Outlook
Weak high pressure will persist across the region today, as moisture steadily returns from the Gulf of Mexico. A strong cold front will sweep across the area from the west Thursday afternoon and evening, bringing with it heavy rain and severe thunderstorm threat. The cold front will push east of the area Thursday night, with cool and dry high pressure returning through the weekend and into early next week.
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THREE DAY GFS FORECAST
This animated image shows a forecast of precipitation, air pressure and thickness level (cold-air damming) for three days in six-hour increments.
Green, Yellow, and Red indicate rain. Orange and Purple Indicate Freezing Rain or other freezing precipitation. Blue indicates snow.
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Weather Hazards
Hazardous weather over the next few days is expected. More information is posted below.
NWS Hazardous Weather Outlook
Rainfall rates will gradually increase across the region today through tonight, with pockets of heavy rain becoming more likely tonight ahead of an approaching cold front. In addition, isolated to scattered thunderstorms will begin to develop from the south tonight, bringing gusty winds, occasional cloud-to-ground lightning, and locally intense rainfall to the area.
Thursday through Tuesday...
Thunderstorms are expected to develop along and ahead of a cold front crossing the region from the west Thursday afternoon into Thursday evening. These thunderstorms may become strong, especially east of the mountains during the afternoon hours. Frequent cloud-to-ground lightning, gusty winds, and torrential downpours can be expected with any of these thunderstorms. Some thunderstorms may produce damaging wind gusts, and an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out. The greatest chance of heavy rain and associated isolated flooding will be over the mountains, while the greatest chance of isolated severe thunderstorms will be over the Piedmont, especially near the Interstate 77 corridor late Thursday.
Freezing temperatures may return to the mountains Thursday night, with frost conditions possibly impacting much of the area over the weekend.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotters may be needed to forward reports of large hail, damaging winds, tornadoes, or flash flooding to our office on Thursday.
**Note** A Tropical Weather Outlook section has been added to the daily weather briefing for the Atlantic Hurricane Season, and since those tend to run long when there is activity, that section has been added between the daily forecasts for the four regions of the county and the almanac section so people can get to their daily forecasts with minimal interference.
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WEATHER FORECAST MAPS
Forecast maps for 7 am, 1 pm, and 7 pm.
[click on any image in this article to enlarge]
FRANKLIN AREA FORECAST
Today
Showers, mainly after 8am. Patchy fog before 3pm. Highs in the mid-to-upper 60s. Light winds out of the southeast. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Tonight
Showers. Patchy fog after 7pm. Lows near 60. Calm winds increasing and coming out of the southeast around 6 mph after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between three quarters and one inch possible.
Halloween Day
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Highs near 70. Winds out of the south 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between three-quarters and one inch possible.
Halloween Night
Showers, mainly before midnight. The rain could be heavy at times. Areas of frost after 4am. Low around freezing. Winds out of the northwest around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Friday
Areas of frost before 9am. Otherwise, sunny, with a high near 60.
Friday Night
Clear, with a low around freezing.
OTTO AREA FORECAST
Today
Showers. Patchy fog before 4pm, then patchy fog after 5pm. Highs near 65. Winds out of the southeast 3 to 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between three-quarters and one inch possible.
Tonight
Showers. Areas of fog. Lows around 60. Winds out of the south 3 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible.
Halloween Day
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Patchy fog before 8am. Highs near 70. Winds out of the south 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible.
Halloween Night
Showers, mainly before midnight. The rain could be heavy at times. Lows around freezing. Winds out of the northwest 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Friday
Sunny, with highs in the upper 50s.
Friday Night
Clear, with lows around 35.
HIGHLANDS PLATEAU FORECAST
Today
Showers. Areas of fog. Highs near 60. Winds out of the southeast 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible.
Tonight
Showers. Areas of fog. Lows in the upper 50s. Winds out of the south 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between 2 and 3 inches possible.
Halloween Day
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Highs near 60. Winds out of the southwest 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 35 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible.
Halloween Night
Showers, mainly before 1am. The rain could be heavy at times. Lows around freezing. Breezy, with winds out of the northwest 20 to 25 mph, with gusts as high as 40 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Friday
Sunny, with highs in the upper 40s.
Friday Night
Clear, with lows near 35.
NANTAHALA AREA FORECAST
Today
Showers, mainly after 8am. Patchy fog before 3pm, then patchy fog after 5pm. Highs near 65. Winds out of the southeast 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between a half and three-quarters of an inch possible.
Tonight
Showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 5am. Areas of fog. Lows around 60. Winds out of the south 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between three-quarters and one inch possible.
Halloween Day
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Highs in the upper 60s. Winds out of the southwest 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible.
Halloween Night
Showers, mainly before midnight. The rain could be heavy at times. Lows around 30. Winds out of the northwest 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Friday
Areas of frost before 7am. Otherwise, sunny, with highs near 55.
Friday Night
Clear, with a low around freezing.
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Wed Oct 30 2019
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. A non-tropical low-pressure area located several hundred miles west of the westernmost Azores continues to produce disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. This low is also producing a large area of winds of gale to storm force. This system is forecast to move southward over slightly warmer waters, and it could acquire some subtropical characteristics during the next day or so. Environmental conditions are expected to become unfavorable for any further development by Thursday night when the low is forecast to move back over colder waters. For more information of this system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
Weather Extremes for Macon County for the month of October
Data available from 1872 to 2018
Highest Temperature 91°F in Franklin on 10-05-1954
Lowest Temperature 12°F in Highlands on 10-30-1910
Greatest Rainfall 9.91 inches in Highlands on 10-04-1964
Greatest Snowfall 1.0 inches in Highlands on 10-20-1913
Weather Extremes for North Carolina for the month of October
Data available from 1870 to 2018
Highest Temperature 102°F Albemarle, Stanly County 10-06-1954
Lowest Temperature 8°F Banner Elk, Avery County 10-21-1952
Greatest One-Day Rainfall 14.00 in Aberdeen, Moore County 10-16-1913
Greatest One-Day Snowfall 11.0 inches on Mount Mitchell, Yancey County on 10-25-1990
Monthly Averages
Warmest Weather Station 66.5°F Hatteras, Dare County
Coldest Weather Station 46.5°F Grandfather Mountain, Avery County
Wettest Weather Station 6.29 in Lake Toxaway, Transylvania County
Driest Weather Station 2.15 in Hot Springs, Madison County
Published at 5:25am on October 30, 2019
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