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Friday, January 14, 2022

News and Weather Briefing for Friday, January 14, 2022
Winter Storm Watch for Weekend Continued



Here is an index to assist you in moving from section to section within the article.

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Weather
Hazards and Tropical Weather
Almanac
Macon Calendar
Local and StateNews
Special Section: Supreme Court January 13th Rulings on Vaccine Mandates
National News Roundup
COVID-19 News and Updates
Science and Technology
On This Day
Support Macon Media


OUTLOOK

A strong winter storm with dive into the mid-south this weekend with significant impacts expected across the region before departing along the the East Coast. Cool and breezy conditions are expected in the storms wake Monday with lingering snow showers near the Tennessee border. Temperatures will rebound to near normal mid-week ahead of our next cold front.

Short Range Ensemble Forecasting Computer Models



A lot of amateur forecasters often share snow cover maps they see posted online. Most of the time, they only share the maps that show the most snow and neglect to let their friends or readers know that these maps are just the ones that show the most snow instead of trying to communicate uncertainties in the forecast. Macon Media considers any forecast map for an event more than 72 hours away to be unreliable and will not share any because of this unless it is a map prepared by professionals at the National Weather Service, Lokel Yokel Weather or a few other trusted meterologists. Perhaps a better tool are charts called meteograms that allow forecast uncertainty to be communicated to the public so they can manage expectations of an event. The above chart is the output of a Short Range Ensemble Forecast of comouter models by the National Weather Service for their weather station located at the Macon County Airport. The map is annotated to help you understand the information being displayed. You can click on the map to embiggen it to a larger size or download it to your device to expand it even more.

In the interest of promting transparency and to communicate uncertainties in the forecast, Macon Media will try to share some of these products in the future. While it's a bit technical and not as sexy or popular for generating social media buzz or "becoming viral" as posting a clown map, it is more responsible and sober. --Bobby

Now, having blasted snow maps, here is what the National Weather Service has posted as what they think the most likely scenario, followed by a low end amount and a high end amount map for the region. This more effectivly communicates the uncertainties in the forecast than just a single map. You should also take into account that elevation will play a crucial role in determining how much snow you receiove. Click on any of the maps to embiggen.

MOST LIKELY NWS GUESS



LOW END NWS GUESS



HIGH END NWS GUESS


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Local Weather

General Forecast Through Sunday Night



Franklin Area

Today

Mostly sunny, with highs near 50. Calm winds early increasing to come out of the northwest 5 to 10 mph by midmorning.

Tonight

Increasing clouds, with lows around 30. Calm winds.

Saturday

A 20 percent chance of rain after 2pm. Cloudy, with highs in the mid 40s. Calm winds.

Saturday Night

A chance of rain and snow before 9pm, then snow. Low in the mid 20s. Light winds out of the north. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

Sunday

Snow. Highs in the mid-to-upper 30s. Chance of precipitation is 90%.

Sunday Night

A 30 percent chance of snow before 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with lows in the lower 20s.

Highlands Plateau

Today

Mostly sunny, with highs in the mid 40s. Winds out of the north 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.

Tonight

Partly cloudy, with lows around 30. Winds out of the north around 5 mph becoming light and variable after midnight.

Saturday

A slight chance of rain and snow between 1pm and 2pm, then a slight chance of snow after 2pm. Cloudy, with highs in the mid 30s. Light and variable winds. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

Saturday Night

Snow, mainly after 11pm. Lows in the mid-to-upper 20s. WInds out of the east 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 7 inches possible.

Sunday

Snow. Highs in the upper 20s. Winds out of the northeast 15 to 20 mph decreasing to 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 35 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.

Sunday Night

A 30 percent chance of snow, mainly before 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with lows around 20.

Otto and South Central Macon County

Today

Mostly sunny, with highs near 50. Winds out of the northwest 3 to 7 mph.

Tonight

Increasing clouds, with lows around frteezing. Light and variable winds.

Saturday

A 20 percent chance of rain after 2pm. Cloudy, with highs in the mid 40s. Calm winds.

Saturday Night

A chance of rain and snow before 9pm, then snow. Lows in the mid-to-upper 20s. Calm winds. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible.

Sunday

Snow. Highs in the mid 30s. Winds out of the east 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming calm in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.

Sunday Night

A 30 percent chance of snow, mainly before 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with lows in the low-to-mid 20s.



Nantahala Area

Today

Mostly sunny, with highs in the mid 40s. Winds out of the northwest 5 to 10 mph.

Tonight

Mostly cloudy, with lows around 30. Light and variable winds.

Saturday

A slight chance of rain between 2pm and 4pm, then a chance of showers after 4pm. Cloudy, with highs in the lower 40s. Calm winds. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

Saturday Night

A chance of rain and snow before 9pm, then snow. Lows around freezing. Calm winds. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.

Sunday

Snow. Highs in the mid 30s. Winds out of the southeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.

Sunday Night

A 40 percent chance of snow, mainly before 5am. Mostly cloudy, with lows in the lower 20s.






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Hazards and Tropical Weather

A low pressure system will cross the mountains from the northwest tonight. Light snow accumulations are expected with the passage of this system, especially at elevations above 3500 feet and near the Tennessee border.

Saturday through Wednesday

Winter Storm Watch.

Confidence is increasing that a major winter storm will arrive from the west over the weekend, with the greatest impacts Saturday night through Sunday night. Significant accumulations of snow are possible, with sleet and freezing rain possibly mixing in at times, especially over southern mountain locations. The accumulating snowfall should end as a period of northwest flow snow showers Sunday night into Monday morning. All interests should closely monitor this system as the impacts could be substantial, however specific impacts remain uncertain at this time. Very cold weather following the storm could keep road conditions treacherous into early next week.

Winter Storm Watch

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
1118 PM EST Thu Jan 13 2022


...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 10 inches across the mountain valleys and extreme northeast Georgia, 8 to 12 inches along and near the Blue Ridge Escarpment, and upwards of 12 to 20 inches at elevations above 4000 feet, and ice accumulations of around one tenth of an inch possible.

* WHERE...Portions of upstate South Carolina, northeast Georgia and western North Carolina.

* WHEN...From Saturday evening through Monday morning.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Precipitation may begin as early as Saturday afternoon across parts of the mountains, and will increase in coverage and intensity late Saturday night with a changeover to all snow in most places. Most of the precipitation will fall as snow across the mountains and foothills of North Carolina, northeast Georgia, and Upstate South Carolina. The precipitation will taper off Sunday afternoon and evening, but snow will linger along the Tennessee border into Monday morning. Widespread black ice should be expected Monday morning, and may be a concern into the middle of the week. Later guidance may change snow amounts and will determine when a Warning is issued.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Watch means there is a potential for significant snow, sleet, or ice accumulations that may impact travel. Continue to monitor the latest forecasts.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or your favorite source of weather information for the latest updates. Additional details can be found at www.weather.gov/gsp.


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Almanac




Air quality is in the extreme upper range of green for most of the county, with the ridges and other higher elevations today being in the extreme upper range of green.

Fire and Smoke Map


Local Air Monitor



Pollen

Pollen levels are expected to be in the low range (1.2 out of 12) today with Juniper being the main culprit. Tomorrow is expected to be in the low range (2.4 out of 12).




Record Weather Events for January 14th

Record weather events for this date in Macon County
(1872-2016)

Highest Temperature 72°F at the Coweeta Experimental Station in 2017
Lowest Temperature 1°F in Franklin in 2011
Greatest Rainfall 2.40 inches in Highlands in 1921
Greatest Snowfall 3.5 inches in Highlands in 1982

Record weather events for December in Macon County

Highest Temperature 78°F in Franklin on Dec 31, 1951
Lowest Temperature -12°F in Highlands on Dec 30, 1917
Greatest Rainfall 6.00 inches in Highlands on Dec 14, 1901
Greatest One-Day Snowfall 12.0 inches in Franklin on Dec 21, 1876

All-time record weather events for Macon County

Highest Temperature 101°F in Franklin on Jul 29, 1952
Lowest Temperature -19°F in Highlands on Jan 21, 1985
Greatest Rainfall 21.15 inches in Highlands on Jul 29, 1879
Greatest One-Day Snowfall 25.5 inches at the Coweeta Experimental Station on Mar 13, 1993




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Macon Calendar
(send your event to calendar@maconmedia.com)




THIS SPACE INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK


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Local and State News

COVID-19 Numbers for Macon County: [November 15, 2021]

• 'Prepare for a storm': Meteorologists 'pretty confident' weekend winter weather coming to WNC [Asheville Citizen-Times]

• Maggie Valley board walks back food truck decision [Smoky Mountain News (Waynesville, NC)]

• Long Winded Weekend Snow Breakdown [Local Yokel Weather]

City of Asheville in dispute with at least 25 property owners over walls and fences



• Macon County Board of Commissioners - January 2022 Regular Meeting [Macon Media]

Franklin Town Council - January 2022 Regular Meeting



Asheville Citizen-Times COVID-19 Tracker [Asheville Citizen-Times]


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Special Section: Supreme Court January 13th Rulings on Vaccine Mandates

Previously:

• Special Section: Supreme Court Hears Vaccine Mandate Cases [Nacon Media (Jan 7th, 2022)]

The documents:

• In National Federation of Independent Business v. Department of Labor, the court blocked the federal government’s vaccine-or-test requirement for workplaces of 100 or more employees. [PDF of Opinion]

• In Biden v. Missouri, the court allowed the government’s vaccine mandate for workers at federally funded health care facilities to take effect nationwide. [PDF of Opinion]

• Fractured court blocks vaccine-or-test requirement for large workplaces but green-lights vaccine mandate for health care workers [SCOTUSblog]

• Who Decides, Redux? [The Volokh Conspiracy]

• The Supreme Court sunk Biden’s vaccine/testing mandate for private employers. What you need to know. [Poynter]

• Supreme Court blocks Biden Covid vaccine mandate for businesses, allows health-care worker rule [CNBC]


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National and World News Roundup

• Oath Keepers founder, 10 others charged with seditious conspiracy for Jan. 6 attack at U.S. Capitol [WYFF-TV (Greenville, SC)]

• Terry Teachout, Wall Street Journal Drama Critic, Dies at Age 65 [Wall Street Journal]

• FDA deregulates French dressing [WATE-TV (Knoxville, TN)]

• Major winter storm aiming for central, eastern US [Freight Waves]

• The Gerrymander Open [Maps Mania]

• We Need to Think the Unthinkable About Our Country [New York Times]

• North Korea launches third suspected missile in just over a week [Al Jazeera]

NBC Nightly News Full Broadcast - January 13th, 2021



PBS NewsHour Full Episode January 13th, 2021





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COVID-19 News and Updates

Since it looks like we may be in for a new wave of infections, here is a section on COVID-19. It will include local, regional, state, national, and global items.





COVID-19 Numbers for Macon County: [November 18, 2021]



• WHO Coronavirus (COVID-19) Dashboard [World Health Organization]

Globally, as of 5:31pm CET, 10 January 2022, there have been 305,914,601 confirmed cases of COVID-19, including 5,486,304 deaths, reported to WHO. As of 9 January 2022, a total of 9,126,987,353 vaccine doses have been administered.
In United States of America, from 3 January 2020 to 5:31pm CET, 10 January 2022, there have been 59,138,083 confirmed cases of COVID-19 with 830,334 deaths, reported to WHO. As of 23 December 2021, a total of 485,274,895 vaccine doses have been administered.

Dr John Campbell: US record breaking cases and hospitalizations



Q and A with Amy and Vincents



• Scientists, doctors condemn personal attacks on Fauci [AXIOS]

• Doctors call out Spotify over ‘false and societally harmful assertions’ on Joe Rogan podcast [WATE-TV (Knoxville, TN)]

• 'Like a slap in the face': Nurses told to use vacation and sick days to stay home if they test positive [NBC News]

• Immunological dysfunction persists for 8 months following initial mild-to-moderate SARS-CoV-2 infection [Nature Immunology]

• 'Unambiguously good news': Sharp decline in COVID wastewater levels in Boston area [WBUR-TV (Boston, MA)]

• Sanders, 50 Democrats unveil bill to send N95 masks to all Americans [The Hill]

• Dr. Fauci says to wear the 'highest quality mask that you can tolerate' as omicron spreads [KMGH-TV (Denver, CO)]

• COVID-Hospitalization Numbers Are as Bad as They Look [The Atlentic]

• Rural Counties Break Record for Most Covid-19 Infections in a Single Week [The Daily Yonder]

• title [SOURCE]

• Monitoring COVID-19

[Centers for Disease Control and Prevention]

[Outbreak.info]

• CDC Releases Emergency Guidance for Healthcare Facilities to Prepare for Potential Omicron Surge [Centers for Disease Control and Prevention]

• COVID-19 case rates by county in 2021 [AXIOS]




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Science and Technology News Roundup

• Federal investigators say they used encrypted Signal messages to charge Oath Keepers leader [CNBC]

• Meta sued for $3.2 billion in UK class action lawsuit alleging Facebook exploited data [The Hill]

• Channel 292 plans special pirate broadcast on January 15, 2022 [Shortwave Central]

• Apple details $30 million settlement for off-the-clock bag search lawsuit [Engadget]


Podcasts and Long Form Videos
• A Second Life for Second Life – DTNS 4191 [Daily Tech News]

Level1 News January 14 2021: They See I'm Golden, They Hatin'



BigTech: $250k of Persistent Memory w/Allyn

Science and Futurism with Isaac Arthur: Hibernating Aliens



Booster 3 Removed from Suborbital Pad A | SpaceX Boca Chica



Why don't rocket engines melt? How engineers keep engines cool



Tesla’s Hypergrowth, Epic DOGECOIN Move & Clueless Cramer







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On This Day

January 14th is the 14th day of the year in the Gregorian calendar; 351 days remain until the end of the year (352 in leap years).



Historical Events

(Please note that the Wikipedia articles often contain a bibliography and links to where you can learn more about a historical event)




1236 – King Henry III of England marries Eleanor of Provence.

1301 – Andrew III of Hungary dies, ending the Árpád dynasty in Hungary.

1639 – The "Fundamental Orders", the first written constitution that created a government, is adopted in Connecticut.

• [Wikipedia article]
• [Copy on Bartley's]
• [The Fundamental Orders of Connecticut: The Basic Ideas of Constitutional Government, Part 8]
• [Wikipedia Bio: Thomas Hooker]
• [Remote Class Lecture]



1761 – The Third Battle of Panipat is fought in India between the Afghans under Ahmad Shah Durrani and the Marathas.

1784 – American Revolutionary War: Ratification Day, United States - Congress ratifies the Treaty of Paris with Great Britain.

• [Wikipedia article]
• [The Battle for the Ratification of the Constitution- National History Day 2011]
• [Federalist vs Anti-Federalist Debate- A complete review over the debate to ratify the Constitution]
• [The Federalist Papers]
• [The Anti-Federalist Papers]



1814 – Treaty of Kiel: Frederick VI of Denmark cedes the Kingdom of Norway to Charles XIII of Sweden in return for Pomerania.

1858 – Napoleon III of France escapes an assassination attempt made by Felice Orsini and his accomplices in Paris.

1900 – Giacomo Puccini's Tosca opens in Rome.

• [Puccini TOSCA 2018 Finnish National Opera (English Subtitles)]
• [Wikipedia article: Tosca]
• [Wikipedia Bio: Giacomo Puccini]



1907 – An earthquake in Kingston, Jamaica kills more than 1,000 people.

1911 – Roald Amundsen's South Pole expedition makes landfall on the eastern edge of the Ross Ice Shelf.

1939 – Norway claims Queen Maud Land in Antarctica.

1943 – World War II: Japan begins Operation Ke, the successful operation to evacuate its forces from Guadalcanal during the Guadalcanal Campaign.

1943 – World War II: Franklin D. Roosevelt and Winston Churchill begin the Casablanca Conference to discuss strategy and study the next phase of the war.

• [Wikipedia: Casablanca Conference]
• [HistoryPod Video]
• [Politics, Torch, & Casablanca]
• [Battle Of North Africa Part 2 - The Big Picture]



1952 – NBC's long-running morning news program Today debuts, with host Dave Garroway.

1953 – Josip Broz Tito is elected the first President of Yugoslavia.

1954 – The Hudson Motor Car Company merges with Nash-Kelvinator Corporation forming the American Motors Corporation.

1957 – Kripalu Maharaj is named fifth Jagadguru (world teacher) after giving seven days of speeches before 500 Hindu scholars.

1960 – The Reserve Bank of Australia, the country's central bank and banknote issuing authority authorized by the 1959 Reserve Bank Act, is established.[18]

1967 – Counterculture of the 1960s: The Human Be-In takes place in San Francisco, California's Golden Gate Park, launching the Summer of Love.[19]

1969 – USS Enterprise fire: An accidental explosion aboard the USS Enterprise near Hawaii kills 28 people.

• [Wikipedia article]
• [USS Enterprise CVAN65 "Trial by Fire" video, 14Jan1969]
• [USS Enterprise Fire, 14 Jan 1969]



1972 – Queen Margrethe II of Denmark ascends the throne, the first Queen of Denmark since 1412 and the first Danish monarch not named Frederick or Christian since 1513.

1973 – Elvis Presley's concert Aloha from Hawaii is broadcast live via satellite, and sets the record as the most watched broadcast by an individual entertainer in television history.

• [Elvis Presley - Aloha From Hawaii, Live in Honolulu, 1973 (Full Concert) ]
• [Wikipedia: Aloha from Hawaii via Satellite]
• [Wikipedia Bio: Elvis Presley]



1993 – In Poland's worst peacetime maritime disaster, ferry MS Jan Heweliusz sinks off the coast of Rügen, drowning 55 passengers and crew; nine crew-members are saved.

2004 – The national flag of the Republic of Georgia, the so-called "five cross flag", is restored to official use after a hiatus of some 500 years.

2010 – Yemen declares an open war against the terrorist group al-Qaeda.

2011 – President Zine El Abidine Ben Ali of Tunisia seeks refuge in Saudi Arabia after a series of demonstrations against his regime, considered to be the birth of the Arab Spring.

• [Wikipedia: Arab Spring]
• [Wikipedia Bio: Zine El Abidine Ben Ali]
• [How did the Arab Spring start in Tunisia? - BBC What's New]
• [Remembering the Arab Spring: Tunisia]
• [Tunisia and the Arab spring 10 years on: "We tried to rise"]
• [What happened after the Arab Spring? | Start Here]



2019 – A Saha Airlines Boeing 707 crashes at Fath Air Base near Karaj in Alborz Province, Iran, killing 15 people.



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Published at 5:00am on Friday, January 14, 2021
Author: Bobby Coggins


Resources used to compile the information in this article include, but are not limited to the following websites or books: MaconMedia.com, youtube.com, weather.gov, airnow.gov, wikipedia.com, onthisday.com, ncdcr.gov, ncsu.edu, utah.edu, https://www.microbe.tv/twiv/, wolfram.com, biorxiv.org, aps.org, nejm.org, plos.org, cell.com, researchsquare.com, cureus.com, spc.noaa.gov, nhc.noaa.gov, ncdenr.org, medrxiv.org, archive.org, ncpedia.org, nasa.gov, https://ww2days.com, nih.gov, carolinapublicpress.org, microbe.tv, smokymountainnews.com, psypost.org, blogspot.com, pollen.com, franklinnc.com, maconnc.org, spaceweather.com, solarham.com, loc.gov, ncleg.net, senate.gov, house.gov, whitehouse.gov, drudgereport.com, politico.com, realclearpolitics.com, ushmm.org, This Day in North Carolina History, World War II Day By Day, The Holocaust Encyclopedia, The Timetables of History, The Rise and Fall of the Third Reich, The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy, The World History and Book of Facts (multiple years), On This Day In History: Over 4,000 facts, The NASA Archives. 60 Years in Space, This Day in North Carolina History, The Smithsonian History of Space Exploration: From the Ancient World to the Extraterrestrial Future, Spaceflight, 2nd Edition: The Complete Story from Sputnik to Curiousity, The Story of Civilization (11 volumes), The Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire, American History, Volume 1: 1492-1877, American History, Volume 2: 1877 - Present, A Complete Chronolgy of the Second World War. Weather and Almanac data and information sources: Sources (except where otherwise credited): heavens-above.com, Ian Webster's Github, National Centers for Environmental Prediction, The National Weather Service, National Oceanic Atmospheric Administration, National Hurricane Center, Penn State University Electronic Wall Map, The State Climate Office of North Carolina, Storm Prediction Center, U.S. Naval Observatory, University of Utah Department of Atmospheric Sciences, and the Weather Prediction Center. Back to Top

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