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Sunday, October 11, 2020

Weather Brieifing for Sunday, October 11, 2020
Flash Flood Watch in Effect Today



OUTLOOK

The remnants of post tropical system Delta will continue to bring abundant moisture to the region today before the system moves off the east coast on Monday. Gradual drying will occur through mid week despite the approach and passage of a weak front on Tuesday. Drier high pressure will settle in behind the front Wednesday through Thursday. A sharper cold front will move through the region on Friday, with much colder air arriving next weekend.



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General forecast through Tuesday night


Today

Patchy fog could linge well in the afternoon. Highs in the 60s. A few locations in the lower elevations could reach 70. Winds out of the south around 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between one and two inches are possible on the Highlands Plateau and a half and three-quarters of an inch possible elesewhere.

Tonight

A 30 percent chance of showers, mainly before 11pm. Patchy fog after 10pm. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with lows ranging from the upper 50s in the higher elevations to the lower 60s in the lowe elevations. Calm winds. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

Columbus Day

A slight chance of showers between 8am and 1pm. Cloudy through mid morning, then gradual clearing, with highs in the 70s. Calm winds in the morning increasing to come out of the northwest around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

Monday Night

Partly cloudy, with lows in the 50s. Calm winds.

Tuesday

Sunny, with highs ranging from the lower 70s in the higher elevations to the upper 70s in the lower elevations.

Tuesday Night

Mostly clear, with lows ranging from the upper 40s in the higher elevations to the lower 50s in the lower elevations.



HAZARDS

A Flash Flood Watch and Flash Flood Advisory is in effect through this evening in Macon County with rainfall amounts expected to total between 2 to 5 inches. In addition, winds may gust to 30 to 40 mph along the highest ridge tops and higher elevations tonight. Rainfall of more than five inches in similar storms has been associated with an increased risk of landslides and rockslides. If you live on a mountainside or in a cove at the base of a mountain, especially near a stream, be ready to leave in advance of the storm or as quickly as possible should rising water, moving earth, or rocks threaten. Consider postponing travel along mountain roads during periods of heavy rainfall.



Here is a copy of the Flash Flood Advisory that is in effect until this evening:

The National Weather Service in Greenville-Spartanburg has issued a Flood Advisory for...
Jackson County in western North Carolina...
Macon County in western North Carolina...

* Until 845 AM EDT.

* At 249 AM EDT, Doppler radar and automated rain gauges indicated numerous rounds of moderate to heavy rainfall have occurred over Macon and Jackson Counties since Saturday evening. Between 1 and 2.5 inches of rain have fallen over the past 2-3 hours, resulting in excessive runoff over the Advisory area. The areas of heaviest rainfall and greatest potential for Minor flooding are across southeastern Macon County near Highlands extending north into southwestern and central Jackson County from Cashiers to Cullowhee.

* Expect rapid rises and Minor flooding of small streams as well as flooding of urban areas, low-lying areas and roadways adjacent to streams and drainage ditches, low-water crossings, and farmland.

* Some locations that may experience Minor flooding include... Franklin, Cullowhee, Highlands, Webster, Cashiers, Lake Glenville, Ellijay, Cullasaja, Savannah, Whiteside Mountain, Tuckasegee, Cowee, Otto, Burningtown, and Sapphire.

Additional rainfall of 1 to 2 inches is expected over Macon and southern and central Jackson counties over the next 1-3 hours. This additional rain may cause new areas of flooding to develop overnight into the early morning hours. If more significant rainfall materializes, portions of the Flood Advisory may be upgraded to a Flash Flood Warning. Drivers are urged to exercise extreme caution and residents near small streams should be prepared to move to higher ground as flash flooding occurs quickly.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Advisory means river or stream flows are elevated, or ponding of water in urban or other areas is occurring or is imminent.

Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the dangers of flooding.


Air Quality




Air quality is in the lower range of green today for all elevations due to the rain.

Pollen

Pollen levels are expected to be very low (0.5 out of 12) with mold spores, ragweed, chenopods, and grasses being the main culprits. Tomorrow is expected to be in the low-medium range as rain moves out of the area (3.3 out of 12).


Weather Extremes for Macon County for October 11th

Highest Temperature 85°F in Franklin in 1954
Lowest Temperature 25°F at the Coweeta Experimental Station in 2000
Greatest One-Day Rain 3.10 inches in Highlands in 2018
Greatest One-Day Snowfall (no snowfall has been recorded on this date since records began in 1872 




TROPICAL WEATHER
(The North Atlantic Hurricane Season runs from June 1st to Nov 30th)





Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sun Oct 11 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The Weather Prediction Center is issuing advisories on Post-Tropical Cyclone Delta, centered inland over the southeastern United States.

1. A westward-moving tropical wave continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the central tropical Atlantic. Slight development of this system is possible during the next two or three days while the system moves generally westward near 15 mph. Upper-level winds are forecast to become unfavorable for further development by the middle of the week.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.






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Published at 5:00am Sunday, October 11, 2020


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