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Thursday, September 13, 2018

Daily Weather Briefing for Thursday, September 13, 2018




Here is a video of a Hurricane Hunter flight aboard an HC-130J Hercules aircraft as it gathers data on Hurricane Florence. The volume is a little low.





The local news segment is a bit long this morning.

Sign up for Reverse-911 Calls and Alerts

Macon County contracts with OnSolve LLC to provide Reverse 911 Calls and Alert Calls to those registered to receive such alerts. Visit their website at https://public.coderedweb.com/CNE/en-US/692F85D5FF07 to sign up.

Statement of Mayor Bob Scott

I understand that we have a number of people in Franklin, who have evacuated due to Hurricane Florence. I would ask that those of us who live here reach out to these evacuees and make them feel welcome. They will be concerned about what they have left behind. Let them know we are with them and supportive.
Of course, we may wind up with a bad time ourselves. Our town employees have been busy preparing for the worst but hoping for the best.

Hopefully, we will not experience any significant damage. Watch out for each other and your neighbors. And our visitors.

Mayor Bob Scott
Town of Franklin, NC

From Macon County Emergency Management

Press Release
Macon County Emergency Services
September 12, 2018 '
Warren Cabe, Director

Hurricane Florence is becoming more of a threat to western North Carolina as the weekend approaches.
We could begin feeling the effects of the storm as early Friday or Saturday and the effects could last through the weekend. Rainfall amounts of 5 to 10 inches are possible in certain areas along with damaging winds.

Residents should monitor local media outlets for weather information. Do not through flooded roadways. If you live in flood-prone areas be prepared for isolated flooding events. Anticipate utility outages and make appropriate preparations. Visit www.readync.org for preparedness information.



LOCAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

A stationary front will remain draped over the Appalachians through midweek, bringing diurnal showers and thunderstorms to our area. Hurricane Florence is expected to slow down as it approaches the coastline and make landfall somewhere along the Carolina coast on Friday. There will be an increasing threat for widespread flooding through the weekend and early next week as the remnants of Florence drift slowly inland.

From the National Weather Service:

Impacts from heavy rainfall due to Florence are becoming increasingly likely late this week into early next week. Preparedness measures for flooding rain, landslides in mountainous areas, and gusty winds that could damage trees and power lines should be taken. The track of Florence will need to be closely monitored by interests across the western Carolinas and northeast Georgia throughout the rest of the week. Please continue to follow the latest forecasts from the National Hurricane Center.


WEATHER SPONSOR



Adams Products, a Division of Oldcastle is underwriting the daily weather briefing & public safety updates for the month.

Open 7:30 AM to 4:00 PM, M-F, located at 895 Hickory Knoll Road, Franklin, NC. Visit our Facebook page at:
https://www.facebook.com/Adams.Oldcastle.Franklin.NC/

All your masonry needs are available. Our phone number is 828.524.8545, the public is welcome, we’ll help you with your with your next project.

Weather Almanac for September 13th (1872-2016)
Record weather events for this date in Macon County

Highest Temperature 92°F in Franklin in 1962
Lowest Temperature 32°F in Highlands in 1917
Greatest Rainfall 2.63 inches in Highlands in 2004

Record Weather Events for September (1872-2017)

Highest Temperature 98°F in Franklin on Sept 4, 1975
Lowest Temperature 27°F in Franklin on Sept 30, 1967
Greatest Rainfall 11.87 inches in Highlands on Sept 29, 1964

Record weather events for this date and month in Macon County

Record Weather Events for Sept 13th in North Carolina

Highest Temperature 101°F in Jackson, Northampton County in 1983
Lowest Temperature 30°F in Banner Elk, Avery County in 1940
Greatest Rainfall 6.00 inches in Belhaven, Beaufort County in 1917


Record Weather Events for September in North Carolina

Highest Temperature 109°F in Weldon, Halifax County on 09-07-1954
Lowest Temperature 23°F in Marion, McDowell County on 09-28-2000
Greatest Rainfall 18.30 inches in Southport, Brunswick County on 09-16-1999


WEATHER FORECAST MAPS

Forecast maps for 8 am, 2 pm, and 8 pm. 

[click on any image in this article to enlarge]
(These images replace the three-day forecast maps)





THREE DAY OUTLOOK



--------------------------------------

FRANKLIN AREA

TODAY

A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 1pm. Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, partly sunny, with highs near the upper 80s. Light north wind. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

TONIGHT

A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9pm, then a slight chance of showers between 9pm and 3am. Patchy fog between midnight and 3am. Otherwise, partly cloudy, with a low around 65. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

FRIDAY

A slight chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 4pm. Mostly sunny, with highs near the upper 80s. Calm wind becoming north around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

FRIDAY NIGHT

A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1am, then a slight chance of showers after 3am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 65. North wind 3 to 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

SATURDAY

A 30 percent chance of showers, mainly after 10am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 85.

SATURDAY NIGHT

A 30 percent chance of showers before 10pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 65



--------------------------------------

OTTO AREA

TODAY

A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after noon. Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, partly sunny, with a high near 85. Light north northeast wind. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

TONIGHT

A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Patchy fog between midnight and 3am. Otherwise, partly cloudy, with a low around 65. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

FRIDAY

A slight chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 3pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 85. North wind 3 to 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

FRIDAY NIGHT

A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 65. North wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

SATURDAY

A chance of showers before 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 85. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

SATURDAY NIGHT

A 30 percent chance of showers before midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 65.



--------------------------------------

HIGHLANDS AREA

TODAY

Isolated showers, then scattered showers and thunderstorms after 9am. Patchy fog before 8am. Otherwise, partly sunny, with a high near 75. Northeast wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

TONIGHT

Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 9pm. Patchy fog between midnight and 1am. Otherwise, partly cloudy, with a low around 65. North northeast wind 5 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

FRIDAY

A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 3pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 80. North wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

FRIDAY NIGHT

A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 10pm, then a slight chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with lows in the lower 60s. North wind around 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

SATURDAY

A 40 percent chance of showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 75.


SATURDAY NIGHT

A 30 percent chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 60.



--------------------------------------

NANTAHALA AREA

TODAY

Isolated showers, then scattered showers and thunderstorms after 9am. Areas of fog before 10am. Otherwise, partly sunny, with a high near 80. North wind 3 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

TONIGHT

Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 9pm. Patchy fog after 10pm. Otherwise, partly cloudy, with lows in the lower 60s. Northeast wind 3 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

FRIDAY

A slight chance of showers between 2pm and 4pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 4pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 80. North wind 5 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

FRIDAY NIGHT

Partly cloudy, with lows in the lower 60s. North northeast wind around 7 mph.

SATURDAY

A 30 percent chance of showers, mainly after 11am. Mostly sunny, with highs in the upper 70s.

SATURDAY NIGHT

Partly cloudy, with a low around 60.



--------------------------------------



GOES-16 GeoColor - True Color daytime, multispectral IR
11:27 pm last night to 2:32 am this morning


HAZARDS

Hazardous weather is not expected today.

From the National Weather Service:

Impacts from heavy rainfall due to Florence are becoming increasingly likely late this week into early next week. Preparedness measures for flooding rain, landslides in mountainous areas, and gusty winds that could damage trees and power lines should be taken. The track of Florence will need to be closely monitored by interests across the western Carolinas and northeast Georgia throughout the rest of the week. Please continue to follow the latest forecasts from the National Hurricane Center.


Macon Media maintains a Severe Weather Preparedness Page at http://thunderpigblog.blogspot.com/p/breaking-news-hub.html for those who are interested.

As always, you can check to see what advisories, watches, and warnings are in effect for Macon County by visiting http://is.gd/MACONWARN



GOES 16 - Band 15 - 12.3 µm - Dirty Longwave Window - IR (Precipitation)
11:42 pm last night to 2:37 am this morning

TROPICAL OUTLOOK

The computer models continue to struggle in coming up with a solution that accurately forecasts the movement of FLORENCE. The latest feature to show up is a high-pressure ridge and steering currents at the 500 mb level of the upper atmosphere that will temporarily prevent Hurricane Florence from escaping to the north as most hurricanes do shortly after making landfall.

Right now, it looks like the storm will weaken and move west as a Tropical Depression. Rainfall amounts for Macon County are still uncertain. It is my (Bobby) impression that we will not see that much rain (most of the county should see less than 5 inches adn the Highlands area may receive more than that) from the remnants of Florence despite all the hype from TV Weathermen or internet weather forecasters. The NHC consensus 5 Day Cone for 2 am this morning is posted below. (Remember that the forecasts for this storm are changing every few hours as more data from weather instruments in the region, Hurricane Hunters, and weather balloons are added into the computer models.




Tropical Tidbit from Levi Cowan of TropicalTidbits.com https://www.tropicaltidbits.com
(video was posted last night just before 7 pm.






Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Thu Sep 13 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Florence, located over the western Atlantic Ocean, on Hurricane Helene, located over the eastern Atlantic Ocean, on Tropical Storm Isaac, located a few hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles, and on Subtropical Storm Joyce, located a little less than a 1000 miles west-southwest of the Azores.

1. A trough of low pressure is located over the central Gulf of Mexico. Although associated shower activity remains limited, upper-level winds are forecast to become more conducive for the development of a tropical depression before the system reaches the western Gulf coast on Friday. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the disturbance later today, if necessary. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall and gusty winds are expected across portions of northeastern Mexico, Texas, and Louisiana late this week. Interests there should monitor the progress of this system, and refer to products from their local weather office.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

2. An area of low pressure is expected to develop near Bermuda late this weekend or early next week. Some gradual development is possible after that time while the system drifts westward over the western Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.



MACON CALENDAR

If you have an event you wish to be added to this calendar, please send the information, along with a flyer in pdf format or a high-quality photo, to editor@maconmedia.com. If you want text published, please include a paragraph with your photo, flyer or graphics. Please include date(s) and time(s).
There is no charge for civic, educational or nonprofit groups, except for groups or events that receive funding from the TDA, TDC, and EDC, where full rates apply.

Organizers of political events must make themselves available for a video interview at least 7 days before a political event they wish Macon Media to promote. Two weeks is the preferred time frame to maximize awareness.


Uptown Gallery classes
(These are on-going classes – repeat weekly)

Free classes and open studio times are being offered at The Uptown Gallery in Franklin. Join others at a painting open studio session every Tuesday from 6:30 pm – 9:00 pm or on Thursday from 11:00 am – 3:00 pm.
Bring your own materials and join an on-going drawing course led by gallery artists on Fridays, from 11am – 2 pm. For information on days open, hours and additional art classes and workshops, contact the gallery on 30 East Main Street at (828) 349 – 4607.

National Alliance on Mental Illness
Appalachian South


Meets each Thursday at 7pm
The First Methodist Church Outreach Center
at the intersection of Harrison Ave. and West Main Street
(directly across from Lazy Hiker Brewery)

Come join our weekly support group for anyone suffering from mental illness and their family or friends. This includes Depression, Bipolar,8chizophrenia, PTSD, Substance Abuse, Etc.

Here you will find:
— others living with mental health challenges YOU ARE NOT ALONE
- learn coping skills and ?find hope in shared experience
- help learning how to break down stigma and guilt surrounding mental health
- how to live life with the expectation of a better a better future

Kay (706)970-9987 Denise (828)347-5000)

SYRINGE EXCHANGE PROGRAM

On January 1, 2017, the Syringe Exchange Program of Franklin began operating a comprehensive harm reduction program to address the opioid epidemic that is impacting western NC. Opioid overdose reversal kits including naloxone are available free of charge. If you have any questions about our services or if you know someone interested in volunteering, please contact Stephanie Almeida at 828-475-1920.



Sun and Moon

Sun

Begin civil twilight 6:49 a.m.
Sunrise 7:15 a.m.
Sun transit 1:29 p.m.
Sunset 7:43 p.m.
End civil twilight 8:09 p.m.


Moon

Moonrise 11:18 a.m.
Moon transit 4:58 p.m.
Moonset 10:33 p.m.


Phase of the Moon on September 13, 2018: Waxing Crescent with 19% of the Moon's visible disk illuminated.
Closest Primary Moon Phase: First Quarter on September 16, 2018 at 7:15 p.m. (local daylight time)


Sky Guides for this week


Sky and Telescope Magazine 
Astronomy Magazine


There will be three solar and two lunar eclipses in 2018. [LINK]

Heavens Above has an Android App that will assist you in observing the sky and even has a satellite tracker that will let you know when the International Space Station and dozens of other satellites are overhead. [LINK]

Stellarium is also an app that will assist you in observing the sky. It is available in both Android [LINK] and iOS versions. [LINK]

CROWDFUNDING OR DAY SPONSORSHIP OPPORTUNITIES


If you receive value from what Macon Media provides to the community, please consider becoming a supporter and contribute at least a dollar a month.


Become a Patron!

If you have a business or event you are interested in sponsorship opportunities or underwriting coverage, send an email to editor@MaconMedia.com for more information. Serious inquiries only. Macon Media rewards early sponsors/underwriters with lifetime guaranteed low rates while newer sponsors/underwriters pay higher rates based on the date they first support Macon Media.

Thank You to the people who have been sending in donations and those businesses who are underwriting coverage of news and events. You have kept Macon Media online.

3:15 am on September 13, 2018

#WNCscan #MaconWx #MaconSafety


Data and information sources: Sources (except where otherwise credited): heavens-above.com, Ian Webster's Github, National Centers for Environmental Prediction, The National Weather Service, National Oceanic Atmospheric Administration, National Hurricane Center, Penn State University Electronic Wall Map, The State Climate Office of North Carolina, Storm Prediction Center, U.S. Naval Observatory, University of Utah Department of Atmospheric Sciences, and the Weather Prediction Center.

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