Outlook (Excessive Rainfall Possible Today)
A cold front will approach the region today and is expected to slowly sink south across the area tonight and Saturday morning. A wedge of cool high pressure is expected to build into the region behind the front for Sunday and Monday. Unsettled weather will persist into the middle of next week ahead of the next cold front, with some drier weather possible by Thursday.
DAILY PHOTO
Hail falling from a thunderstorm as seen from Main Street in Franklin on August 22, 2019. Most of the hail, as usual, did not make it to the ground as it either melted or evaporated.
THREE DAY GFS FORECAST
This animated image shows a forecast of precipitation, air pressure and thickness level (cold-air damming) for three days in six-hour increments.
Green, Yellow, and Red indicate rain. Orange and Purple Indicate Freezing Rain or other freezing precipitation. Blue indicates snow.
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Weather Hazards
Abundant moisture will set up over the region today ahead of a cold front approaching from the north. Instability in the warm and moist air ahead of the front may contribute to locally excessive rainfall, mainly today. Flooding of low-lying and poor drainage areas will be possible at any locations repeatedly affected by showers and thunderstorms. Small streams could approach bankfull where heavy rain falls.
These wet conditions will linger into Saturday as the front slowly moves south across the area.
**Note** A Tropical Weather Outlook section has been added to the daily weather briefing for the Atlantic Hurricane Season, and since those tend to run long when there is activity, that section has been added between the daily forecasts for the four regions of the county and the almanac section so people can get to their daily forecasts with minimal interference.
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WEATHER FORECAST MAPS
Forecast maps for 7 am, 1 pm, and 7 pm.
[click on any image in this article to enlarge]
FRANKLIN AREA FORECAST
Today
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 2pm. Patchy dense fog before 9am. Otherwise, partly sunny, with a high near 80. Light winds out of the north. Chance of rain is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Patchy fog after 10pm. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. Calm winds. Chance of rain is 50%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Saturday
Showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 4pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 4pm. Highs in the lower 80s. Calm winds. Chance of rain is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Saturday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with lows in the low-to-mid 60s. Calm winds. Chance of rain is 60%.
Sunday
A 50 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with highs in the mid-70s.
Sunday Night
A 40 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with lows in the lower 60s.
OTTO AREA FORECAST
Today
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 3pm. Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, partly sunny, with a high near 80. Light winds out of the northwest. Chance of rain is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 8pm. Patchy fog after 10pm. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. Calm winds. Chance of rain is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Saturday
Showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 4pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 4pm. Highs near 80. Calm winds. Chance of rain is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Saturday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Cloudy, with lows in the low-to-mid 60s. Light winds out of the east. Chance of rain is 60%.
Sunday
A 50 percent chance of showers. Cloudy, with highs in the mid-70s.
Sunday Night
A 40 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with lows in the lower 60s.
HIGHLANDS PLATEAU FORECAST
Today
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 2pm. Partly sunny, with highs in the mid-70s. Winds out of the west 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Friday Night
Showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 8pm. Patchy fog after 10pm. Lows in the lower 60s. Winds out of the northwest 3 to 5 mph. Chance of rain is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Saturday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 8am. High near 70. Calm winds increasing to come out of the east around 6 mph in the morning. Chance of rain is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Saturday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Cloudy, with lows in the upper 50s. Winds out of the east 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain is 70%.
Sunday
A 50 percent chance of showers. Cloudy, with highs in the mid-60s.
Sunday Night
A 40 percent chance of showers. Cloudy, with lows in the mid-to-upper 50s.
NANTAHALA AREA FORECAST
Today
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 2pm. Increasing clouds, with highs in the mid-to-upper 70s. Winds out of the west 3 to 5 mph. Chance of rain is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Patchy fog after 9pm. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with lows in the low-to-mid 60s. Calm winds. Chance of rain is 50%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Saturday
Showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 4pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 4pm. Highs in the upper 70s. Calm winds. Chance of rain is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Saturday Night
Showers and thunderstorms likely before midnight, then a chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60. Calm winds increasing to come out of the southeast around 5 mph after midnight. Chance of rain is 60%.
Sunday
A 50 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 75.
Sunday Night
A 40 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60.
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Fri Aug 23 2019
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Chantal, located about 850 miles southeast of Cape Race, Newfoundland.
1. Recent satellite-derived wind data indicate that a weak area of low pressure is located between the southeastern coast of Florida and Andros Island in the northwestern Bahamas. The system is producing a large area of disorganized cloudiness and showers that extend primarily northeast of the center over the adjacent Atlantic Ocean. The low is forecast to move near or over Florida later today, which should limit development during the next day or so. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development once the system moves back over the Atlantic waters, and a tropical depression could form over the weekend or early next week while the low moves near the coast of east-central Florida and then offshore of the southeastern United States coast. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are possible over the northwestern Bahamas and southern and central Florida during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.
Weather Extremes for Macon County for the month of August
Data available from 1872 to 2018
Highest Temperature 99°F in Franklin on 08-09-1980
Lowest Temperature 40°F at the Coweeta Experimental Station on 08-29-1968
Greatest Rainfall 9.68 inches in Highlands on 08-13-1940
Greatest Snowfall no measurable snowfall has been recorded since records started being kept in 1873
Weather Extremes for North Carolina for the month of July
Data available from 1870 to 2018
Highest Temperature 110°F Fayetteville, Cumberland County 08-21-1983
Lowest Temperature 31°F Banner Elk, Avery County 08-23-1930
Greatest One-Day Rainfall 13.08 in Idlewild, Ashe County 08-14-1930
Monthly Averages
Warmest Weather Station 79.7°F Wilmington, New Hanover County
Coldest Weather Station 59.6°F Mount Mitchell, Yancey County
Wettest Weather Station 7.74 in Lake Toxaway, Transylvania County
Driest Weather Station 3.12 in Lexington, Davidson County
Published at 4:45am on August 23, 2019
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