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Tuesday, July 23, 2019

Daily Weather Briefing for Tuesday, July 23, 2019





Outlook

A cold front will move slowly across the region today and tonight. In the front`s wake, high pressure will bring cooler and drier air over the region. Below normal temperatures and low precipitation chances are expected from Wednesday through the end of the week.


THREE DAY GFS FORECAST
This animated image shows a forecast of precipitation, air pressure and thickness level (cold-air damming) for three days in six-hour increments.
Green, Yellow, and Red indicate rain. Orange and Purple Indicate Freezing Rain or other freezing precipitation. Blue indicates snow.





WEATHER SPONSOR



Adams Products, a Division of Oldcastle is underwriting the daily weather briefing & public safety updates for the month.

Open 7:30 AM to 4:00 PM, M-F, located at 895 Hickory Knoll Road, Franklin, NC. Visit our Facebook page at:
https://www.facebook.com/Adams.Oldcastle.Franklin.NC/

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Weather Hazards

Showers and thunderstorms will continue through this afternoon as a cold front moves over the area. Isolated flooding will remain a threat throughout the day. Active weather advisories may be viewed anytime at is.gd/MACONWARN


**Note** A Tropical Weather Outlook section has been added to the daily weather briefing for the Atlantic Hurricane Season, and since those tend to run long when there is activity, that section has been added between the daily forecasts for the four regions of the county and the almanac section so people can get to their daily forecasts with minimal interference.




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WEATHER FORECAST MAPS

Forecast maps for 7 am, 1 pm, and 7 pm.
[click on any image in this article to enlarge]




FRANKLIN AREA FORECAST

TODAY

Showers and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly before 1pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Patchy fog before 11am. Highs near 80. Calm winds increasing to come out of the northwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

Tonight

A 30 percent chance of showers, mainly before 7pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 55. Winds out of the northwest around 5 mph becoming calm by midnight. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

Wednesday

Sunny, with a high near 80. Calm winds increasing to come out of the north around 5 mph in the afternoon.

Wednesday Night

Mostly clear, with a low in the mid-50s. Light winds out of the northeast.

Thursday

Sunny, with a high near 80.

Thursday Night

Partly cloudy, with a low around 60.




OTTO AREA FORECAST

Today

Showers and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly before 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Patchy fog between 10am and 11am. Highs in the upper 70s. Calm winds increasing to come out of the north around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Tonight

A 30 percent chance of showers, mainly before 7pm. Partly cloudy, with a low in the mid-50s. Winds out of the north around 5 mph. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

Wednesday

Sunny, with a high near 80. Winds out of the north 3 to 5 mph.

Wednesday Night

Mostly clear, with a low in the upper 50s. Light winds out of the northeast.

Thursday

Sunny, with a high near 80.

Thursday Night

Partly cloudy, with a low around 60.




HIGHLANDS PLATEAU FORECAST

Today

Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a high near 69. North northwest wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

Tonight

A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 7pm, then a slight chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low in the mid-50s. Winds out of the northeast 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Wednesday

Sunny, with a high near 70. Winds out of the northeast 5 to 10 mph.

Wednesday Night

Mostly clear, with a low in the mid-50s. Winds out of the northeast around 6 mph.

Thursday

Sunny, with a high near 70.

Thursday Night

Partly cloudy, with a low in the upper 50s.




NANTAHALA AREA FORECAST

Today

Showers and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly before noon, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Patchy fog before 10am. High near 75. Winds out of the west 5 to 10 mph shifting to come out of the north in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three-quarters of an inch possible.

Tonight

Mostly clear, with a low in the lower 50s. Winds out of the northeast 3 to 7 mph.

Wednesday

Sunny, with a high in the mid-70s. Winds out of the northeast around 6 mph.

Wednesday Night

Mostly clear, with a low in the mid-50s. Winds out of the northeast 3 to 5 mph.

Thursday

Sunny, with a high in the mid-70s.

Thursday Night

Partly cloudy, with a low in the upper 50s.





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK



Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Tue Jul 23 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Three, located between the southeastern Florida coast and Grand Bahama.

1. A non-tropical low pressure area could form over the northern Gulf of Mexico by late Wednesday or Thursday. Thereafter, this system has the potential to acquire subtropical or tropical characteristics while it moves slowly eastward to northeastward over warm waters through the end of the week.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Three are issued under WMO header WTNT33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT3.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Three are issued under WMO header WTNT23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT3.





Tropical Depression Three Discussion Number 2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032019
1100 PM EDT Mon Jul 22 2019

The depression has become less organized this evening. Much of the deep convection seen earlier in the day has dissipated, and the cyclone currently consists of a swirl of low-level clouds with some shower activity. The initial intensity is held at 25 kt based on the earlier ASCAT data.

The system is moving northwestward at 9 kt, steered by the southwestern periphery of the Atlantic subtropical ridge. A turn to the north and north-northeast with a notable increase in forward speed is expected on Tuesday as the depression moves in the flow between the subtropical ridge and an approaching deep-layer trough moving across the eastern United States. The NHC track forecast is similar to the previous one and keeps the center of the cyclone offshore of the east coast of Florida. This prediction is near the multi-model consensus TVCN.

Significant strengthening of the depression is not expected given its poor initial state and because it is forecast to move into a region of strong southwesterly flow aloft by late Tuesday. In fact, the global and regional models all show the depression opening into a trough within the next 24 hours, with the remnants of the system becoming absorbed within a frontal zone off the southeast U.S. on Wednesday. The NHC intensity forecast is a little lower than the previous one and now shows dissipation occurring sooner, by 36 hours.

Direct impacts from the depression are expected to be limited to 1 to 3 inches of rainfall in the Bahamas and along the east coast of Florida.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 23/0300Z 26.1N 79.3W 25 KT 30 MPH
12H 23/1200Z 28.4N 79.8W 25 KT 30 MPH
24H 24/0000Z 31.7N 78.5W 30 KT 35 MPH
36H 24/1200Z...DISSIPATED




Macon Media Almanac for July 23, 2019

Highest Temperature 96°F in Franklin in 1952
Lowest Temperature 44°F in Highlands in 1915
Greatest Rainfall 2.89 inches at the Coweeta Experimental Station in 1970
Greatest Snowfall no measurable snow has been recorded on this date since records started being kept in 1872


Weather Extremes for Macon County for the month of July
Data available from 1872 to 2018

Highest Temperature 101°F in Franklin on 07-29-1952
Lowest Temperature 34°F in Highlands on 07-27-1911
Greatest Rainfall 21.15 inches in Highlands on 07-29-1879
Greatest Snowfall no measurable snowfall has been recorded since records started being kept in 1873

Weather Extremes for North Carolina for the month of July
Data available from 1870 to 2018

Highest Temperature 109°F Albemarle, Stanly County 07-28-1940
Lowest Temperature 32°F Celo, Yancey County 07-10-1961
Greatest One-Day Rainfall 21.15 in Highlands, Macon County 07-29-1879

Monthly Averages

Warmest Weather Station 81.3°F Fayetteville, Cumberland County
Coldest Weather Station 60.4°F Mount Mitchell, Yancey County
Wettest Weather Station 7.97 in Wilmington, New Hanover County
Driest Weather Station 2.97 in Asheville, Buncombe County




Published at 4:55am on July 23, 2019


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