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Wednesday, November 9, 2022

News and Weather briefing for Wednesday, November 09, 2022
Brief Preliminary Election Results Included



 (This is a truncated news and weather briefing)



GENERAL OUTLOOK

High pressure is expected to remain over the region into Thursday morning leading to cooler temperatures and dry weather. Nicole will track northwest across Florida Thursday before lifting northeast into the Carolinas on Friday bringing the potential for heavy rainfall and gusty winds. A strong cold front tracks across the area late Friday night into Saturday morning ushering in much colder air and drier conditions this weekend into early next week.



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Local Weather

General Forecast Through Friday Night





Franklin Area

Today

Sunny, with highs in the upper 60s. Calm winds in the morning increasing to come out of the southeast around 5 mph in the afternoon.

Tonight

Increasing clouds, with lows around 40. Calm winds.

Thursday

A 20 percent chance of showers after 3pm. Mostly cloudy, with highs in the mid-to-upper 60s. Winds out of the east 3 to 10 mph.

Thursday Night

Showers, mainly after 10pm. The rain could be heavy at times. Lows in the low-to-mid 50s. Winds out of the east around 5 mph. Chance of rain is 80%.

Veterans Day

Showers, mainly before 11am. The rain could be heavy at times. Highs in the mid 60s. Chance of rain is 80%.

Friday Night

Mostly cloudy, with lows around 40.


Highlands Plateau

Today

Sunny, with highs in the mid 50s. Winds out of the east 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

Tonight

Increasing clouds, with lows around 40. Winds out of the east 10 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.

Thursday

A 30 percent chance of showers, mainly after 4pm. Mostly cloudy, with highs in the mid 50s. Winds out of the east 10 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

Thursday Night

Showers, mainly after 9pm. The rain could be heavy at times. Lows around 50. Winds out of the northeast 20 to 30 mph, with gusts as high as 40 mph. Chance of rain is 90%.

Veterans Day

Showers, mainly before noon. The rain could be heavy at times. Highs in the mid-to-upper 50s. Windy. Chance of rain is 80%.

Friday Night

Partly cloudy, with lows around 40. Breezy.


Otto and South Central Macon County

Today

Sunny, with highs in the mid 60s. Calm winds in the morning increasing to come out of the southeast around 5 mph.

Tonight

Increasing clouds, with lows in the lower 40s. Calm winds in the early evening increasing to come out of the north around 5 mph after midnight.

Thursday

A 30 percent chance of showers, mainly after 5pm. Mostly cloudy, with highs in the mid 60s. Winds out of the northeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning shifting to come out of the east in the afternoon. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

Thursday Night

Showers, mainly after 9pm. The rain could be heavy at times. Lows in the mid 50s. Winds out of the east 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain is 80%.

Veterans Day

Showers, mainly before 11am. The rain could be heavy at times. Highs in the mid 60s. Chance of rain is 80%.

Friday Night

Partly cloudy, with lows around 40.


Nantahala Area

Today

Sunny, with highs in the mid 60s. Light and variable winds.

Tonight

Mostly clear, with lows in the low-to-mid 40s. Light winds out of the east.

Thursday

A 20 percent chance of showers after 4pm. Partly sunny, with highs in the low-to-mid 60s. Calm winds early in the morning increasing to come out of the southeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning.

Thursday Night

Showers, mainly after 10pm. The rain could be heavy at times. Lows in the mid 50s. Winds out of the east around 5 mph. Chance of rain is 80%.

Veterans Day

Showers, mainly before 11am. The rain could be heavy at times. Highs near 60. Chance of rain is 80%.

Friday Night

Mostly cloudy, with lows around 40.






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Hazards and Tropical Weather

Other than patchy dense fog, hazardous weather is not expected today or tonight.

...TROPICAL STORM NICOLE...

Tropical Storm Nicole could bring heavy rainfall, gusty winds, and the potential for isolated severe weather to portions of the western Carolinas and northeast Georgia Thursday night into Friday night. Confidence remains low on rainfall amounts and the exact location of where heavy rain will occur. Stay updated with the latest forecast information regarding Nicole throughout the week as any adjustments made to the track will change the impacts we see locally.

Drought Update from the NC Climate Office

IMAGE
Back to Top TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK




Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 AM EDT Wed Nov 9 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Nicole, located about 100 miles east-northeast of the Northwestern Bahamas.

1. Central Subtropical Atlantic:
Shower activity remains disorganized in association with an area of low pressure located about 800 miles west-southwest of the westernmost Azores Islands. Upper-level winds and sea surface temperatures are not conducive for development, and the low is expected to merge with a cold front shortly. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.



Tropical Storm Nicole Discussion Number 9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172022
400 AM EST Wed Nov 09 2022

Nicole's satellite presentation has not changed since last evening. The associated convection is fairly fragmented, and cloud-top temperatures are not particularly cold compared to a typical tropical cyclone (they're only as cold as -50 degrees Celsius near the center). The initial intensity remains 60 kt based on data from last evening's reconnaissance mission.

Aircraft fixes and radar data from the Bahamas indicate that Nicole has continued to move west-southwestward (250/11 kt), even a little south of the previous NHC track prediction. However, track model guidance indicates that Nicole should turn westward soon, and its center is forecast to move across the Abacos and Grand Bahama Island later today and approach the southeast or east-central coast of Florida tonight. After 24 hours, high pressure over the southeastern U.S. is expected to slide eastward over the Atlantic, and that will cause Nicole to recurve around its western flank, moving across northern Florida or the northeastern Gulf of Mexico, and then across the southeastern U.S. Nicole is then expected to accelerate northeastward toward the Mid-Atlantic states in 60-72 hours ahead of an approaching deep-layer trough and cold front. Due to Nicole's recent short-term motion, the NHC official forecast has been nudged southward and westward during the first 48 hours and lies fairly close to the ECMWF and TVCA multi-model consensus. It's worth noting that a few models, including the GFS, HWRF, and HCCA, are a little west of the official forecast over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico and Florida Panhandle.

Nicole will continue to move over warm SSTs of 27-28 degrees Celsius today, although the cyclone will likely also be contending with some shear and a dry and not particularly unstable environment. Therefore, only slight additional strengthening is anticipated, and Nicole could still become a hurricane later today while it moves across the northwestern Bahamas and reaches the east coast of Florida. Weakening is expected once the center moves over Florida, and Nicole is forecast to weaken below tropical storm strength by 60 hours once it's over Georgia or South Carolina. Nicole is expected to merge with a cold front and become extratropical over the Mid-Atlantic by day 3, although most global models indicate that feature will dissipate soon thereafter, with a secondary extratropical low developing farther north over New England or eastern Canada.

Scatterometer data from last evening indicated that Nicole's tropical-storm-force wind field continues to expand on its northern side, and that has been reflected in the new forecast.

Key Messages:

1. Hurricane conditions and a dangerous storm surge are expected in portions of the northwestern Bahamas today, where a Hurricane Warning is in effect.

2. Hurricane conditions are expected across portions of the coast of southeast and east-central Florida beginning this evening or tonight, where a Hurricane Warning is in effect. Tropical storm conditions have begun along the east coast of Florida in the warning areas and will spread northward to Georgia and South Carolina later today. Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin along the west coast of Florida within the warning area this evening or tonight.

3. A dangerous storm surge is expected along much of the east coast of Florida and portions of coastal Georgia where a Storm Surge Warning is in effect. The storm surge will be accompanied by large and damaging waves. Residents in the warning area should listen to advice given by local officials.

4. Do not focus on the exact track of Nicole since it is expected to be a large storm with hazards extending well to the north of the center, outside of the forecast cone. These hazards are likely to affect much of the Florida peninsula and portions of the southeast United States.

5. Nicole will produce heavy rainfall today into Thursday across the Florida Peninsula. Flash and urban flooding will be likely across portions of the Florida Peninsula along with possible renewed river rises on the St. Johns River. Isolated flash, urban, and small stream flooding will also be possible on Friday in the Southeast through the southern and central Appalachians, including the Blue Ridge Mountains, and extending northward through west-central Pennsylvania into western New York by Friday night.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 09/0900Z 26.6N 75.7W 60 KT 70 MPH
12H 09/1800Z 26.6N 77.7W 65 KT 75 MPH
24H 10/0600Z 27.1N 80.4W 60 KT 70 MPH...INLAND
36H 10/1800Z 28.5N 82.9W 45 KT 50 MPH...OVER WATER
48H 11/0600Z 30.7N 84.1W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND
60H 11/1800Z 34.1N 82.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
72H 12/0600Z 38.7N 78.2W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
96H 13/0600Z...DISSIPATED

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Local and State News


PRELIMINARY ELECTION RESULTS FOR MACON COUNTY

Mail-in ballots postmarked by November 8th will be counted for the next three days, then an Election Canvass will be held on Friday, November 18th to finalize the results.

LOCAL USE SALES TAX REFERENDUM

Against 8,246 54.89% (winner)
For 6,776 45.11%

Local Races with challengers. Races without challengers are not included.
An article with a more complete look at the results will be published later.

COUNTY COMMISSIONER DISTRICT I

Shearl 9,350 62.67% (winner)
Moore 5,570 37.33%

COUNTY COMMISSIONERS DISTRICT II

Shields 9,794 36.46% (winner)
Antoine 9,179 34.17% (winner)
Beale 5,295 19.71%
Wallace 2,596 9.66%


SCHOOL BOARD DISTRICT II

Laseter 4,020 31.00% (winner)
Reitmeier 3,846 29.66%
Handley 3,202 24.69%
Cabe 1,844 14.22%
Write-In (Miscellaneous) 55 0.42%

SCHOOLBOARD DISTRICT IV

Breeden 7,250 55.02% (winner)
Arnold 5,887 44.68%
Write-In (Miscellaneous) 39 0.30%

OTHER RACES

STATE SENATE DISTRICT 50

Corbin 59,481 66.15% (winner)
McCracken 30,432 33.85

US HOUSE NORTH CAROLINA DISTRICT 11

Edwards 173,706 53.94% (winner)
Beach-Ferrara 142,910 44.37%

US SENATE NORTH CAROLINA

Budd 1,891,342 50.71% (winner)
Beasley 1,755,716 47.08%
Bray 50,812 1.36%
Hoh 29,163 0.78%

• Tighter GOP grip on North Carolina legislature, high court limits Democrats' options [WRAL-TV (Raleigh, NC)]

• ‘Ready to fight.’ Republican Ted Budd wins Senate race in NC over Democrat Cheri Beasley [Raleigh News and Observer]

• Republican Edwards cruises to 11th District US House seat win over Democrat Beach-Ferrara [Asheville Citizen-Times]

• Republicans gain two seats on N.C. Supreme Court [Smoky Mountain News]

• Toccoa community remembers deadly dam break [WHNS-TV (Greenville, SC)]

• Incumbent Esther Manheimer defeats councilmember Kim Roney for Asheville mayor [WLOS-TV (Asheville, NC)]

• Town of Franklin, NC to Honor All Veterans on November 11th [Macon Media]

• Town of Franklin Asks Citizens to Voluntarily Restrict Water Usage [Macon Media]


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National and World News Roundup

• National Results Snapshot [Wall Street Journal (live page)]

• Despite the Fears, Election Day Mostly Goes as Planned [New York Times (3am archive)]

• 6 early takeaways from the 2022 election [Washington Post (2:29am archive)]

• Democrat John Fetterman defeats Trump-backed GOP rival Dr. Mehmet Oz in pivotal Pennsylvania Senate race, NBC News projects [CNBC]

• Ga. Senate race too close to call, appears headed for a runoff [Atlanta Journal-Constitution]

• Kari Lake raises unfounded doubts about election results in Arizona governor race that’s too early to call [CNN]

• The red wave that wasn’t: 5 takeaways from a disappointing night for the GOP [Politico]

• ‘Disinformation’ can be a crime, 1st Circuit rules [Courthouse News Service]

• CASE PREVIEW: In challenge to Indian Child Welfare Act, court will weigh the rights of states and the role of race[SCOTUSblog]


John Fetterman Victory Speech | C-SPAN




Kevin McCarthy: "It is clear that we are going to take the House back." | C-SPAN



Global National: Nov. 7, 2022 | China allegedly interfered in 2019 Canadian election



Nightly News Full Broadcast (November 8th)


PBS NewsHour full episode, November 08, 2022




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Published at 5:30am on Wednesday, November 09, 2022
Author: Bobby Coggins


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