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Wednesday, August 12, 2020

News and Weather Briefing for Wednesday, August 12, 2020







OUTLOOK

Daily showers and thunderstorms will steadily become more numerous as the week progresses. High temperatures of a couple degrees above normal through Wednesday will become near to below normal by the end of the week with the deeper moisture and considerable cloud cover.



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News Brief

The Macon County Board of Commissioners met last night. [LINK]

The Macon County Board of Education met last night in a Special Called Meeting and voted to approve a plan for Franklin High School students to meet once a week for in-person instruction. Details, as well as video, are in the article. [LINK]


A fourth Maconian has died due to COVID-19 and the number of detected cases has increased to 480 (an increase of ten since Friday) and the number of active cases is 63 (an increase of two since Friday). [LINK]

Macon County to Hold Community Testing in Franklin on Thursday, August 13th. (Tomorrow)

Macon County Emergency Management and Macon County Public Health will be hosting a COVID-19 testing clinic for the community in Franklin on August 13th, 2020. The clinic will be held at Macon Middle School from 8AM to 11AM. Persons may get a COVID-19 test regardless of their ability to pay and do not need to schedule an appointment.

WHAT: COVID-19 Testing Clinic
WHEN: August 13th, 2020, 8AM until 11 AM
WHERE: Macon Middle School at 1345 Wells Grove Road

For those who would like to receive a COVID-19 test, you are asked to fill out your paperwork ahead of time, which is available at the following link: https://bit.ly/MaconCoCOVID. You are also asked to bring your insurance card, if you have insurance. There is no cost for a COVID-19 test, with or without insurance.


The Governor has issued Executive Order #155 to keep North Carolina in a Phase II Pandemic Restriction for five more weeks. You can see the news briefing where he made the announcement and read the executive order for yourself in the COVID-19 Update published by Macon Media [LINK



General Forecast Through Friday Night


Today

Areas of fog in the morning. A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 5pm. Otherwise, mostly sunny, with highs ranging from the mid-to-upper 70s in the higher elevations to the mid-to-upper 80s in the lower elevations. Light winds out of the northwest. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Tonight

A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with lows in the 60s. Calm winds. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Thursday

A slight chance of showers, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 9am. Partly sunny, with highs ranging from the low-to-mid 70s in the higher elevations to the low-to-mid 80s in the lower elevations. Light and variable winds. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Thursday Night

Showers and thunderstorms likely before 11pm, then a chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with lows in the 60s. Calm winds. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Friday

Showers and thunderstorms expected in the afternoon hours. Highs ranging from the lower 70s in the higher elevations and the lower 80s in the lower elevations. Light and variable winds. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

Friday Night

Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 7pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 7pm and 2am, then a chance of showers after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with lows in the 60s. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Hazards

Hazardous weather is not expected today. For the rest of the week, thunderstorm coverage is expected to increase.

Air Quality



Macon County, including the ridgetops, will be in the upper range of green today.



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Weather Sponsor



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Tropical Weather
(The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th)









Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Wed Aug 12 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Eleven, located over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean more than 1200 miles east of the Lesser Antilles.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected for the next five days.


Tropical Depression Eleven



Tropical Depression Eleven Discussion Number 2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112020
1100 PM AST Tue Aug 11 2020

After weakening in the early evening hours, deep convection has returned to the western semicircle of the tropical cyclone. While this is quite a strong burst, it appears that the convective pattern is indicative of the shear it is encountering, rather than any strengthening. This is confirmed by ASCAT-B data from a few hours ago, which supported maintaining an initial wind speed of 30 kt.

By this time tomorrow, the depression is forecast to become a tropical storm due to decreasing vertical wind shear, and this environmental change should also keep some of the surrounding mid-level dry air from mixing near the center. Gradually warming SSTs and relatively low shear conditions suggest further intensification through about 2-3 days. Thereafter, increasing southwesterly shear while the small cyclone moves through fairly dry air aloft is forecast to cause a weakening trend, and it wouldn't be surprising if the cyclone even degenerates to a trough by day 5 as it traverses the hostile environment. The new NHC wind speed prediction is near but slightly higher than the previous advisory through 60h, similar afterwards, and lies near the NOAA corrected-consensus mean.

The depression continues moving westward, or 280/12 kt, to the south of a large mid-tropospheric high centered over the central Atlantic. A break developing in the ridge should steer the depression more west-northwestward from 36 hours until the end of the forecast period. For a second advisory, the track models are in remarkably good agreement, and the forecast is near or northeast of the model consensus. The HWRF solution that takes the cyclone near the Leeward Islands is considering less likely at this time, hence the official forecast is shaded toward the other model solutions.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 12/0300Z 12.0N 41.5W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 12/1200Z 12.3N 43.4W 30 KT 35 MPH
24H 13/0000Z 12.8N 45.9W 35 KT 40 MPH
36H 13/1200Z 13.5N 48.3W 40 KT 45 MPH
48H 14/0000Z 14.5N 50.8W 45 KT 50 MPH
60H 14/1200Z 15.7N 53.3W 50 KT 60 MPH
72H 15/0000Z 17.0N 55.7W 45 KT 50 MPH
96H 16/0000Z 19.5N 60.5W 40 KT 45 MPH
120H 17/0000Z 22.0N 65.0W 35 KT 40 MPH






End Daily Weather Segment








Begin COVID-19 Update




Here are some numbers from the CDC, the NCDHHS, and the Johns Hopkins Dashboard. Macon Media prefers the Johns Hopkins Dashboard because the counts include those non-residents that are left out of the CDC and NCDHHS numbers.

CDC [LINK]

136,844 Detected Infections
2,192 Reported Deaths


NCDHHS [LINK]

137,895 Detected Infections
2,017,498 Total Tests
1,122 Reported Current Hospitalizations
2,204 Reported Deaths

Johns Hopkins Dashboard [LINK]

138,743 Detected Infections
2,248 Reported Deaths


North Carolina Coronavirus Map and Case Count [LINK]

Data from Macon County Public Health as of Monday afternoon and graph by Macon Media of data from May 30th to August 10th [LINK


Please note there is a gap for Saturdays and Sundays starting two weekends ago since the health department will no longer be reporting numbers on those days.








481 Detected Cases (+1 in one day)
57 Active Positive (-6 in one day)
420 Recovered (+7 in one day since Friday)
4 Deaths (unchanged)

Testing Data for Macon County

4344 MCPH Tests (unchanged in one day)
1548 Tests by Others (unchanged in one day)
5892 Total Tests (unchanged in one day)
249 Pending Tests (unchanged in one day)


And here is the weekly Demographic Update from Macon County Public Health released on Wednesday, August 5th. The next demographic update will be on Wednesday, August 12th.






Infographic from Johns Hopkins University [LINK]





Resources for Reliable Information about the Corona Virus (COVID-19) [LINK]



CROWDFUNDING OR DAY SPONSORSHIP OPPORTUNITIES


If you receive value from what Macon Media provides to the community, please consider becoming a supporter and contribute at least a dollar a month. Those who support Macon Media with at least a dollar a month receive early access to video of some events and meetings before they are made public on the website. Videos and news involving public safety are not subject to early access.




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Published at 4:35am Wednesday, August 12, 2020



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