nails and didn't suffer fools at all. The truth was she couldn't afford to. She spoke the truth - bluntly, directly and without much varnish.

I am her son.

I was her son as I listened to "Darkness on the Edge of Town" with my high school friends on the Jersey Shore.

I was her son as I moved into a studio apartment with Mary Pat to start a marriage that is now 26 years old.

I was her son as I coached our sons Andrew and Patrick on the fields of Mendham, and as I watched with pride as our daughters Sarah and Bridget marched with their soccer teams in the Labor Day parade.

And I am still her son today, as Governor, following the rules she taught me: to speak from the heart and to fight for your principles. She never thought you get extra credit for just speaking the truth.

The greatest lesson Mom ever taught me, though, was this one: she told me there would be times in your life when you have to choose between being loved and being respected. She said to always pick being respected, that love without respect was always fleeting -- but that respect could grow into real, lasting love.

Now, of course, she was talking about women.

But I have learned over time that it applies just as much to leadership. In fact, I think that advice applies to America today more than ever.

I believe we have become paralyzed by our desire to be loved.

Our founding fathers had the wisdom to know that social acceptance and popularity is fleeting and that this country's principles needed to be rooted in strengths greater than the passions and emotions of the times.

Our leaders today have decided it is more important to be popular, to do what is easy and say "yes," rather than to say no when "no" is what's required.

In recent years, we as a country have too often chosen the same path.

It's been easy for our leaders to say not us, and not now, in taking on the tough issues. And we've stood silently by and let them get away with it.

But tonight, I say enough.

I say, together, let's make a much different choice. Tonight, we are speaking up for ourselves and stepping up.

We are beginning to do what is right and what is necessary to make our country great again.

We are demanding that our leaders stop tearing each other down, and work together to take action on the big things facing America.

Tonight, we choose respect over love.

We are not afraid. We are taking our country back.

We are the great grandchildren of men and women who broke their backs in the name of American ingenuity; the grandchildren of the Greatest Generation; the sons and daughters of immigrants; the brothers and sisters of everyday heroes; the neighbors of entrepreneurs and firefighters, teachers and farmers, veterans and factory workers and everyone in-between who shows up not just on the big days or the good days, but on the bad days and on the hard days.

Each and every day. All 365 of them.

We are the United States of America.

Now we must lead the way our citizens live. To lead as my mother insisted I live, not by avoiding truths, especially the hard ones, but by facing up to them and being the better for it.

We cannot afford to do anything less.

I know because this was the challenge in New Jersey.

When I came into office, I could continue on the same path that led to wealth, jobs and people leaving the state or I could do the job the people elected me to do - to do the big things.

There were those who said it couldn't be done. The problems were too big, too politically charged, too broken to fix. But we were on a path we could no longer afford to follow.

They said it was impossible to cut taxes in a state where taxes were raised 115 times in eight years. That it was impossible to balance a budget at the same time, with an $11 billion deficit. Three years later, we have three balanced budgets with lower taxes.

We did it.

They said it was impossible to touch the third rail of politics. To take on the public sector unions and to reform a pension and health benefit system that was headed to bankruptcy.

With bipartisan leadership we saved taxpayers $132 billion over 30 years and saved retirees their pension.

We did it.

They said it was impossible to speak the truth to the teachers union. They were just too powerful. Real teacher tenure reform that demands accountability and ends the guarantee of a job for life regardless of performance would never happen.

For the first time in 100 years with bipartisan support, we did it.

The disciples of yesterday's politics underestimated the will of the people. They assumed our people were selfish; that when told of the difficult problems, tough choices and complicated solutions, they would simply turn their backs, that they would decide it was every man for himself.

Instead, the people of New Jersey stepped up and shared in the sacrifice.

They rewarded politicians who led instead of politicians who pandered.

We shouldn't be surprised.

We've never been a country to shy away from the truth. History shows that we stand up when it counts and it's this quality that has defined our character and our significance in the world.

I know this simple truth and I'm not afraid to say it: our ideas are right for America and their ideas have failed America.

Let's be clear with the American people tonight. Here's what we believe as Republicans and what they believe as Democrats.

We believe in telling hard working families the truth about our country's fiscal realities. Telling them what they already know - the math of federal spending doesn't add up.

With $5 trillion in debt added over the last four years, we have no other option but to make the hard choices, cut federal spending and fundamentally reduce the size of government.

They believe that the American people don't want to hear the truth about the extent of our fiscal difficulties and need to be coddled by big government.

They believe the American people are content to live the lie with them.

We believe in telling seniors the truth about our overburdened entitlements.

We know seniors not only want these programs to survive, but they just as badly want them secured for their grandchildren.

Seniors are not selfish.

They believe seniors will always put themselves ahead of their grandchildren. So they prey on their vulnerabilities and scare them with misinformation for the cynical purpose of winning the next election.

Their plan: whistle a happy tune while driving us off the fiscal cliff, as long as they are behind the wheel of power.

We believe that the majority of teachers in America know our system must be reformed to put students first so that America can compete.

Teachers don't teach to become rich or famous. They teach because they love children.

We believe that we should honor and reward the good ones while doing what's best for our nation's future - demanding accountability, higher standards and the best teacher in every classroom.

They believe the educational establishment will always put themselves ahead of children. That self-interest trumps common sense.

They believe in pitting unions against teachers, educators against parents, and lobbyists against children.

They believe in teacher's unions.

We believe in teachers.

We believe that if we tell the people the truth they will act bigger than the pettiness of Washington, D.C.

We believe it's possible to forge bipartisan compromise and stand up for conservative principles.

It's the power of our ideas, not of our rhetoric, that attracts people to our Party.

We win when we make it about what needs to be done; we lose when we play along with their game of scaring and dividing.

For make no mistake, the problems are too big to let the American people lose - the slowest economic recovery in decades, a spiraling out of control deficit, an education system that's failing to compete in the world.

It doesn't matter how we got here. There is enough blame to go around.

What matters now is what we do.

I know we can fix our problems.

When there are people in the room who care more about doing the job they were elected to do than worrying about winning re-election, it's possible to work together, achieve principled compromise and get results.

The people have no patience for any other way.

It's simple.

We need politicians to care more about doing something and less about being something.

Believe me, if we can do this in a blue state with a conservative Republican Governor, Washington is out of excuses.

Leadership delivers.

Leadership counts.

Leadership matters.

We have this leader for America.

We have a nominee who will tell us the truth and who will lead with conviction. And now he has a running mate who will do the same.

We have Governor Mitt Romney and Congressman Paul Ryan, and we must make them our next President and Vice President.

Mitt Romney will tell us the hard truths we need to hear to put us back on the path to growth and create good paying private sector jobs again in America.

Mitt Romney will tell us the hard truths we need to hear to end the torrent of debt that is compromising our future and burying our economy.

Mitt Romney will tell us the hard truths we need to hear to end the debacle of putting the world's greatest health care system in the hands of federal bureaucrats and putting those bureaucrats between an American citizen and her doctor.

We ended an era of absentee leadership without purpose or principle in New Jersey.

It's time to end this era of absentee leadership in the Oval Office and send real leaders to the White House.

America needs Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan and we need them right now.

There is doubt and fear for our future in every corner of our country.

These feelings are real.

This moment is real.

It's a moment like this where some skeptics wonder if American greatness is over.

How those who have come before us had the spirit and tenacity to lead America to a new era of greatness in the face of challenge.

Not to look around and say "not me," but to say, "YES, ME."

I have an answer tonight for the skeptics and the naysayers, the dividers and the defenders of the status quo.

I have faith in us.

I know we can be the men and women our country calls on us to be.

I believe in America and her history.

There's only one thing missing now. Leadership. It takes leadership that you don't get from reading a poll.

You see, Mr. President - real leaders don't follow polls. Real leaders change polls.

That's what we need to do now.

Change polls through the power of our principles.

Change polls through the strength of our convictions.

Tonight, our duty is to tell the American people the truth.

Our problems are big and the solutions will not be painless. We all must share in the sacrifice. Any leader that tells us differently is simply not telling the truth.

I think tonight of the Greatest Generation.

We look back and marvel at their courage - overcoming the Great Depression, fighting Nazi tyranny, standing up for freedom around the world.

Now it's our time to answer history's call.

For make no mistake, every generation will be judged and so will we.

What will our children and grandchildren say of us? Will they say we buried our heads in the sand, we assuaged ourselves with the creature comforts we've acquired, that our problems were too big and we were too small, that someone else should make a difference because we can't?

Or will they say we stood up and made the tough choices needed to preserve our way of life?

I don't know about you, but I don't want my children and grandchildren to have to read in a history book what it was like to live in an American Century.

I don't want their only inheritance to be an enormous government that has overtaxed, overspent and over-borrowed a great people into second-class citizenship.

I want them to live in a second American Century.

A second American Century of strong economic growth where those who are willing to work hard will have good paying jobs to support their families and reach their dreams.

A second American Century where real American exceptionalism is not a political punch line, but is evident to everyone in the world just by watching the way our government conducts its business and everyday Americans live their lives.

A second American Century where our military is strong, our values are sure, our work ethic is unmatched and our Constitution remains a model for anyone in the world struggling for liberty.

Let us choose a path that will be remembered for generations to come. Standing strong for freedom will make the next century as great an American century as the last one.

This is the American way.

We have never been victims of destiny.

We have always been masters of our own.

I won't be part of the generation that fails that test and neither will you.

It's now time to stand up. There's no time left to waste.

If you're willing to stand up with me for America's future, I will stand up with you.

If you're willing to fight with me for Mitt Romney, I will fight with you.

If you're willing to hear the truth about the hard road ahead, and the rewards for America that truth will bear, I'm here to begin with you this new era of truth-telling.

Tonight, we choose the path that has always defined our nation's history.

Tonight, we finally and firmly answer the call that so many generations have had the courage to answer before us.

Tonight, we stand up for Mitt Romney as the next President of the United States.

And, together, we stand up once again for American greatness.








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Wednesday, May 30, 2012

Mitt Romney Clinches Republican Nomination with Landslide Win in Texas



As of last night, with 69% of the vote in Texas, Governor Mitt Romney has secured enough delegates to clinch the nomination to be the candidate of the Republican Party in the 2012 general election.

His campaign released the following statement last night:

Today, Mitt Romney released the following statement on clinching the required number of delegates for the Republican nomination.

“I am honored that Americans across the country have given their support to my candidacy and I am humbled to have won enough delegates to become the Republican Party's 2012 presidential nominee. Our party has come together with the goal of putting the failures of the last three and a half years behind us. I have no illusions about the difficulties of the task before us. But whatever challenges lie ahead, we will settle for nothing less than getting America back on the path to full employment and prosperity. On November 6, I am confident that we will unite as a country and begin the hard work of fulfilling the American promise and restoring our country to greatness.”



As the above map shows, Texas was a Romney landslide and Ron Paul could only manage 11.9% of the votes in his own home state...the worst home state performance of any Presidential candidate this election cycle. (Mitt Romney 72.2% in Massachusetts, Newt Gingrich 47.2% in Georgia and Rick Santorum 18.3% in Pennsylvania).



The delegate count, according to the AP, stands at:

1,183 Mitt Romney
261 Rick Santorum
135 Newt Gingrich
129 Ron Paul

Now, the focus of the Republican Party, save for a few delusional people, will turn to working toward the election of Mitt Romney as the 45th President of the United States of America and the RNC National Convention in Tampa Bay [website], Florida will be a showcase for the Romney Campaign [website].



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Tuesday, April 10, 2012

Santorum Throws in the Etch-A-Sketch,
Suspends His Presidential Campaign




Rick Santorum has finally wizened up to the fact that there was no way he could win this primary.

He dropped out today before he suffered an embarrassing loss in his home state of Pennsylvania on April 24th.

This leaves the financially broken Newt Gingrich and the delegate-starved Ron Paul still in the race.

Story from the New York Slimes:


2:51 p.m. | Updated Rick Santorum suspended his presidential campaign on Tuesday, bowing to the inevitability of Mitt Romney’s nomination and ending his improbable, come-from-behind quest to become the party’s conservative standard-bearer in the fall.
“We made a decision over the weekend, that while this presidential race for us is over, for me, and we will suspend our campaign today, we are not done fighting,” Mr. Santorum said.

Hat Tip: Drudge Report




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Wednesday, April 4, 2012

Romney Sweeps the Night
Wins WI, MD and DC


Mitt Romney has swept the April 3rd primaries with wins in Wisconsin, Maryland and the District of Columbia. It looks like Romney will garner 86 delegates and Santorum will get 6 delegates. As I have been saying for more than a month, this primary is over and we have a presumptive nominee. Santorum failed to qualify for the District of Columbia primary.

Delegate Math

For the purposes of this exercise, I'll use the AP Delegate Numbers.


Candidate Mitt Romney Rick Santorum Newt Gingrich Ron Paul
Delegates
655
278
135
51
% of Nomination
57.26%
24.30%
11.80%
4.46%
Delegates Needed
487 of 1,167
866 of 1,167
1,009 of 1,167
1,093 of 1,167
% of Remaining Delegates Needed
41.90%
74.21%
86.46%
93.66%

In other words, it's time for Santorum and Gingrich to put on their big boy pants and admit that it is over.

The Race So Far




Graphics







Speeches

Mitt Romney


Rick Santorum


I could find no speeches uploaded for Newt Gingrich and Ron Paul. I think that the networks have pulled their embeds from these campaigns and that the campaigns themselves are too disorganized to even think of posting videos of their candidate online. That alone should disqualify them from a national race.

Next Up

On April 21st, Missouri has their third chance to select delegates this primary season. I think the "Show Me" state has taken things too far this election cycle. I've blogged about the mess in Missouri previously, check it out.

Then on April 24th, Ron Paul and Newt Gingrich reach the point where they become mathematically ruled out. New York (95 delegates), Pennsylvania (72 delegates), Connecticut (28 delegates), Rhode Island (19 delegates) and Delaware (17 delegates).

I expect Mitt Romney stands an excellent chance to win them all. I believe it is probable that he will take Pennsylvania, Rick Santorum's home state.

On May 8th, Rick Santorum (depending on how many delegates he wins on April 21st and 28th) may be mathematically eliminated from the nomination battle.











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Wednesday, March 21, 2012

Mitt Romney Wins the Illinois Primary



Mitt Romney won the Illinois primary last night with 428,434 votes to Rick Santorum's 321,079 votes.Ron Paul came in a distant third with 85,464 and Newt Gingrich finished fourth with only 72,942 votes. These numbers are with 99% of the votes counted.



This latest victory puts Mitt Romney in the neighborhood of 300 delegates ahead of Rick Santorum, 430 ahead of Newt Gingrich and around 500 or so ahead of Ron Paul. In the next few weeks, the already mathematically unlikely campaigns of Newt Gingrich and Ron Paul will be mathematically eliminated from the possibility of gaining enough delegates to win as the number of delegates needed will become greater than those remaining to be won. The Gingrich and Paul Campaigns would already have to win in the neighborhood of 80% of the remaining delegates in order to secure the nomination of the Republican party. The Santorum Campaign needs nearly 70% to get the nomination and Romney needs less than 50% to cinch the nomination.

It's time the party closed ranks behind Mitt Romney and started working toward a victory in November. Newt Gingrich and Rick Santorum have already proved themselves incapable of working together within the Republican party in order to achieve a victory over Mitt Romney.

Videos

Mitt Romney Victory Speech


Rick Santorum After Losing Illinois


I could find no videos of Ron Paul and Newt Gingrich speaking after losing Illinois, so that must mean that the networks have pulled their embeds with those two campaigns since I've not been able to find video of either of them after the last few contests. You'd think that the campaigns would be smart enough to make their own videos and upload them to Youtube.

Here are some additional videos of the Romney Campaign activity in Illinois...


Mitt Romney Campaign Google Plus Hangout



Mitt Romney Campaign Speech in Illinois



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Monday, March 19, 2012

Rick Santorum Takes Missouri (Again)
Mitt Romney Dominates Puerto Rico
Ron Paul Supporters Sabotage Missouri Caucuses

Delegate Math 03-19-2012 Edition 
Chart by Bobby Coggins



It is presumed that Rick Santorum has re-won Missouri (despite sabotage attempts by Ron Paul supporters) the state is scheduled to have another caucus on April 21st, where delegates will be chosen at the congressional district conventions. There are two more votes scheduled for Missouri. Here is an explanation of how the confusing caucus system in Missouri works:




How do the caucuses work?

  • County Caucuses, March 17, 2012: Attendees will select delegates and alternates to the Congressional District Conventions and State Convention.  Delegates selected at the county level will not be bound to a specific candidate unless a rule is passed by participants of the caucus. (See below for a list of county caucus locations.)
  • Congressional District Conventions, April 21, 2012: Delegates chosen at the county level will select 3 delegates and alternates to the National Convention and 1 presidential elector.  These delegates and alternates will identify their candidate before being chosen.  They will be bound to that candidate on the first ballot at the national convention. (For Congressional District Convention location information, please see the bottom of this page.)
  • State Convention, June 2, 2012: Delegates chosen at the county level will vote on a slate of 25 at-large delegates and alternates to the National Convention and 2 at-large presidential electors. These delegates and alternates will identify their candidate before being chosen.  They will be bound to that candidate on the first ballot at the national convention.

Source: Missouri GOP

The results of the previous Missouri caucus.

More on the attempts to sabotage the Missouri caucuses by Ron Paul supporters is after the section on Puerto Rico.

Puerto Rico


Mitt Romney won over 50% of the Puerto Rican vote, meaning he gets all 20 of the delegates. It is expected that he will get 2 of the 3 superdelegates as well.

The Puerto Rico Results with 83% of precincts reporting:


Candidate Votes Percentage
Mitt Romney
98,375
88.0%
Rick Santorum
9,524
8.5%
Newt Gingrich
2,431
2.2%
Ron Paul
1,452
1.3%

There are no victory speeches available, so here are a couple of other videos relating to the Puerto Rican primary and a look at the way at least one candidate got the results of the vote...

Tablet News Delivery




Puerto Rican Governor Luis Fortuño greets Mitt Romney


Ron Paul Supporters Sabotage Missouri Caucuses


St Charles County




An account from a caucus participant in Christian County, Missouri:

Hubby and myself were in the Christian County Republican caucus today. It was insane.

Nobody got arrested like in St Charles, because our sheriff was the sargent in arms--but it got nutso from the get go....

The Ron Paulites tried to take over the process by bastardizing Robert Rules of order, objecting to every teeny tiny thing.

Their leader stood up and threaten to take their votes to Obama if the the majority did not respect the Ron paul minority and elect the chosen Ron paul delegates.
Source: Atlas Shrugs (read the whole thing) 

Here is an account by a Ron Paul Supporter of what he observed in St Charles County:

GOP voters began showing up at the high school two hours before the caucus was set to begin at 10 a.m. Though the meeting didn’t start on time as organizers worked to accommodate the near-overflow crowd, attendees would get more than they bargained for before the day ended.

The caucus began shortly after 11 a.m. with an invocation and pledge of allegiance. It was followed by a reading of the rules by County GOP Central Committee Member Bryan Spencer and an introduction of County GOP Chair Eugene Dokes.

Dokes reiterated the importance of the rules and emphasized the ban on recording devices before pausing to implore a man in the bleachers to turn off his video camera or face arrest.
Source: Bob McCarty Writes (he also links to other coverage of the chaos)



Video from Christian County


A Ron Paul Supporter describes the plan to subvert the caucus process by putting forth delegates as Trojan Horses


I, as a conservative, am disgusted by the unruly and anarchistic behavior of the libertarian supporters of Ron Paul. Perhaps the events of this weekend will encourage the Republican party to move away from a voting method that is easily sabotaged by a handful of organized bad actors. Primaries are not so easily sabotaged and they allow for the participation of more people in the process of selecting the nominee of their party.

Delegate Math

The nomination of the Republican party candidate for President is essentially a numbers game. The 2,286 delegates who attend the RNC 2012 Convention in Tampa, Florida will select the nominee of the Republican party based on the varied (and often confusing) rules of the state or territory they represent. The candidate who will be the nominee of the party has to receive the votes of 1,144 of the 2,286 delegates.

In past election cycles, most states were winner take all and the nomination was usually acknowledged before March by a majority of the serious candidates and they would drop out in order to clear the way for the candidate who had demonstrated they had a plurality of support in the party.

This year, things are different in two ways. First, the RNC voted to change the calendar and made most states give out their delegates in a proportional manner in order to prolong the nomination contest. This, in my opinion, was an important ingredient in a recipe for disaster. The second change, is the unwillingness of candidates to acknowledge they cannot win the delegates necessary to be the nominee of the party. Rick Santorum and Newt Gingrich are running as spoilers, hoping to deny the front runner the number of delegates necessary to be nominated. The reason I don't include Ron Paul in this category is because he has never been a threat to upset the process; he simply does not have the level of support necessary to pull it off and...the majority of his supporters are not likely to vote for the Republican nominee if that nominee is not Ron Paul.

Here is the state of the nomination contest to date: (March 19, 2012)

Candidate Delegates Won % Delegates Won Delegates Needed % Remaining Needed
Mitt Romney
513
44.84%
631 of 1328
47.52%
Rick Santorum
239
20.89%
905 of 1328
68.15%
Newt Gingrichl
139
12.15%
1005 of 1328
75.68%
Ron Paul
69
6.03%
1075 of 1328
80.95%

The numbers are stark. It is virtually impossible for anyone other than Mitt Romney to win the nomination and, at this point, to stay in the race is a destructive act that adds nothing to what has previously been said. All it does is increase friction and discord within the various ideological factions within the party. All this when we will be facing a very well funded candidate (Obama) who will be enjoying an unprecedented army of organized supporters who will be building on their 2008 campaign experience.

I've used the numbers from CNN for this table. Most of the "guesstimates" of how many delegates each candidate has is within 20 delegates of the numbers used above and, if those other numbers are used, change little in the look of the table.
















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Wednesday, March 14, 2012

Santorum takes Alabama and Mississippi
Romney takes Hawaii
American Samoa Not Reporting



This election night didn't turn out like I had thought it would. I had already colored in the map to show Newt Gingrich taking Alabama and Mississippi. Instead, Rick Santorum had a very good closing argument and eeked out twin wins in the deep south. Newt Gingrich and Mitt Romney finished in very close second and third in both, with Ron Paul a very distant fourth. As expected, Mitt Romney is taking close to fifty percent of the vote in Hawaii and is expected to take American Samoa also. The results from the latter haven't come in yet.  It is possible that the delegates from Hawaii and American Samoa will cause Romney to net more delegates than either of his opponents.


**update 10.25am** According to ABC News [link], here is the expected delegate haul from last night:


41 Mitt Romney
35 Rick Santorum
24 Newt Gingrich
01 Ron Paul


The Washington Post has more on the delegate math [link]:

According to the Associated Press delegate count, Mitt Romney won 42 delegates last night to 38 for Rick Santorum. By winning nine delegates in American Samoa and 45 percent of the vote in Hawaii, Romney wiped out Rick Santorum’s narrow wins in the Deep South. And, just like Saturday, when Santorum won Kansas and lost ground to Romney, today Santorum’s task to get to 1,114 delegates (as he promised last night he would) is that much harder.
Over and over again you hear pundits say things like, “Well if you look at the math. . . ” and “Romney wants to focus on just the math.” There should be a gong at the ready when talking heads and pundits go into that mode. The nominating process is about the delegates. Math, like gravity, can’t be ignored.
To be clear, Santorum cannot win the nomination by closely splitting proportional states and losing winner-take-all states. That is a formula for falling further and further behind. And that is what is happening.
There are 1,358 delegates yet to be awarded. Romney has 495. He needs 694 delegates, less than 48 percent of the remaining delegates, to wrap it up.


Here are some maps, exit polls and videos of the results for you to check out the results of the March 13th voting results:

Alabama





The AP projects that the delegates from Alabama will be awarded as follows:
16 Rick Santorum
12 Newt Gingrich
10 Mitt Romney
00 Ron Paul

Here is some exit polling data:

Which best describes your education?

TotalRomneySantorumGingrichPaul

High school or less

21%27%32%33%4%

Some college/assoc. degree

35%26%34%32%6%

College graduate

26%31%40%25%4%

Postgraduate study

18%35%31%25%6%


No matter how you voted today, do you usually think of yourself as a:

TotalRomneySantorumGingrichPaul

Democrat

6%----

Republican

70%30%34%32%3%

Independent or something else

24%27%33%25%11%

On most political matters, do you consider yourself:

TotalRomneySantorumGingrichPaul

Very conservative

36%18%41%36%4%

Somewhat conservative

31%31%31%33%2%

Moderate or liberal

33%39%29%19%9%

How do you feel about the Tea Party movement?

TotalRomneySantorumGingrichPaul

Support

62%26%36%34%3%

Neutral

24%32%35%23%7%

Oppose

9%41%26%15%11%

White evangelical or white born-again Christians

TotalRomneySantorumGingrichPaul

White evangelical or white born-again Christian

75%27%35%32%4%

All others

25%34%31%21%10%

Which comes closest to your position? Abortion should be:

TotalRomneySantorumGingrichPaul

Legal in all cases

8%----

Legal in most cases

18%39%26%26%6%

Illegal in most cases

38%24%37%31%5%

Illegal in all cases

32%18%49%28%3%

Which ONE of these candidate qualities mattered most in deciding how you voted today? (CHECK ONLY ONE)

TotalRomneySantorumGingrichPaul

Can defeat Barack Obama

36%51%15%32%1%

Is a true conservative

18%5%51%34%9%

Has strong moral character

24%24%62%7%7%

Has the right experience

19%33%6%51%5%

See the rest of this exit poll at Fox News.

Mississippi




The AP projects that the delegates from Mississippi will be awarded as follows:
13 Rick Santorum
12 Newt Gingrich
12 Mitt Romney
00 Ron Paul

Here is some exit polling data:


Which best describes your education?

TotalRomneySantorumGingrichPaul

High school or less

22%31%29%37%3%

Some college/assoc. degree

35%26%37%32%4%

College graduate

26%31%34%29%5%

Postgraduate study

17%36%31%25%7%

No matter how you voted today, do you usually think of yourself as a:

TotalRomneySantorumGingrichPaul

Democrat

4%----

Republican

80%31%34%32%2%

Independent or something else

16%28%29%25%16%

On most political matters, do you consider yourself:

TotalRomneySantorumGingrichPaul

Very conservative

42%22%39%35%4%

Somewhat conservative

29%33%31%31%4%

Moderate or liberal

29%38%28%26%7%

How do you feel about the Tea Party movement?

TotalRomneySantorumGingrichPaul

Support

66%27%34%34%4%

Neutral

25%35%32%27%5%

Oppose

6%37%30%21%8%

White evangelical or white born-again Christians

TotalRomneySantorumGingrichPaul

White evangelical or white born-again Christian

80%29%35%32%3%

All others

20%33%27%27%11%

Which comes closest to your position? Abortion should be:

TotalRomneySantorumGingrichPaul

Legal in all cases

8%----

Legal in most cases

18%40%19%33%6%

Illegal in most cases

43%34%31%29%4%

Illegal in all cases

28%21%44%30%4%

Which ONE of these candidate qualities mattered most in deciding how you voted today? (CHECK ONLY ONE)

TotalRomneySantorumGingrichPaul

Can defeat Barack Obama

39%46%22%30%1%

Is a true conservative

20%7%52%34%5%

Has strong moral character

20%22%65%8%5%

Has the right experience

19%29%8%59%4%

You can see the rest of the exit poll at Fox News.



Hawaii




There are no projections for how the delegates from Hawaii will be awarded, but since it is proportional according to congressional district, I expect that Mitt Romney will get a few more than the second place finisher, Rick Santorum. There are 20 delegates at stake in Hawaii. 

As far as I can tell, there have been no exit polling data released that covers Hawaii.

American Samoa

There are no results from American Samoa yet. I expect that it will go to Romney. 6 of the 9 delegates are up in this election.



The Speechifying




Rick Santorum


Newt Gingrich

I can find no video of Mitt Romney or Ron Paul from last night. That is odd, especially since the Ron Paul people almost always upload hundreds of copies of his remarks to Youtube.

Next Up

With the unexpected wins for Santorum, this puts extra pressure on the Romney Campaign to do well in a very electorally lean March. Illinios becomes very important.

The rest of March sees Missouri caucusing (again) on the 17th, Puerto Rico on the 18th, Illinios (95 delegates in one winner take all race) on the 20th and Louisiana on the 24th.


In April, Maryland, Washington, DC and Wisconsin are on the 3rd and the bigger fish of Pennsylvania, Connecticut, Delaware, New York and Rhode Island taking place on the 24th.





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