A weak wedge of cooler air will set up across the region today. This
along with high clouds well ahead of topical cyclone Delta will
support much cooler temperatures. The circulation of Delta will pass
west of the mountains, but bring rain, heavy at times, to the area
through the weekend. A trailing cold front will cross the area early
next week, with drier high pressure following through mid week.
---BEGIN SPONSOR SEGMENT---
Macon Media is being sponsored today by a Rolling Rally for President Trump scheduled for this Saturday, October 10th. The organizers are calling Cherokee, Clay and Macon Counties to unite for a rally at the Old Walmart in Franklin, NC on Saturday at 11:00 a.m. to meet and decorate vehicles (if not already decorated).
11:45 a.m. roll out begins on time going through Franklin and traveling to Jackson County Justice Center to meet up with Jackson, Graham and Swain Counties. Arrival time there at approximately 12:30. Additional details are in the image accompanying this section.
Weather Sponsor
Adams Products, a Division of Oldcastle is underwriting the daily weather briefing & public safety updates for the month.
Open 7:30 AM to 4:00 PM, M-F, located at 895 Hickory Knoll Road, Franklin, NC. Visit our Facebook page at:
https://www.facebook.com/Adams.Oldcastle.Franklin.NC/
All your masonry needs are available. Our phone number is 828.524.8545, the public is welcome, we’ll help you with your next project.
--- END SPONSOR SEGMENT---
News Brief
The United States Marine Corps Color Ceremony from the evening of October 8, 2020
Watch as the Battle Color Detachment performs at the National Museum of the Marine Corps. [LINK] https://www.usmcmuseum.com/
General forecast through Saturday night
Today
Fog in the morning. Cloudy, with highs ranging from the low-to-mid-60s in the higher elevations to near 70 in the lower elevations. Light winds out of the south.
Tonight
Showers likely, mainly after 2am. Patchy fog after 2am. Otherwise, cloudy, with lows in the 50s. Light winds out of the southeast. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Saturday
Patchy fog in the morning and rain showers throughout the day are expected. Highs mainly in the 60s. A few locations could reach 70. Winds out of the southeast 5 to 10 mph in most of the county, with higher elevations seeing winds in the 10 to 15 mph range. Chance of rain is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three-quarters of an inch possible.
Saturday Night
Showers. Lows ranging from the upper 50s in the higher elevations to the low to-mid 60s in the lower elevations. Winds out of the southeast 5 to 10 mph with higher elevations seeing winds in the 10 to 15 mph range. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a half and three-quarters of an inch possible.
Sunday
Showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 11am. Highs ranging from the mid-60s in the higher elevations to the lower 70s in the lower elevations. Winds out of the southeast 5 to 10 mph and gusts uo to 20 mph with the higher elevations seeing winds in the 10 to 15 mph range and gusts up to 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Sunday Night
Showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with lows ranging from the mid-50s in the higher elevations to the mid-60s in the lower elevations. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
HAZARDS
Prolonged rainfall is possible across the forecast area Saturday
into Monday in association with the remnants of tropical cyclone
Delta. Periods of heavier rainfall could also occur across northeast
Georgia, the North Carolina Blue Ridge, and the northern Upstate
possibly leading to localized flooding conditions.
Air Quality
Air quality is in the mid-upper range of green today for all elevations.
Pollen
Pollen levels are expected to be in the low-medium range (4.2 out of 12) with ragweed, chenopods, and grasses being the main culprits. Tomorrow is expected to be much lower as rain moves into the area (0.5 out of 12).
Weather Extremes for Macon County for October 9th
Highest Temperature 86°F in Highlands in 1939
Lowest Temperature 26°F in Highlands in 1978
Greatest One-Day Rain 5.10 inches in Highlands in 2017
Greatest One-Day Snowfall (no snowfall has been recorded on this date since records began in 1872
TROPICAL WEATHER
(The North Atlantic Hurricane Season runs from June 1st to Nov 30th)
Tropical Tidbit from Levi Cowan
(video recoded yesterday afternoon)
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Fri Oct 9 2020
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Delta, located over the west-central Gulf of Mexico.
1. A tropical wave located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo
Verde Islands continues to produce disorganized showers and a few
thunderstorms. The wave is expected to move generally westward or
west-northwestward at about 15 mph. Environmental conditions could
be conducive for some gradual development of the system this weekend
or early next week while it is located over the tropical Atlantic,
well east of the Lesser Antilles. Upper-level winds are forecast to
become unfavorable for further development by the middle of next
week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
Hurricane Delta Discussion Number 19
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL262020
400 AM CDT Fri Oct 09 2020
Delta has been generally steady in strength during the past several
hours as it starts to close in on the southwestern Louisiana coast.
An eye has occasionally been evident in geostationary satellite
images, and deep convection remains quite intense around that
feature. The Air Force Hurricane Hunters recently found have been
investigating Delta this morning, and recently reported maximum
flight-level winds of 125 kt and peak SFMR surface winds of 99 kt.
Based on a blend of this data, the initial intensity is held at
105 kt. The hurricane appears to be leveling off in strength as
recent microwave passes show some asymmetry in the eyewall and
vertical tilt due to southwesterly shear. The core of the hurricane
passed very close to NOAA buoy 42002 a few hours ago, and the
pressure at the buoy fell to 953 mb. The buoy also reported peak
winds around 70 kt and a significant wave height of about 35 ft.
The major hurricane is now moving northward at 10 kt. The track
forecast models remain quite consistent. Delta is forecast to
continue moving northward today and then turn north-northeastward
tonight between a ridge over the western Atlantic and a trough over
the south-central United States. This motion is expected to take
the core of the hurricane to the Louisiana coast this evening.
After landfall, a turn to the northeast is forecast as a larger
trough moves eastward toward Delta, and that motion should continue
until the cyclone dissipates over Tennessee or Kentucky in a few
days. The models remain tightly clustered, and only minor tweaks
were made to the previous NHC track forecast.
Delta is expected to move over waters with progressively lower
oceanic heat content as it approaches the Louisiana coast. These
less favorable oceanic conditions combined with an increase in
southwesterly shear should cause Delta to weaken a little before
it moves onshore. Regardless, Delta is forecast to be near major
hurricane intensity when it makes landfall and significant impacts
are expected (see Key Messages below). After landfall, rapid
weakening is anticipated and Delta is forecast to fall below
hurricane strength tonight or early Saturday and dissipate in about
3 days.
Key Messages:
1. Life-threatening storm surge is expected near and east of where
Delta makes landfall this evening, and a Storm Surge Warning is in
effect from High Island, Texas, to Ocean Springs, Mississippi. The
highest inundation of 7 to 11 feet is expected somewhere between
Rockefeller Wildlife Refuge and Morgan City, Louisiana. Residents
in the warning area should promptly follow advice given by local
officials. The storm surge risk remains high despite the forecast
decrease in intensity before landfall since Delta is a relatively
large hurricane.
2. Hurricane-force winds are expected this afternoon and evening
somewhere within the Hurricane Warning area between High Island,
Texas, and Morgan City, Louisiana. Hurricane force winds will also
spread inland across portions of southern Louisiana near the path of
Deltas center this evening and tonight.
3. Heavy rainfall will lead to significant flash flooding and minor
to major river flooding in parts of Louisiana today and Saturday.
Additional flooding is expected across portions of the central Gulf
Coast into the Lower Mississippi Valley.
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