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Sunday, January 16, 2022

Weather Briefing for Sunday, January 16, 2022
Winter Storm Warning in Effect Until 8am Tomorrow



This is a truncated weather briefing.

General Outlook

A strong winter storm will move from the mid-south and across Georgia and the Carolinas today with significant impacts expected across the region before departing along the East Coast Sunday night. Cold and breezy conditions are expected in the storms wake on Monday with lingering snow showers near the Tennessee border. Temperatures will rebound to near normal mid-week ahead of our next cold front.


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National Weather Map and Local forecasts through Tuesday Night



Franklin Area

Today

Freezing rain and sleet before 10am, then rain or freezing rain between 10am and 11am, then rain after 11am. Highs in the mid 30s. Winds out of the north 10 to 15 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New ice accumulation of less than a 0.1 of an inch possible. New sleet accumulation of less than a half inch possible.

Tonight

Snow likely before midnight, then a chance of snow showers, mainly between midnight and 2am. Mostly cloudy, with lows around 20. Light winds out of the northwest in the early evening increasing to 10 to 15 mph before midnight. Winds could gust as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible.

Martin Luther King Jr. Day

A 20 percent chance of snow showers before 8am. Mostly sunny, with highs in the mid 30s. Winds out of the northwest 5 to 10 mph.

Monday Night

Partly cloudy, with lows around 17. Winds out of the northwest 3 to 8 mph.

Tuesday

Sunny, with highs in the mid 40s.

Tuesday Night

Partly cloudy, with lows in the lower 20s.

Highlands Plateau

Today

Snow, freezing rain, and sleet before 4pm, then snow between 4pm and 5pm, then snow and sleet likely after 5pm. Highs in the upper 20s. Winds out of the east 20 to 30 mph decreasing to 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 40 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New ice accumulation of less than a 0.1 of an inch possible. New snow and sleet accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible.

Tonight

Snow likely before midnight, then a slight chance of snow showers between midnight and 3am. Cloudy, then gradually becoming partly cloudy, with lows around 19. Winds out of the northwest 5 to 10 mph increasing to 20 to 25 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 35 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of around an inch possible.

Martin Luther King Jr. Day

Mostly sunny, with highs in the upper 20s. Winds out of the northwest 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.

Monday Night

Partly cloudy, with lows around 17. Winds out of the northwest 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.

Tuesday

Sunny, with highs in the upper 30s.

Tuesday Night

Partly cloudy, with lows in the lower 20s.

Otto and South Central Macon County

Today

Rain, freezing rain, and sleet before 11am, then rain or freezing rain between 11am and noon, then rain after noon. Highs in the mid 30s. WInds out of the northeast 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Little or no ice accumulation expected. New sleet accumulation of around an inch possible.

Tonight

Snow likely before midnight, then a slight chance of snow showers between midnight and 4am. Cloudy, then gradually becoming partly cloudy, with lows around 20. Light winds out of the northwest in the early evening increasing to 10 to 15 mph before midnight. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.

Martin Luther King Jr. Day

Mostly sunny, with highs in the mid 30s. Winds out of the northwest 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

Monday Night

Partly cloudy, with lows around 18. WInds out of the northwest 5 to 10 mph.

Tuesday

Sunny, with highs in the mid 40s.

Tuesday Night

Partly cloudy, with lows in the low-to-mid 20s.

Nantahla Area

TodayRain, freezing rain, and sleet before 10am, then rain between 10am and 4pm, then rain or freezing rain after 4pm. Highs in the mid 30s. Winds out of the northeast 10 to 15 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New ice accumulation of less than a 0.1 of an inch possible. New sleet accumulation of less than a half inch possible.

Tonight

Snow likely, mainly before 11pm, then a chance of snow showers after midnight. Mostly cloudy, with lows in the lower 20s. WInds out of the northwest 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible.

Martin Luther King Jr. Day

A 20 percent chance of snow showers. Partly sunny, with highs near 30. Winds out of the northwest 5 to 10 mph.

Monday Night

Mostly cloudy, with lows around 19. Winds out of the northwest 5 to 10 mph.

Tuesday

Sunny, with highs in the lower 40s.

Tuesday Night

Partly cloudy, with lows in the mid 20s.



Hazardous Weather Outlook

Well, the storm has arrived. A late arrival and warmer temperature ha ve severely reduced the amount of snow we'll receive. A Winter torm Warning is in effect until 6am MOnday morning, so be careful out there on area roadways. Copies of a Mesoscale Discussion concerning heavy snow and a copy of the Winter Storm Warning are below.



Mesoscale Discussion 0072
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0302 AM CST Sun Jan 16 2022

Areas affected...Southern Appalachians...North Carolina and Virginia Piedmont

Concerning...Heavy snow

Valid 160902Z - 161500Z

SUMMARY...Snowfall rates exceeding one inch per hour will be possible across parts of the southern Appalachian Mountains this morning.

DISCUSSION...The latest water vapor-imagery shows an upper-level low moving eastward across the lower Mississippi Valley. Ahead of the low, mid-level moisture is streaming northeastward across Tennessee, Georgia and the Carolinas, where widespread precipitation is ongoing. Surface temperatures within the area of precipitation are mostly above freezing. The exception is along the northern edge of the precipitation from northern South Carolina into western North Carolina where surface temperatures have dropped to near or just below freezing. In response, precipitation has changed over to snow across much of the southern Appalachians, especially from the Appalachian crest eastward. As the upper-level low moves eastward across the central Gulf Coast states, large-scale ascent will increase across the southern Appalachians. In response, bands of heavy snowfall will likely develop. Snowfall rates could exceed one inch per hour from far northeast Georgia into the western Carolinas and far eastern Tennessee. Later this morning, heavy snow will also be possible in western Virginia.


Winter Storm Warning
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
1050 PM EST Sat Jan 15 2022

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 7 inches are expected across the mountain valleys and extreme northeast Georgia, with 8 to 12 inches along and near the Blue Ridge Escarpment, and 12 to 20 inches at elevations above 4000 feet. Ice accumulations of up to one tenth of an inch are also possible. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph.

* WHERE...The mountains of the Carolinas and northeast Georgia.

* WHEN...Until 8 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Mixed precipitation will begin tonight eventually falling as mostly snow and increasing in coverage and intensity overnight. The precipitation will briefly change to sleet and freezing rain before tapering off Sunday and evening in most areas, although snow showers are expected to linger along the Tennessee border into Monday morning. Widespread black ice should be expected Monday morning, and may be a concern into the middle of the week.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning means significant amounts of snow, sleet, and ice are expected or occurring. Strong winds are also possible. This will make travel very hazardous or impossible. Only travel in an emergency. If you must travel, keep a flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. Prepare for possible power outages.

Please report snow and ice accumulations by calling the National Weather Service toll free at...1...800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1. Leave a message with your observation and the specific location where it occurred. You can also post your report to National Weather Service Greenville Spartanburg Facebook or tweet your report using hashtag nwsgsp.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or your favorite source of weather information for the latest updates. Additional details can be found at www.weather.gov/gsp. The latest state road conditions can be obtained by calling 5 1 1.


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Published at 5:00am on Sunday, January 16, 2021
Author: Bobby Coggins


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