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Wednesday, October 10, 2018

Daily Weather Briefing for Wednesday, October 10, 2018




OUTLOOK

A strong upper-level ridge will remain over the region and maintain above normal temperatures through Thursday. Moisture levels will increase during this time as tropical cyclone Michael tracks northeast and reaches our forecast area on Thursday. Canadian high pressure will build in Friday and bring seasonably cooler and drier air before a moist cold front reaches the region Sunday night.

DAY AND WEATHER SPONSOR



Adams Products, a Division of Oldcastle is underwriting the daily weather briefing & public safety updates for the month.

Open 7:30 AM to 4:00 PM, M-F, located at 895 Hickory Knoll Road, Franklin, NC. Visit our Facebook page at:
https://www.facebook.com/Adams.Oldcastle.Franklin.NC/

All your masonry needs are available. Our phone number is 828.524.8545, the public is welcome, we’ll help you with your with your next project.

REACH Purple Purse Challenge



During the month of October, REACH is participating in the Purple Purse Challenge. This Challenge unites nonprofits in a national competition to raise funds for life-changing services for domestic violence survivors. 100% of donations go directly to REACH and they allow REACH to compete for weekly cash prizes and bonus challenges supported by the Allstate Foundation!

You can make a donation securely online through the link below:
www.crowdrise.com/reachofmaconcounty-purplepurse2018

Thank you for your time and support!

Visit REACH of Macon County online at the following locations:

Facebook [LINK]

Website [LINK]

If you have an emergency situation regarding domestic violence, please call 911

REACH 24/7 Hotline:

Macon County 828-369-5544
Jackson County 828-586-8969



Record Weather Events for October 10th

Record weather events for this date in Macon County
(1872-2016)

Highest Temperature 84°F at the Coweeta Experimental Station in 1959
Lowest Temperature 22°F in Highlands in 1915
Greatest Rainfall 2.63 inches in Highlands in 1911


Record Weather Events for October (1872-2017)

Highest Temperature 91°F in Franklin on Oct 5, 1954
Lowest Temperature 12°F in Highlands on Oct 30, 1910
Greatest Rainfall 9.91 inches in Highlands on Oct 4, 1964
Greatest Snowfall 1.0 inches in Highlands on October 20, 1913

An expanded almanac is available that covers record weather events, climate averages, and an astronomy section. [LINK]

WEATHER FORECAST MAPS

Forecast maps for 8 am, 2 pm, and 8 pm. 

[click on any image in this article to enlarge]
(These images replace the three-day forecast maps)





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FRANKLIN AREA

Today

Showers likely before 4pm, with thunderstorms possible, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5pm. Patchy fog before 11am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a high near 75. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Tonight

Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm, then showers after 7pm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Patchy fog after 9pm. Lows near the upper 60s. East wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between a half and three-quarters of an inch possible.

Thursday

Showers, mainly before 4pm. The rain could be heavy at times. High near 75. North northeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between a half and three-quarters of an inch possible.

Thursday Night

A 30 percent chance of showers, mainly before 7pm. Partly cloudy, with lows in the upper 40s. North northwest wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

Friday

Sunny, with highs near the lower 70s.

Friday Night

Mostly clear, with a low around 45.



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OTTO AREA

Today

Showers likely, with thunderstorms also possible after 4pm. Patchy fog before 11am. Otherwise, cloudy, with highs in the low-to-mid 70s. Southeast wind 8 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

Tonight

Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Patchy fog after 9pm. Lows around the upper 60s. East wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between three-quarters and one inch possible.

Thursday

Showers, mainly before 4pm. The rain could be heavy at times. Highs near the low-to-mid 70s. North wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between a half and three-quarters of an inch possible.

Thursday Night

A 30 percent chance of showers before 7pm. Partly cloudy, with lows in the upper 40s. North northwest wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.

Friday

Sunny, with highs near the lower 70s.

Friday Night

Mostly clear, with a low around 45.



--------------------------------------

HIGHLANDS AREA

Today

Showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 4pm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Patchy fog. Highs near the upper 60s. Southeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three-quarters of an inch possible.

Tonight

Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Patchy fog. Low around 65. East southeast wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between three-quarters and one inch possible.

Thursday

Showers, mainly before 5pm. The rain could be heavy at times. Highs in the upper 60s. Northeast wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 35 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between three-quarters and one inch possible.

Thursday Night

A 30 percent chance of showers, mainly before 7pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 45. Breezy, with a north northwest wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 35 mph.

Friday

Sunny, with a high near 65.

Friday Night

Mostly clear, with a low around 45.



--------------------------------------

NANTAHALA AREA

Today

Showers likely, with thunderstorms also possible after 5pm. Patchy fog before 11am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a high near 70. South southeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Tonight

Showers. The rain could be heavy at times. Patchy fog after 9pm. Low around 65. East southeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between three-quarters and one inch possible.

Thursday

Showers, mainly before 3pm. The rain could be heavy at times. High near 70. North wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between a half and three-quarters of an inch possible.

Thursday Night

Partly cloudy, with a low around 45. Northwest wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.

Friday

Sunny, with a high near 65.

Friday Night

Mostly clear, with lows near the lower 40s


--------------------------------------



GOES-16 GeoColor - True Color daytime, multispectral IR
4:12 am this morning (loop not available this morning)

GeoColor is a multispectral product composed of True Color (using a simulated green component) during the daytime, and an Infrared product that uses bands 7 and 13 at night. During the day, the imagery looks approximately as it would appear when viewed with human eyes from space. At night, the blue colors represent liquid water clouds such as fog and stratus, while gray to white indicate higher ice clouds, and the city lights come from a static database that was derived from the VIIRS Day Night Band.

Geocolor was developed at the Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere (CIRA) and STAR's Regional and Mesoscale Meteorology Branch (RAMMB).


HAZARDS

Hazardous weather is not expected today.

A deep plume of tropical moisture will flow into the area today and tomorrow. This will increase the risk for heavy rainfall. Localized flash flooding will be possible across the higher terrain, but especially along the Blue Ridge escarpment.

Hurricane Michael will move north across the Gulf of Mexico and is expected to make landfall along the Florida panhandle today. This system likely will have some impact on the western Carolinas and northeast Georgia, with heavy rainfall and gusty winds possible mainly tonight through Thursday. All interests should closely follow the forecast of this tropical cyclone.


Macon Media maintains a Severe Weather Preparedness Page at http://thunderpigblog.blogspot.com/p/breaking-news-hub.html for those who are interested.

As always, you can check to see what advisories, watches, and warnings are in effect for Macon County by visiting http://is.gd/MACONWARN



GOES 16 - Band 15 - 12.3 µm - Dirty Longwave Window - IR (Precipitation)
4:12 am this morning (loop not available this morning)

12.3 µm - "Dirty" Longwave IR Window Band - 2 km resolution - Band 15 at 12.3 µm offers nearly continuous monitoring for numerous applications, though usually through a split window difference with a cleaner window channel. These differences can better estimate low-level moisture, volcanic ash, airborne dust/sand, sea surface temperature, and cloud particle size.


TROPICAL TIDBIT BY LEVI COWAN

Levi Cowan of TropicalTidbits.com has an update on Tropical Storm Michael. This video was posted last night. Levi is Macon Media's favorite tropical forecaster because he does not succumb to the temptation to hype tropical systems. He gives his opinions based on science, not emotion or the desire to garner more eyeballs to his product.




TROPICAL OUTLOOK

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Wed Oct 10 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Michael, located over the eastern Gulf of Mexico, on recently upgraded Hurricane Leslie, located over the central Atlantic Ocean, and on Tropical Storm Nadine, located over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean.

1. An area of low pressure is expected to develop over the west-central Caribbean Sea in a few days. Environmental conditions are expected to support gradual development over the weekend and early next week while the system moves slowly westward.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.




MACON CALENDAR

If you have an event you wish to be added to this calendar, please send the information, along with a flyer in pdf format or a high-quality photo, to editor@maconmedia.com. If you want text published, please include a paragraph with your photo, flyer or graphics. Please include date(s) and time(s).
There is no charge for civic, educational or nonprofit groups, except for groups or events that receive funding from the TDA, TDC, and EDC, where full rates apply.

Organizers of political events must make themselves available for a video interview at least 7 days before a political event they wish Macon Media to promote. Two weeks is the preferred time frame to maximize awareness.

Giles for Sheriff Meet and Greets

October 17th Highlands Library from 4pm-6pm.
October 19th Carson Community Center 5 pm-7pm.
October 27th Old Cowee School 3 pm- Hot Dog Cookout

Fontana Regional Library Catalog Changes Set for Oct 11th-15th

From Thursday, October 11 through Monday, October 15, the NC Cardinal library catalog (shared by Fontana Regional Library and more than 160 libraries across the state) will undergo necessary maintenance and upgrading. During that time, the online catalog will not be fully available either to patrons or to library staff. [LINK] http://thunderpigblog.blogspot.com/2018/09/fontana-regional-library-catalog.html

REACH Poetry Night

REACH of Macon County has scheduled a Poetry Night in honor of Domestic Violence Awareness Month at the Ratheskeller for Wednesday, October 17th from 7 pm until the last poet has been heard. Learn more at https://thunderpigblog.blogspot.com/2018/10/reach-schedules-poetry-night-in-honor.html

REACH Purple Purse Challenge


During the month of October, REACH is participating in the Purple Purse Challenge. This Challenge unites nonprofits in a national competition to raise funds for life-changing services for domestic violence survivors. 100% of donations go directly to REACH and they allow REACH to compete for weekly cash prizes and bonus challenges supported by the Allstate Foundation!

You can make a donation securely online through the link below:
www.crowdrise.com/reachofmaconcounty-purplepurse2018

Thank you for your time and support!

Visit REACH of Macon County online at the following locations:

Facebook [LINK] https://www.facebook.com/REACHofMacon/

Website [LINK] https://www.reachofmaconcounty.org/

If you have an emergency situation regarding domestic violence, please call 911

REACH 24/7 Hotline:

Macon County 828-369-5544
Jackson County 828-586-8969


Uptown Gallery classes
(These are on-going classes – repeat weekly)

Free classes and open studio times are being offered at The Uptown Gallery in Franklin. Join others at a painting open studio session every Tuesday from 6:30 pm – 9:00 pm or on Thursday from 11:00 am – 3:00 pm.

Bring your own materials and join an on-going drawing course led by gallery artists on Fridays, from 11am – 2 pm. For information on days open, hours and additional art classes and workshops, contact the gallery on 30 East Main Street at (828) 349 – 4607.

National Alliance on Mental Illness
Appalachian South


Meets each Thursday at 7pm
The First Methodist Church Outreach Center
at the intersection of Harrison Ave. and West Main Street
(directly across from Lazy Hiker Brewery)

Come join our weekly support group for anyone suffering from mental illness and their family or friends. This includes Depression, Bipolar,8chizophrenia, PTSD, Substance Abuse, Etc.

Here you will find:
— others living with mental health challenges YOU ARE NOT ALONE
- learn coping skills and ?find hope in shared experience
- help learning how to break down stigma and guilt surrounding mental health
- how to live life with the expectation of a better a better future

Kay (706)970-9987 Denise (828)347-5000)

SYRINGE EXCHANGE PROGRAM

On January 1, 2017, the Syringe Exchange Program of Franklin began operating a comprehensive harm reduction program to address the opioid epidemic that is impacting western NC. Opioid overdose reversal kits including naloxone are available free of charge. If you have any questions about our services or if you know someone interested in volunteering, please contact Stephanie Almeida at 828-475-1920.



Sun and Moon


Sun

Begin civil twilight 7:10 a.m.
Sunrise 7:35 a.m.
Sun transit 1:20 p.m.
Sunset 7:05 p.m.
End civil twilight 7:30 p.m.


Moon

Moonrise 9:00 a.m.
Moon transit 2:47 p.m.
Moonset 8:27 p.m.


Phase of the Moon on October 10, 2018: Waxing Crescent with 3% of the Moon's visible disk illuminated.
Closest Primary Moon Phase: New Moon on October 8, 2018 at 11:47 p.m. (local daylight time)


Sky Guides for this week


Sky and Telescope Magazine 
Astronomy Magazine


There will be three solar and two lunar eclipses in 2018. [LINK]

Heavens Above has an Android App that will assist you in observing the sky and even has a satellite tracker that will let you know when the International Space Station and dozens of other satellites are overhead. [LINK]

Stellarium is also an app that will assist you in observing the sky. It is available in both Android [LINK] and iOS versions. [LINK]

CROWDFUNDING OR DAY SPONSORSHIP OPPORTUNITIES


If you receive value from what Macon Media provides to the community, please consider becoming a supporter and contribute at least a dollar a month.


Become a Patron!

If you have a business or event you are interested in sponsorship opportunities or underwriting coverage, send an email to editor@MaconMedia.com for more information. Serious inquiries only. Macon Media rewards early sponsors/underwriters with lifetime guaranteed low rates while newer sponsors/underwriters pay higher rates based on the date they first support Macon Media.

Thank You to the people who have been sending in donations and those businesses who are underwriting coverage of news and events. You have kept Macon Media online.

4:34 am on October 10, 2018

#WNCscan #MaconWx #MaconSafety


Data and information sources: Sources (except where otherwise credited): heavens-above.com, Ian Webster's Github, National Centers for Environmental Prediction, The National Weather Service, National Oceanic Atmospheric Administration, National Hurricane Center, Penn State University Electronic Wall Map, The State Climate Office of North Carolina, Storm Prediction Center, U.S. Naval Observatory, University of Utah Department of Atmospheric Sciences, and the Weather Prediction Center.

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