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Thursday, November 15, 2007

A Strategy For Hillary in 2008

The only way that Hillary Clinton can become the next President of the United States is if the Republican Party is divided like it was when her husband, William "BJ" Clinton was elected in 1992.

Here is a little known (or acknowledged) fact about those elections...if it were not for H. Ross Perot running as a Third Party Candidate, William J. Clinton would have lost the election nearly as badly as did George McGovern in 1972.

Here are the numbers from the top ten states (plus the District of Columbia) percentage wise for Clinton:






Source for numbers: USA Election Atlas

Conclusion

These numbers show that without H. Ross Perot, President George H.W. Bush would have been returned to office in 1992, and even though Congressman Ron Paul will not be able to attract nearly the level of support as Perot, he would still act as a spoiler for Hillary Clinton becoming the next President of the USA.

I can also guarantee you that Ron Paul will not be the nominee for the Republican Party in Minneapolis-St. Paul in 2008, and if gambling were legal...I would take all comers on that bet.

The current numbers are:

Giuliani 42.60
Romney 31.10
Paul 7.70
Huckabee 7.10
McCain 7.00
Fred 6.20

Source: Slate

This is one electronic poll the Ronbots can't fix!

Remember, a vote for Ron Paul is a vote for a Democrat, and the Socialism that will utterly destroy the U.S. Constitution, and destroy your credibility with the GOP in the future.

3 comments :

For some reason, Blogger refuses to let me edit the post...

I meant to say that if Ron Paul runs as a Third Party Candidate, it will likely result in a Democrat (Hillary) becoming the next President.

I don't care for Ron Paul since libertarian ideology is toxic to civil society.

Having said that, Ron Paul makes the rest of the Republicans running for President look like a herd of retarded mammoths wearing NIN shirts.

You wrote: "If Ron Paul runs as a Third Party Candidate, it will likely result in a Democrat (Hillary) becoming the next President."

However, you've provided no evidence that he would actually do so. If I could fart $100 bills, I wouldn't need a job - that doesn't mean it's going to happen.

Also, you are underestimating Paul's appeal to people who stopped reading political philosophy after Ayn Rand. (In other words, the majority of Republicans.)

The numbers you posted actually reflect a tremendous surge in RP's popularity. Consider: A month ago he was at 1%. Two weeks ago he was at 4%. This week he's at 8%.

Such boosts are almost unprecedented this early in a campaign. Usually these numbers shift closer to the primaries.

For better or worse, Ron Paul is now a contender. I don't know if he'll win the nomination, but he certainly is worth taking seriously.

I should also add - speaking as someone who is somewhat attuned to what is going on within the Democratic party, Senator Clinton does not have as much support as FOX News tells you.

Frankly, most of the Democratic party's base dislikes her as much as conservatives do. The only reason she polls well is because of name recognition and a campaign chest that would make Boss Tweed blush.

However, as the primaries approach, her campaign will deflate as quickly as a soufflé at a tap-dancing convention.

I found something else you might find interesting:

Here are the numbers from the Democratic Primaries at this time in 2003:

Howard Dean 23%
Wesley Clark 10%
Joe Lieberman 6%
Richard Gephardt 5%
Al Sharpton 6%
John Kerry 4%
John Edwards 3%
Carol Moseley-Braun 4%
Dennis Kucinich 3%
Don’t Know 24%

Info from:

http://eric.langborgh.com/?p=836

The point - it's far too early to determine who will win either party's nomination.