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Sunday, September 12, 2021

Weather Briefing for Sunday, September 12, 2021


Here is a truncated weather report for today. 

  OUTLOOK

High pressure over the Southeast will support dry conditions through Monday. Small chances for showers and thunderstorms return to the mountains Tuesday, and all areas Wednesday, as moisture returns to the area. Temperatures will remain above-normal through the week.

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Local News

COVID-19 Numbers for Macon County, September 10, 2021 [MaconMedia.com]



A 9/11 Remembrance event was held in the Panther Pit on Saturday, and video of the event will be published Monday morning. Patreon subscribers have early access to the video at Patreon.com/MaconMedia



National Weather Map for Today



General forecast through Friday Night


Franklin area

Today

Areas of fog before 10am. Otherwise, sunny, with highs in the mid-80s. Calm winds.

Tonight

Patchy fog after 1am. Otherwise, mostly clear, with lows around 60. Calm winds.

Monday

Areas of fog before 9am. Otherwise, sunny, with highs in the mid-80s. Calm winds.

Monday Night

Mostly clear, with lows around 60. Calm winds.

Tuesday

A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Sunny, with highs in the mid-to-upper 80s.

Tuesday Night

Partly cloudy, with lows in the lower 60s.




Highlands Plateau

Today

Sunny, with highs near 76. Winds out of the northwest around 5 mph becoming light and variable by noon.

Tonight

Mostly clear, with lows in the mid-50s. Light and variable winds increasing to come out of the northwest 5 to 10 mph after midnight.

Monday

Sunny, with highs near 80. Winds out of the north around 5 mph becoming calm by noon.

Monday Night

Mostly clear, with lows in the upper 50s. Light and variable winds.

Tuesday

A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Sunny, with highs in the upper 70s.

Tuesday Night

Mostly clear, with lows in the mid-to-upper 50s.




Otto area

Today

Areas of fog before 10am. Otherwise, sunny, with highs in the low-to-mid 80s. Calm winds.

Tonight

Patchy fog after 2am. Otherwise, mostly clear, with lows around 60. Calm winds.

Monday

Areas of fog before 9am. Otherwise, sunny, with highs in the mid-80s. Calm winds.

Monday Night

Mostly clear, with lows around 60. Calm winds.

Tuesday

A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Sunny, with highs in the mid-80s.

Tuesday Night

Partly cloudy, with lows in the lower 60s.




Nantahala area

Today

Sunny, with highs near 80. Calm winds.

Tonight

Mostly clear, with lows around 60. Light winds out of the southwest.

Monday

Sunny, with highs in the lower 80s. Calm winds.

Monday Night

Mostly clear, with lows around 60. Calm winds.

Tuesday

A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Sunny, with highs in the lower 80s.

Tuesday Night

Partly cloudy, with lows in the lower 60s.


Hazards and Tropical Weather

Hazardous weather is not expected today.

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK





Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sun Sep 12 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Showers and thunderstorms over the Bay of Campeche and southern Gulf of Mexico have been increasing during the past several hours near and east of a surface trough of low pressure. A tropical depression is expected to form later today or tonight while the system moves northwestward and then northward near the coast of northeastern Mexico. Additional development is possible through the middle of next week if the system remains over water, and interests along the western and northwestern Gulf coast should monitor the progress of this disturbance. An Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system this morning, and potential tropical cyclone advisories could be initiated later today.

Regardless of development, the disturbance will continue to produce heavy rain across portions of southern Mexico today, including the western Yucatan Peninsula, which may lead to flash flooding and mudslides. By late today, heavy rain is expected to reach portions of the Texas and Louisiana coasts with a heavy rain threat continuing across those coasts through the middle of the week. Localized significant rainfall amounts are possible, potentially resulting in areas of flash, urban, and isolated river flooding.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

2. Disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms continue in association with a tropical wave located near the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions are becoming less conducive for development, and the chances of tropical depression formation are decreasing while the system moves westward over the far eastern Atlantic. By the middle of the week, stronger upper-level winds and marginally warm ocean temperatures are expected to limit additional development. This disturbance could bring locally heavy rain across the Cabo Verde Islands today.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

3. A non-tropical area of low pressure is located over the far northeastern Atlantic several hundred miles northeast of the Azores. This system is forecast to move south-southeastward towards warmer waters, which could allow the low to gradually acquire some tropical or subtropical characteristics by the middle of next week.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

4. Another tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa in a couple of days. Gradual development of this system is possible thereafter, and a tropical depression could form by the middle of the week while it moves westward across the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

5. An area of low pressure is expected to form north of the southeastern Bahamas in a few days resulting from the northern end of a tropical wave interacting with an upper-level trough. Gradual development of this system is possible, and a tropical depression could form by the middle of the week several hundred miles southeast of the Carolinas while it moves northwestward across the western Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

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Published at 4:08am on Sunday, September 12, 2021

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