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Friday, September 13, 2019

Daily Weather Briefing for Friday, September 13, 2019






Outlook

Relief from the near-record level heat will arrive for the weekend as an approaching cold front increases shower and thunderstorm chances and cools temperatures through the first half of next week. The weak front will stall out near our area while tropical moisture impacts the Deep South to keep our pattern unsettled through the middle of next week.


THREE DAY GFS FORECAST
This animated image shows a forecast of precipitation, air pressure and thickness level (cold-air damming) for three days in six-hour increments.
Green, Yellow, and Red indicate rain. Orange and Purple Indicate Freezing Rain or other freezing precipitation. Blue indicates snow.





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Weather Hazards

Hazardous weather is not expected today.


**Note** A Tropical Weather Outlook section has been added to the daily weather briefing for the Atlantic Hurricane Season, and since those tend to run long when there is activity, that section has been added between the daily forecasts for the four regions of the county and the almanac section so people can get to their daily forecasts with minimal interference.




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WEATHER FORECAST MAPS

Forecast maps for 7 am, 1 pm, and 7 pm.
[click on any image in this article to enlarge]





FRANKLIN AREA FORECAST

Today

A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly in the afternoon. Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, mostly sunny, with a high in the mid-80s. Calm winds increasing to come out of the southeast around 5 mph in the afternoon. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Tonight

A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Patchy fog before 1am, then patchy fog after 5am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low in the mid-60s. Calm winds. Chance of rain is 40%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Saturday

Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly between 3pm and 4pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 4pm. Patchy fog before 7am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a high in the mid-80s. Calm winds. Chance of rain is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Saturday Night

A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low in the low-to-mid 60s. Calm winds. Chance of rain is 40%.

Sunday

A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 10am. Mostly cloudy, with a high in the mid-80s. Chance of rain is 40%.

Sunday Night

Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60.




OTTO AREA FORECAST

Today

Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 4pm. Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, partly sunny, with a high in the mid-80s. Calm winds increasing to come out of the southeast around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of rain is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Tonight

A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Patchy fog after 5am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low in the mid-60s. Light winds out of the east. Chance of rain is 50%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Saturday

Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly in the mid-afternoon, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 4pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high in the low-to-mid 80s. Light winds out of the southeast. Chance of rain is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Saturday Night

A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low in the low-to-mid 60s. Calm winds. Chance of rain is 40%.

Sunday

A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 10am. Mostly cloudy, with a high in the mid-80s. Chance of rain is 30%.

Sunday Night

Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60.



HIGHLANDS PLATEAU FORECAST

Today

Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 4pm. Increasing clouds, with a high in the mid-to-upper 70s. Light and variable winds increasing to come out of the southeast 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Chance of rain is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Tonight

Showers and thunderstorms likely before 2am, then a chance of showers. Patchy fog after midnight. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 60. Winds out of the east 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Saturday

Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly in the mid-afternoon, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 4pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 70. Calm winds increasing to come out of the southeast around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of rain is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Saturday Night

A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60. Light winds out of the southeast. Chance of rain is 30%.

Sunday

A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 10am. Mostly cloudy, with a high in the mid-70s. Chance of rain is 30%.

Sunday Night

Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60.



NANTAHALA AREA FORECAST

Today

A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly in the afternoon. Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, mostly sunny, with a high in the lower 80s. Light winds out of the south. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Tonight

A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Patchy fog after 5am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low in the low-to-mid 60s. Light winds out of the southeast. Chance of rain is 40%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Saturday

Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly between 3pm and 4pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 4pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 80. Calm winds. Chance of rain is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Saturday Night

A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low in the lower 60s. Calm winds. Chance of rain is 40%.

Sunday

A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 10am. Mostly cloudy, with a high in the lower 80s. Chance of rain is 40%.

Sunday Night

Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60.




TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK Things are starting to heat up
(video from Levi Cowan of Tropical Tidbits and Mark Sudduth of HurricaneTrack.com have been added to this segment below the tropical outlook and will remain as long as they cover this storm)



Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Fri Sep 13 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine, centered over the central Bahamas.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

1. A tropical wave located several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is currently producing limited and disorganized shower activity. Conditions are expected to become more conducive for development in a couple days, and a tropical depression could form early next week while the system moves westward across the tropical Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

2. Another tropical wave is located a few hundred miles south-southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands. Slow development of this system is possible during the next several days while the it moves westward across the tropical Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.



Weather Extremes for Macon County for the month of September
Data available from 1872 to 2018

Highest Temperature 98°F in Franklin on 09-04-1975
Lowest Temperature 27°F in Franklin on 09-30-1967
Greatest Rainfall 11.87 inches in Highlands on 09-27-1964
Greatest Snowfall no measurable snowfall has been recorded since records started being kept in 1873

Weather Extremes for North Carolina for the month of September
Data available from 1870 to 2018

Highest Temperature 109°F Weldon, Halifax County 09-07-1954
Lowest Temperature 23°F Marion, McDowell County 09-28-2000
Greatest One-Day Rainfall 19.30 in Southport, Brunswick County 09-16-1999

Monthly Averages

Warmest Weather Station 75.4°F Morehead City, Carteret County
Coldest Weather Station 55.0°F Mount Mitchell, Yancey County
Wettest Weather Station 8.93 in Southport, Brunswick County
Driest Weather Station 2.94 in Marshall, Madison County



Published at 3:10am on September 13, 2019


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