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Thursday, August 13, 2020

News and Weather Briefing for Thursday, August 13, 2020







OUTLOOK

Scattered to numerous diurnally driven showers and thunderstorms are expected over the next few days. High temperatures will be slightly below normal through the weekend due to ample moisture and increased cloud cover.



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News Brief

Macon County to Hold Community Testing in Franklin Today

Macon County Emergency Management and Macon County Public Health will be hosting a COVID-19 testing clinic for the community in Franklin on August 13th, 2020. The clinic will be held at Macon Middle School from 8AM to 11AM. Persons may get a COVID-19 test regardless of their ability to pay and do not need to schedule an appointment.

WHAT: COVID-19 Testing Clinic
WHEN: August 13th, 2020, 8AM until 11 AM
WHERE: Macon Middle School at 1345 Wells Grove Road


For those who would like to receive a COVID-19 test, you are asked to fill out your paperwork ahead of time, which is available at the following link: https://bit.ly/MaconCoCOVID. You are also asked to bring your insurance card, if you have insurance. There is no cost for a COVID-19 test, with or without insurance.

The NCSHAA Releases Calendar for high school sports [LINK]

The Macon Media COVID-19 Briefing for Wednesday, August 12th [LINK]

The Macon County Board of Commissioners met Tuesday night. [LINK]

The Macon County Board of Education also met Tuesday night in a Special Called Meeting and voted to approve a plan for Franklin High School students to meet once a week for in-person instruction. Details, as well as video, are in the article. [LINK]


A fourth Maconian has died due to COVID-19 and the number of detected cases has increased to 480 (an increase of ten since Friday) and the number of active cases is 63 (an increase of two since Friday). [LINK]




General Forecast Through Saturday Night


Today

Patchy fog in the morning. Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 4pm. Otherwise, partly sunny, with highs ranging from the mid-70s in the higher elevations and the mid-80s in the lower elevations. Light and variable winds. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Tonight

Areas of fog in the morning. Showers and thunderstorms likely before 4am, then a chance of showers. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with lows in the 60s. Calm winds. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Friday

Areas of fog in the morning. Showers likely before 10am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 10am and noon, then showers and thunderstorms likely in the after noon. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with highs ranging from near 70 in the higher elevations to near 80 in the lower elevations. Light and variable winds. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Friday Night

Showers and thunderstorms likely before 11pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with lows in the 60s. Light winds out of the southeast. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

Saturday

Showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly sunny, with highs ranging from near 70 in the higher elevations to near 80 in the lower elevations. Light winds out of the southwest. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

Saturday Night

A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with lows in the 60s. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

Hazards

Hazardous weather is not expected today.

Air Quality



Macon County, including the ridgetops, will be in the upper range of green today.



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Tropical Weather
(The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th)









Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Thu Aug 13 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Eleven, located over the tropical Atlantic Ocean several hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected for the next five days.


Tropical Depression Eleven



Tropical Depression Eleven Discussion Number 6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112020
1100 PM AST Wed Aug 12 2020

Conventional satellite imagery and a fortuitous ASCAT-B scatterometer overpass indicate that the center of circulation is a little farther south than previously estimated and remains well to the southeast of the deep convective canopy. The latest UW-CIMSS shear analysis confirms modest east-southeasterly shear impinging on the cloud pattern. A compromise of the satellite intensity estimates from TAFB and SAB, and the aforementioned scatterometer pass retains the initial intensity at 30 kt.

Large-scale models and the statistical-dynamical intensity guidance still show the shear abating soon which should result in gradual strengthening with a peak intensity of 50 kt in 2 days. After that time, the cyclone is forecast to encounter moderate to strong southwesterly shear associated with a deep-layer trough stretching over the southwestern Atlantic. This change in the upper wind pattern should induce steady weakening. A number of the global models indicate that the cyclone will become a remnant low by day 4 and open up into a trough by day 5 which is certainly possible. The NHC forecast is similar to the previous advisory but indicates a more expeditious weakening trend beyond the 48 hour period in deference to the global model solution.

The initial motion is estimated to be westward, or 275/13 kt, within the low to mid-tropospheric easterly flow produced by a subtropical ridge anchored to the north of the depression. The song remains the same...there is virtually no change to the forecast philosophy and only a slight shift to the left of the previous track forecast was made in response to the southward initial position adjustment.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 13/0300Z 12.5N 47.1W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 13/1200Z 13.0N 48.4W 35 KT 40 MPH
24H 14/0000Z 14.2N 51.0W 40 KT 45 MPH
36H 14/1200Z 15.7N 53.7W 45 KT 50 MPH
48H 15/0000Z 17.0N 56.4W 50 KT 60 MPH
60H 15/1200Z 18.3N 58.9W 45 KT 50 MPH
72H 16/0000Z 19.7N 61.4W 40 KT 45 MPH
96H 17/0000Z 22.5N 65.6W 35 KT 40 MPH
120H 18/0000Z 25.6N 67.5W 30 KT 35 MPH






End Daily Weather Segment








Begin COVID-19 Update




Here are some numbers from the CDC, the NCDHHS, and the Johns Hopkins Dashboard. Macon Media prefers the Johns Hopkins Dashboard because the counts include those non-residents that are left out of the CDC and NCDHHS numbers.

CDC [LINK]

137,895 Detected Infections
2,204 Reported Deaths


NCDHHS [LINK]

139,061 Detected Infections
1,823,283 Total Tests
1,062 Reported Current Hospitalizations
2,249 Reported Deaths

Johns Hopkins Dashboard [LINK]

139,739 Detected Infections
2,290 Reported Deaths


North Carolina Coronavirus Map and Case Count [LINK]

Data from Macon County Public Health as of yesterday afternoon and graph by Macon Media of data from May 30th to August 12th [LINK


Please note there is a gap for Saturdays and Sundays starting two weekends ago since the health department will no longer be reporting numbers on those days.








484 Detected Cases (+3 in one day)
59 Active Positive (+2 in one day)
421 Recovered (+1 in one day)
4 Deaths (unchanged)

Testing Data for Macon County

4383 MCPH Tests (+39 in one day)
1633 Tests by Others (+85 in one day)
6016 Total Tests (+124 in one day)
252 Tests Pending Results (+3 in one day)


And here is the weekly Demographic Update from Macon County Public Health released on Wednesday, August 5th. The next demographic update will be on Wednesday, August 12th.






Infographic from Johns Hopkins University [LINK]





Resources for Reliable Information about the Corona Virus (COVID-19) [LINK]



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Published at 4:55am Thursday, August 13, 2020



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