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Friday, October 30, 2020

News and Weather Briefing for Friday, October 30, 2020



OUTLOOK

Drier and cooler conditions will return to the area today, with brisk winds continuing thru the day. A couple shots of cool Canadian air will support below normal temperatures with possible frost or freeze conditions this weekend into early next week. Temperatures start to rebound by the middle of next week.



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General forecast through Sunday night


Today Wind Advisory Until Noon

Partly sunny, then gradually becoming sunny, with highs ranging from the lower 50s in the higher elevations to the upper 50s in the lower elevations. Winds out of the northwest 15 to to 20 mph with gusts around 30 mph in the higher elevations and around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph in the lower elevations.

Tonight

Patchy frost after 3am. Otherwise, mostly clear, with lows ranging from around 30 in the higher elevation to the mid-30s in the lower elevations. WInds out of the northwest around 5 mph becoming calm before midnight.

Saturday

Patchy frost before 9am. Otherwise, sunny, with highs in the lower 50s in the higher elevations to near 60 in the lower elevations. Calm winds in the morning increasing to come out of the southeast around 5 mph in the afternoon.

Saturday Night

Mostly cloudy, with lows ranging from the lower 30s in the higher elevations to around 40 in the lower elvations. Calm winds.

Sunday

A slight chance of showers before 9am. Mostly sunny, with highs ranging from the upper 50s in the higher elevations to the mid-60s in the lower eleations. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

Sunday Night

Mostly clear, with lows ranging from the mid-20s in the higher elevatiuons to around 30 in the lower elevations.




News Brief


Cowee Volunteer Fire Department will be holding a Benefit for Junior Firefighter Dakota Collins on Saturday, November 7th. [LINK]

The remnants of Hurricane ZETA passed through Macon County yesterday leaving thousands without electrical service. Macon Media hosted an open thread on Facebook [LINK] and posted coverage of events as they happened. [LINK]


POWER OUTAGE REPORT
(prepared at 4:10am)

Neighboring States

GA 367,769
NC 192,511
SC 93,093
Neighboring Counties

Macon 2,318 (8.22%)
Rabun 15,277 (97.74%)
Clay 404 (4.21%)
Cherokee 2,409 (14.43%)
Graham 248 (3.91%)
Swain 432 (3.73%)
Jackson 625 (2.18%)

If you have to be out on the roads, please be careful and watch for trees on the roads and standing water. If you see downed lines, don't touch them or try to move them. Call 911 to report them if they are a hazard or in the roadway.
Call Duke Energy at 800.769.3766 or Haywood EMC at 828-452-2281 or toll free at 1-800-951-6088 where you will find a recorded phone greeting of any outages that may be in your area. If you do not hear your specific outage announced, please wait to speak with a customer service representative to notify us of your outage.

The NC State Board of Election reminds us that voter intimidation is against the law [LINK

NCDHHS has issued guidance for Halloween activities during #COVID19. It's strongly recommended that alternate activities, instead of door-to-door trick-or-treating, take place. Find out which activities are considered low risk & which should be avoided: [PDF]  

NCDHHS Interim Guidance for Fall-Related Events [PDF

Here are the latest COVID-19 Numbers and Demographics Report from Macon Public Health, along with a couple of charts by Macon Media to show you the long-term trends since May 30, 2020, when the health department started releasing numbers to Macon Media.


Cases

759 Detected
(+1 from Wednesday and +29 from last Thursday and +110 in four weeks)

29 Active
(-2 from Wednesday and unchanged from last Thursday and -4 in four weeks)

723 Recovered
(+3 from Wednesday and +29 from last Thursday and +114 in four weeks)

7 Deaths
(unchanged from Wednesday and unchanged from last Thursday and unchanged in four weeks)


Testing

6388 by MCPH
(unchanged from Wednesday and +200 from last Thursday and +618 in four weeks)

3086 by Others
(+204 from Wednesday and +355 from last Thursday and +826 in four weeks)

9474 total
(+204 from Wednesday and +555 from last Thursday and +1444 in four weeks)

126 tests pending results
(-31 from Wednesday and +13 from last Thursday and -11 in four weeks)









HAZARDS


A Wind Advisory will be in effect for Macon County until noon today. A copy of the advisory is posted below this segment.

The remnants of Hurricane ZETA passed through Macon County yesterday, with a combination of wind and rain knocking over thousands of trees, many of them falling onto powerlines leaving at one point over 6,000 Maconians without electrical service. As of 3am (when this was written), there are still 2,318 electrical customers out of power. Duke Energy and Haywood EMC are working to restore service to their customers.

Please treat any downed power line you see as being energized.

Frost and freeze conditions will be possible in many mountain locations early Saturday morning.

Wind Advisory
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
804 PM EDT Thu Oct 29 2020

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON EDT FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph expected.

* WHERE...Portions of western North Carolina.

* WHEN...From midnight tonight to noon EDT Friday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Due to recent heavy rainfall and wet soils, a few trees could also be blown down..

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

Air Quality





Air quality is in the middle range of green today for all elevations.

Pollen

Pollen levels are expected to be low (2.4 out of 12) with ragweed and chenopods being the main culprits. Tomorrow is expected to be bout the same (1.5 out of 12).


Weather Extremes for Macon County for October 30th

Highest Temperature 82°F at the Coweeta Experimental Station in 2016
Lowest Temperature 12°F in Highlands in 1910
Greatest One-Day Rainfall 3.54 inches in Highlands in 1918 Greatest One-Day Snowfall 0.0 inches in Highlands in 2017




TROPICAL WEATHER
(The North Atlantic Hurricane Season runs from June 1st to Nov 30th)




Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Fri Oct 30 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Shower activity associated with a large area of disturbed weather over the Lesser Antilles and the eastern Caribbean Sea has become a little more concentrated this evening. Conditions are expected to be conducive for development of this disturbance during the next few days, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the time the system reaches the western Caribbean Sea early next week.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.





Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0605 UTC Fri Oct 30 2020

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0540 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Post-Tropical Cyclone ZETA, at 30/0000 UTC, is about 80 nm to the east of the coast of New Jersey. The last forecast/advisory was written by the NHC at 29/2100 UTC. The maximum sustained wind speeds were 45 knots with gusts to 55 knots, according to the last NHC bulletin. The ZETA low pressure center has been absorbed by a frontal boundary. Precipitation: widely scattered to scattered moderate and isolated strong is within 90 nm of the ZETA low pressure center in the N semicircle, and within 90 nm to the north of the accompanying frontal boundary. Scattered moderate to isolated strong also is from 32N to 34N between 76W and 78W, and from 35N to 37N between 72W and 75W. Additional information about this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts. issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php.

A Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 61W/62W, from 19N southward, moving westward 15 knots. Precipitation: widely scattered moderate to isolated strong covers the waters, within 120 nm to the east of the tropical wave and within 100 nm to the west of the tropical wave, from 16N southward to land. The precipitation pattern has become a little more concentrated this evening. The atmospheric conditions are expected to be conducive for development of this disturbance during the next few days. It is likely for a tropical depression to form by the time that the system reaches the western Caribbean Sea early next week. The chance of formation into a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours is medium.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 19W/20W from 10N southward, moving westward 15 knots. Precipitation: isolated moderate is within 240 nm on either side of the tropical wave.

A surface trough is along 12N54W 06N52W. Precipitation: widely scattered to scattered moderate to strong is from 10N to 13N between 46W and 53W.

A Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 61W/62W, from 19N southward, moving westward 15 knots. Precipitation: widely scattered moderate to isolated strong covers the waters, within 120 nm to the east of the tropical wave and within 100 nm to the west of the tropical wave, from 16N southward to land.

A Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 69W/70W from 22N southward, moving westward 10 to 15 knots. Precipitation: isolated moderate to locally strong is from 15N in the Caribbean Sea to 25N in the Atlantic Ocean between 65W and 72W. Isolated moderate is elsewhere from the tropical wave westward.

A Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 83W/84W, from 23N southward, moving westward 15 knots. Precipitation: isolated moderate to locally strong is between 80W and the tropical wave.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough passes through the coastal plains of Sierra Leone near 07N12W, to 07N15W. The ITCZ continues from 07N15W to 06N24W 05N27W 05N35W 07N40W, and 07N50W. Precipitation: scattered to numerous strong is from 01N to 03N between 24W and 27W, from 07N to 09N between 35W and 40W, and from 04N to 10N between 42W and 48W. Isolated moderate is elsewhere from 20N southward from 60W eastward.

GULF OF MEXICO...

A cold front passes through north central Florida near 30N82W, into the south central Gulf of Mexico near 22N90W, into the northern part of the Isthmus of Tehuantepec of southern Mexico. Precipitation: scattered to numerous strong is to the south and southeast of the line that runs from 20N92W to 19N96W. Isolated moderate is elsewhere within 60 nm to 90 nm to the SE of the cold front.

The current cold front, that extends from northern Florida to the SW corner of the Gulf of Mexico, will move southeast of the area on Friday. Fresh to strong northerly winds are possible in the SW Gulf of Mexico through Friday. A strong cold front will move into the northern Gulf of Mexico on Sunday, and extend from southern Florida to the Yucatan Peninsula on Monday. Fresh to strong north to northeast winds are expected across the region from Sunday through Tuesday.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

Three tropical waves are in the Caribbean Sea. One is along 61W/62W. The second tropical wave is along 69W/70W. The third tropical wave is along 83W/84W. Precipitation is related to each tropical wave. Please, read the SPECIAL FEATURES section for more details.

The monsoon trough is along 10N/11N, from 73W in northern Colombia, beyond Costa Rica. Precipitation: widely scattered moderate to isolated strong is from 15N southward from 75W westward.

Active weather, associated with a tropical wave moving across the Lesser Antilles, will shift westward into the eastern section and the central section of the Caribbean Sea, through Friday night. It is possible that an area of low pressure may form from this tropical wave, in the SW Caribbean Sea, during this weekend.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A 1024 mb high pressure center is near 32N26W. Broad surface anticyclonic wind flow covers the Atlantic Ocean from 20N northward.

A cold front will move off the southeastern coast of the U.S.A. tonight. The cold front will extend from near Bermuda to southern Florida on Friday, and then stall and dissipate from 28N65W to the Florida Keys on Saturday. Fresh to strong southerly winds are expected to the east of the front, across the northern waters, through Friday. A strong cold front will sweep across the forecast area, from Sunday night through Tuesday. Expect strong north to northeast winds and building seas, to the NW of the cold front.




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Published at 4:25am Friday, October 30, 2020


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