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Thursday, May 30, 2019

Daily Weather Briefing for Thursday, May 30, 2019






Outlook

The high pressure that has dominated our weather pattern for over a week will start to weaken over the region today, resulting in one more day of near-record heat and limited afternoon shower and thunderstorm chances before a series of weak low-pressure systems gradually and modestly lower temperatures and increasing precipitation chances through mid-week next week.


THREE DAY GFS FORECAST
This animated image shows a forecast of precipitation, air pressure and thickness level (cold-air damming) for three days in six-hour increments.
Green, Yellow, and Red indicate rain. Orange and Purple Indicate Freezing Rain or other freezing precipitation. Blue indicates snow.





WEATHER SPONSOR



Adams Products, a Division of Oldcastle is underwriting the daily weather briefing & public safety updates for the month.

Open 7:30 AM to 4:00 PM, M-F, located at 895 Hickory Knoll Road, Franklin, NC. Visit our Facebook page at:
https://www.facebook.com/Adams.Oldcastle.Franklin.NC/

All your masonry needs are available. Our phone number is 828.524.8545, the public is welcome, we’ll help you with your next project.



Weather Hazards

Hazardous weather is not expected today.

**Note** A Tropical Weather Outlook section has been added to the daily weather briefing for the Atlantic Hurricane Season, and since those tend to run long when there is activity, that section has been added between the daily forecasts for the four regions of the county and the almanac section so people can get to their daily forecasts with minimal interference.




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WEATHER FORECAST MAPS

Forecast maps for 7 am, 1 pm, and 7 pm.
[click on any image in this article to enlarge]




FRANKLIN AREA FORECAST

Today

Mostly sunny, with a high in the upper 80s. Light winds out of the southwest increasing to 5 to 10 mph by midmorning.

Tonight

A 20 percent chance of showers before 3am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60. Winds out of the west around 6 mph becoming calm before midnight.

Friday

A 20 percent chance of showers after 1pm. Patchy fog in the morning. Otherwise, mostly sunny, with a high in the lower 80s. Calm winds increasing to come out of the northwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.

Friday Night

A 20 percent chance of showers before 9pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 55. Winds out of the northwest around 5 mph becoming calm before midnight.

Saturday

A slight chance of showers between 1pm and 5pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5pm. Sunny, with a high in the lower 80s. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

Saturday Night

Mostly clear, with a low in the mid-50s.



OTTO AREA FORECAST

Today

Mostly sunny, with a high in the upper 80s with a few locations reaching 90. Light winds out of the west shifting to come out of the southwest and increasing to the 5 to 10 mph range by midmorning. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.

Tonight

Partly cloudy, with a low around 60. Winds out of the west 3 to 6 mph.

Friday

A 20 percent chance of showers after 2pm. Patchy fog in the morning. Otherwise, mostly sunny, with a high in the lower 80s. Winds out of the northwest 3 to 7 mph.

Friday Night

A 20 percent chance of showers before 9pm. Partly cloudy, with a low in the mid-to-upper 50s. Winds out of the northwest around 5 mph becoming calm before midnight.

Saturday

A slight chance of showers between 1pm and 5pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5pm. Sunny, with a high in the lower 80s. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

Saturday Night

Mostly clear, with a low around 60.



HIGHLANDS PLATEAU FORECAST

Today

Mostly sunny, with a high in the upper 70s. Winds out of the southwest 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.

Tonight

Partly cloudy, with a low around 60. Winds out of the northwest 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

Friday

A 20 percent chance of showers after 3pm. Mostly sunny, with a high in the low-to-mid 70s. Winds out of the northwest 5 to 10 mph.

Friday Night

Partly cloudy, with a low around 55. Winds out of the northwest 5 to 10 mph.

Saturday

A slight chance of showers between noon and 4pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 4pm. Sunny, with a high near the mid-70s. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Saturday Night

A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9pm. Partly cloudy, with a low in the mid-to-upper 50s.


NANTAHALA AREA FORECAST

Today

Mostly sunny, with a high near 80. Winds out of the southwest 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.

Tonight

A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 7pm, then a slight chance of showers between 7pm and 3am. Mostly cloudy, with a low in the upper 50s. Winds out of the west 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

Friday

A 20 percent chance of showers after 11am. Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, mostly sunny, with a high near the mid-70s. Winds out of the northwest 5 to 10 mph.

Friday Night

A 20 percent chance of showers before 9pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 55. Winds out of the northwest 3 to 6 mph.

Saturday

A slight chance of showers between 2pm and 5pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5pm. Sunny, with a high near the middle 70s. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

Saturday Night

Mostly clear, with a low in the mid-50s.



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

The North Atlantic Hurricane Season officially begins on June 1st and runs through November 30th each year. Below are some forecasts for this season, which looks like it will be a “near-normal” year with a 40% chance of a normal year



NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center is predicting that a near-normal Atlantic hurricane season is most likely this year. This outlook forecasts a 40% chance of a near-normal season, a 30% chance of an above-normal season and a 30% chance of a below-normal season. The hurricane season officially extends from June 1 to November 30.

For 2019, NOAA predicts a likely range of 9 to 15 named storms (winds of 39 mph or higher), of which 4 to 8 could become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or higher), including 2 to 4 major hurricanes (category 3, 4 or 5; with winds of 111 mph or higher). NOAA provides these ranges with a 70% confidence. An average hurricane season produces 12 named storms, of which 6 become hurricanes, including 3 major hurricanes.

Read more on the NOAA website. [LINK]

Other sources of information about what various experts think this season will look like:

Weather Underground [LINK]

Popular Science [LINK]

The Weather Channel [LINK]


LOCAL IMPACTS

While we are located hundreds of miles from the coast of the Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico, these storms do often impact us here in the mountains of western North Carolina. The main impacts are heavy rains which can lead to flooding and sometimes to landslides. High winds have also reached our area and, when combined with a period of heavy rain, often lead to numerous trees falling on power lines and residences and across roadways.

Be mindful of local forecasts from the National Weather Service and news outlets, so you can complete preparations in the event the remnants of a hurricane threaten our region.

2019 Storm Names

Andrea
Barry
Chantal
Dorian
Erin
Fernand
Gabrielle
Humberto
Imelda
Jerry
Karen
Lorenzo
Melissa
Nestor
Olga
Pablo
Rebekah
Sebastien
Tanya
Van
Wendy




Macon Media Almanac for May 30, 2019

Highest Temperature 90°F in Franklin in 1953
Lowest Temperature 34°F in Highlands in 1984
Greatest Rainfall 5.97 inches in Highlands in 2018
Greatest Snowfall no measurable snow has been recorded on this date since records started being kept in 1872


Weather Extremes for Macon County for the month of May
Data available from 1873 to 2018

Highest Temperature 92°F at the Coweeta Experimental Station on 05-20-1996
Lowest Temperature 23°F at the Coweeta Experimental Station on 05-02-1963
Greatest Rainfall 5.97 inches in Highlands on 05-30-2018
Greatest Snowfall 2.5 inches in Highlands on 05-07-1992






Published at 3:25am on May 30, 2019

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