Outlook
Weak high pressure will build over the area today, while tropical depression Barry weakens as it moves northward through the Mississippi River Valley. Abundant moisture associated with Barry will spread east across the Ohio Valley Tuesday and into the Appalachians by the middle of the week. Behind the remnants of Barry, very hot and humid conditions will follow as we head into the weekend.
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THREE DAY GFS FORECAST
This animated image shows a forecast of precipitation, air pressure and thickness level (cold-air damming) for three days in six-hour increments.
Green, Yellow, and Red indicate rain. Orange and Purple Indicate Freezing Rain or other freezing precipitation. Blue indicates snow.
WEATHER SPONSOR
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Open 7:30 AM to 4:00 PM, M-F, located at 895 Hickory Knoll Road, Franklin, NC. Visit our Facebook page at:
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Weather Hazards
Scattered thunderstorms are expected this afternoon and evening. Any thunderstorm that develops will be capable of producing strong gusty winds, brief heavy rainfall, and cloud to ground lightning. A few of these thunderstorms may become severe and produce damaging wind gusts. In addition, localized flooding and flash flooding will be possible if thunderstorms persist over the same areas and in locations with poor drainage.
**Note** A Tropical Weather Outlook section has been added to the daily weather briefing for the Atlantic Hurricane Season, and since those tend to run long when there is activity, that section has been added between the daily forecasts for the four regions of the county and the almanac section so people can get to their daily forecasts with minimal interference.
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WEATHER FORECAST MAPS
Forecast maps for 7 am, 1 pm, and 7 pm.
[click on any image in this article to enlarge]
FRANKLIN AREA FORECAST
TODAY
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2pm. Patchy fog before 10am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a high in the mid-80s. Calm winds. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 7pm. Patchy fog after 1am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. Calm winds. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tuesday
A slight chance of showers between 11am and 1pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high in the upper 80s. Calm winds increasing to come out of the south around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Tuesday Night
A 20 percent chance of showers before 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low in the mid-60s. Calm winds.
Wednesday
A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Partly sunny, with a high in the mid-60s. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Wednesday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9pm, then a chance of showers between 9pm and 4am. Mostly cloudy, with a low in the mid-60s. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
OTTO AREA FORECAST
Today
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2pm. Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a high near 85. Light and variable winds. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 7pm. Patchy fog after 1am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low in the mid-60s. Calm winds. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tuesday
A slight chance of showers between noon and 2pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high in the mid-to-upper 80s. Calm winds increasing to come out of the south around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Tuesday Night
A 20 percent chance of showers before 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low in the mid-60s. Calm winds.
Wednesday
A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Partly sunny, with a high in the mid-80s. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Wednesday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9pm, then a chance of showers between 9pm and 4am. Mostly cloudy, with a low in the mid-60s. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
HIGHLANDS PLATEAU FORECAST
Today
A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high in the mid-70s. Calm winds incrfeasing to come out of the south around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. Light winds out of the northwest. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tuesday
A slight chance of showers between noon and 1pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high in the mid-to-upper 70s. Calm winds increasing to come out of the southwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Tuesday Night
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 7pm, then a slight chance of showers between 7pm and midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. Winds out of the southwest 3 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Wednesday
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 3pm. Partly sunny, with a high in the mid-70s.
Wednesday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9pm, then a chance of showers between 9pm and 4am. Mostly cloudy, with a low in the mid-60s. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
NANTAHALA AREA FORECAST
Today
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2pm. Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a high near 80. Light and variable winds. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 7pm. Patchy fog after 11pm. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low in the mid-60s. Calm winds. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tuesday
A 20 percent chance of showers after noon. Partly sunny, with a high in the low-to-mid 80s. Calm winds increasing to come out of the southwest around 6 mph in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night
A 20 percent chance of showers before 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low in the mid-60s. Light winds out of the southwest.
Wednesday
A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high in the lower 80s. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Wednesday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low in the mid-60s. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Mon Jul 15 2019
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The Weather Prediction Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Barry, located over southwestern Arkansas.
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.
Public advisories on Tropical Depression Barry from the Weather Prediction Center can be found under AWIPS header TCPAT2, WMO header WTNT32 KWNH, and on the web at http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov
Tropical Storm Barry Discussion Number 19
Tropical Depression Barry Advisory Number 19
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD AL022019
1000 PM CDT Sun Jul 14 2019
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION BARRY CONTINUES MOVING SLOWLY NORTH TOWARD ARKANSAS...
...LOCAL FLASH FLOODING REMAINS LIKELY THROUGH MONDAY...
SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.5N 93.5W
ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM N OF SHREVEPORT LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
Flash Flood Watches and Warnings are in effect for portions of far southeast Texas through much of Louisiana, Mississippi and Arkansas, and including parts of the mid Mississippi Valley.
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Barry was located near latitude 33.5 North, longitude 93.5 West. The depression is moving toward the north near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue through tonight. Barry is expected to turn toward the northeast on Monday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Some weakening is forecast during the next 24 hours, and Barry is expected to become a post-tropical cyclone by Monday evening.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Barry is expected to produce additional rain accumulations of 3 to 6 inches across portions of the lower Mississippi Valley with isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches across eastern Arkansas, western Tennessee and Kentucky, southeast Missouri, and northwest Mississippi.
Additional rainfall amounts of 3 to 5 inches with isolated storm totals of 10-15 inches are expected across south-central Louisiana. Dangerous flash flooding and some additional river flooding is expected locally throughout the central Gulf Coast and lower Mississippi Valley.
TORNADOES: A couple of tornadoes are possible tonight across parts of southeast Louisiana, Mississippi, western Alabama, eastern Arkansas, and western Tennessee. On Monday the risk of a few tornadoes will expand northeastward from the Mid-South toward the Ohio Valley.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next public advisory on Barry will be issued at 0400 AM CDT.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 15/0300Z 33.5N 93.5W 25 KT 30 MPH
12H 15/1200Z 34.8N 93.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
24H 16/0000Z 36.1N 92.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
36H 16/1200Z 38.1N 91.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
48H 17/0000Z 39.9N 89.5W 15 KT 15 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
72H 18/0000Z...DISSIPATED
Macon Media Almanac for July 15, 2019
Highest Temperature 95°F in Franklin in 1954
Lowest Temperature 40°F in Highlands in 1903
Greatest Rainfall 5.55 inches in Franklin in 1872
Greatest Snowfall no measurable snow has been recorded on this date since records started being kept in 1872
Weather Extremes for Macon County for the month of July
Data available from 1872 to 2018
Highest Temperature 101°F in Franklin on 07-29-1952
Lowest Temperature 34°F in Highlands on 07-27-1911
Greatest Rainfall 21.15 inches in Highlands on 07-29-1879
Greatest Snowfall no measurable snowfall has been recorded since records started being kept in 1873
Weather Extremes for North Carolina for the month of July
Data available from 1870 to 2018
Highest Temperature 109°F Albemarle, Stanly County 07-28-1940
Lowest Temperature 32°F Celo, Yancey County 07-10-1961
Greatest One-Day Rainfall 21.15 in Highlands, Macon County 07-29-1879
Monthly Averages
Warmest Weather Station 81.3°F Fayetteville, Cumberland County
Coldest Weather Station 60.4°F Mount Mitchell, Yancey County
Wettest Weather Station 7.97 in Wilmington, New Hanover County
Driest Weather Station 2.97 in Asheville, Buncombe County
Published at 4:20am on July 15, 2019
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